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5 Tips to Budget for Your Engagement Ring

Engagement Ring

It’s easy to get carried away when shopping for an engagement ring. You want the very best for your partner because this ring can show how much they mean to you. However, perfect doesn’t necessarily mean a big price tag. It’s an important piece of jewellery and certainly a big purchase, but it doesn’t have to be expensive as you might think. GS Diamonds – Engagement Rings Brisbane have complied a list of things to consider when searching for an engagement ring.

Set a Price

First things first, you need to set yourself a price and how much you’re willing to spend. While an engagement ring is a beautiful piece of jewellery, there are other things you need to be saving up for, too. The wedding, honeymoon, alongside your day-to-day spending. You need to decide how much you can afford to spend on this ring and still be comfortable. Be realistic with yourself.

Get Advice

Once you’ve made a decision, you can start looking for engagement rings within your price range. This can be incredibly overwhelming to start with, so don’t be afraid to ask for help. Ask for your family and friends. It’s also worthwhile asking jeweller’s, such as F.Hinds, for their guidance. Their expert advice can make your life much easier.

The Four C’s

When you’re asking for advice, you’re likely going to get asked questions that revolve around the four Cs. Let’s have a quick breakdown of these. Cut – how much will the diamond sparkle. Colour – diamonds have a spectrum of shades, from colourless to a light yellow. There are also bright-coloured ones. Clarity – how many natural marks are on the diamond. Finally, there’s carat – which is the weight.

Partner’s Priorities

Every person will have different priorities when it comes to an engagement ring. Some will want it covered with diamonds, whereas others will strive for simplicity. There is no rule book to follow when it comes to finding the perfect engagement ring for your partner. You need to know what’s important to them and what their style is like. Look at the current jewellery for inspiration.

Alternative Routes

It’s worth remembering there is no set route to follow when buying your engagement ring. Whether you want to look online for deals or check out vintage shops – there are alternative ways you can find the perfect ring. You can do what feels right for your relationship.

There is no right or wrong amount to spend on a ring. It all comes back to you and your partner’s priorities. Do you have any tips for budgeting for an engagement ring?

Secrets of Essay Writing: How to Write an Essay Quickly

Essay Writing

So, you waited until the last minute, and the deadline for your essay is approaching fast. We are happy that you found your way here because we have some secrets to writing your essay in record-breaking time. While you can rely on the cheapest essay writing service, you might want to write it on your own, just so you can guarantee your work is legit, on time, and yours. We know you don’t have time to waste, so let’s get to it; you’ll be surprised how fast you can write when you set your mind to it.

First of All, Breathe

 

Before you start, the best thing you can do is stop panicking and breathe. You’ll benefit here if you practice yoga or some other types of relaxing exercises, tuning into your inner voice, and calming down. Things like these happen to the best of us, and you’re not the first one to let a deadline creep up on you. So take a deep breath, and get ready to get to work.

Make a Plan

 

The first thing you should do when you’re short on time is making a plan. By making a plan, you can avoid drawing blanks when you sit down and start to write. To do this in the quickest way possible, take a look at your topic and start with the basic ‘W’ questions: Who, What, When, Where, and Why. More than likely, you can structure your essay this way and get to writing fast.

 

Remember, all essays need at least an introduction and conclusion. So, make sure to include a hook at the beginning and a summary at the end to keep to the required form and structure.

Research Main Points  

Once you have your ideas in place, you are made to conduct a bit of research. While you don’t have all the time in the world to do so, luckily, you have a world of answers at your fingertips. Focus on the main things and the strongest points you want to make in your essay and start there. Gather enough information to make your point and make it well, using it as inspiration for writing and as sources to add to your citations.

Find a Quiet Space and Get to Writing  

With a plan and research checked off of the list, it’s time to get writing. This is often the most challenging part, but not for the reason you might expect. What many of us run into is difficulty concentrating, especially if distractions surround us. So, to avoid any disturbances and start writing your essay faster than ever, you should find a quiet space and get to writing.

 

If you’ve got loud roommates or live in an area with a lot of noise, you may consider heading over to your local library or even checking out your favorite coffee shop. It can be anywhere where you can get inspired, focus, and start writing at the speed of lightning, just as long as you can put all words from your brain to paper.  

Do a Quick Grammar Check  

While you might think that you don’t have enough time to check your paper, you do, and you most definitely should. This could be the deciding factor on whether or not your professor will turn that B- into a B+. Instead of doing it the old-fashioned way and hoping that those middle school grammar lessons are stuck somewhere in your brain, you can take advantage of advanced technologies and go for an online grammar service for a quick check.

 

Things like commas, adding quotes in essays, and other complicated structures are hard to write correctly. Instead of turning in a sloppy essay, use the speed of an automated grammar check to clean up your paper and correct all of those small mistakes that could count against you and reduce your grade.

You Got This!

 

The last thing that you should do if you’ve got a last-minute essay to write is panic or beating yourself up. Get your mind in the right place and get it into gear to start working and start working fast. After you breathe, try a sip of espresso and let your ideas flow.

 

One of the main reasons behind writer’s block is stress, as things start to block the creative parts of the brain and get in the way of the flow of writing. That’s why it’s best to calm down, breathe out, and make a plan that you can follow. You might not get that A+ that you were hoping for, but you’re sure to pass and impress yourself with the capability you have to get in, get focused, and create an essay that is worthy of turning in.

 

The Study of Economic History and the Importance of Understanding the Past

The Study Of Economic History

By Dr. Kalim Siddiqui

I. Introduction

At present, academic economics in the West (i.e. developed countries) are in a state of confusion, as their dominant economic thought and policy i.e. neo-classical is under attack, not least since the 2008 financial crisis but most recently after the Covid-19 crisis. The 2008 economic crisis posed challenges, not just deepening the economic and financial crisis, but also to teaching economics in the West. There was widespread criticism regarding how the economics curriculum over the years has become narrower. The subject of economics, which was once famous for several schools and thoughts, has been limited to just one school – neoclassical – where markets usually find equilibrium, meaning government intervention is not only needed, but any such intervention could hinder the economic growth process and smooth functioning of the economy. Neoclassical theory focuses on the behaviour of individual agents, which are assumed as economic decision maker. And these agents seek to optimise explicit goals “to make the most effective use of resources”. The decision of individual agents must balance, which is called equilibrium. (Dow, 2011)

The neoclassical economic theories and their abstract models, despite the elaborate mathematical reformulations, consider economics as a branch of mathematics, however, this kind of economic idea differs very little in its fundamentals from what Karl Marx described, nearly one and a half centuries ago, as a ‘vulgar economy’, which according to him is based on: individual preferences, satisfaction, prices, supply and demand and exchange. Neoclassical economists emerged in the 1870s as a response to working class organisation as well as to criticise Marx’s radical critique of capitalism. Their theories are very subjectivist, and assume society is a collection of individuals, whose nature is to be predetermined quite independently of social and class phenomena. They see society as sum of individuals, rather than the individual as a part of the society, and ignore how in recent years excessive marketing by a handful of corporate monopolies have influenced public opinion and expanded their market size, thus building monopoly power. (Dowd, 2000)

Neoclassical economists emerged in the 1870s as a response to working class organisation as well as to criticise Marx’s radical critique of capitalism.

The study of economics must stay close and keep unity between different social sciences, especially sociology, political science and history, which classical economist had established but the marginalist economists had tried to undermine it. Karl Marx’s labour theory of value emphasises how prices are determined, and according to the labour theory of value, the economic value of a good or service is determined by the total amount of “socially necessary labour” required to produce it. It explains the origin of profit in production rather than in exchange. Two opposing theories of value have dominated the history of Western thought – the marginalist and Marx’s labour theory of value. Karl Marx’s the labour theory of value is explaining that “the mode of exchange of products depends upon the mode of exchange of the productive forces”. He explains ‘why is labour the source and substance of value?’ Marx in Capital identifies the commodity as the elementary form of capitalistic wealth: “The wealth of societies in which the capitalist mode of production prevails appears as ‘an immense accumulation of commodities’; the individual commodity appears as its elementary form. Our investigation therefore begins with the analysis of the commodity.” (Marx, 1976: 125) Marx begins by observing a point of contrast between capitalist and other societies. For instance, in contrast to all other societies, under capitalism products are predominantly available on the market as commodities. He explains that value in money terms misleads people as to where value is located or the real value of the commodity. (Siddiqui, 2019d)

I am originally from India and I have taught economics for thirty years in universities in UK, when my students, after completing a postgraduate course in economics ask me why Africa, South Asia and Latin America are still poor, it seems they have no understanding of the global power structure and how it plays an important role in the economic advancements of countries and societies. I try to explain to them logically and historically, and by questioning the present global power structure, the role Europe and North America have played since the slave trade, the colonisation of the rest of the world, and historically, how capital accumulation from external plunder has financed the modernisation of North America and Europe. British rule in India lasted for two centuries i.e. 1749-1947 and within this period India’s per capita income and population remained stagnant, while the occurrence and intensity of famines rose and millions of lives were lost. (Siddiqui, 2020a) The average life expectancy remained below thirty years, despite Britain dominated the world and remained world prosperous country, while more than 90% Indians remained illiterate. (Siddiqui, 2014; also see1990) Moreover, in agriculture sector the cultivation of cash crops was encouraged in order to export to Europe, which led to the fall in food production and thus, availability of per capita foodgrains.

What is the purpose of studying economic courses in Business Schools, if students are not taught the economic relationships between the West and their former colonies? How have these economic and political relations evolved historically? How did trade and economic relations and exchanges take place prior to and after their colonisation? So, how can we advance the approach to understanding society, including the economic changes that are taking place at present? There should be an attempt to provide possibilities of economic policy for human emancipation. It is interesting to quote here, Brazilian Catholic Bishop Helder Camara, who very famously said, “When I give food to the poor they call me saint, when I ask why they are poor, they call me a communist.”

Here the heterodox school of thought, having plural ideas and based on a multidisciplinary approach, can assist us in more deeply understanding complex problems, rather than relying on the narrow perspective provided by the neo-classical economists, which is based on markets and consumers. Teaching of economics should use multiple methodological approaches and should show more tolerance to the application of methodological pluralism and institutionalism, and also present a robust critique of the unequal global economic power structure. (Dow, 2011)

This article intends to examine the issues of power in economics and economic history and argue that the theory should be grounded in real experiences. Here I will argue in favour of government intervention to raise investment and skills to create jobs. However, government intervention in the economy alone does not always mean an end to racial, ethnic and colour discrimination. For instance, the victory of Franklin Roosevelt as President of the US in 1932 brought legislation through Congress in favour of ‘government intervention’ in the economy, which created a million jobs in building projects such as schools, bridges, community parks and also subsidised farmers. However, such programmes were insufficient to meet the challenges, and government funds for economic stimulus were not large enough. Only World War II, with its demands for massive war production, which created lots of jobs, ended the Depression. Although the ‘New Deal’ did not end the Great Depression, it was successful in restoring public confidence in the role of the state in the economy that brought relief to millions of Americans. However, the ‘New Deal’ policy was far from benefitting all races and colours. It largely benefitted the whites, not the African Americans, who during this period of economic crisis experienced a rise in racial attacks, lynching and subjugation. The increased economic hardship and competition in job markets meant more struggle to find jobs, and in this situation, the vulnerable sections of society (i.e. blacks) were blamed by the elites. It seems that even government welfare measures are not free from the power structure and racial discrimination.

In another more recent example, the global financial crisis of 2008, the mainstream economists did not take in to account the powerful lobby in favour of financial sector, which resulted in de-regulation policies carried out in the 1980s and 1990s in the US, UK and other European countries. At this time, mainstream economists fully supported such polices, regarding regulation and interference in the operations of the market as bad for businesses. The approach adopted by neoclassical economists, who are also called mainstream, undermines any serious study of capitalism and the ‘economic laws of motion of modern society’. Their theories provide justification in defence of existing property relations and global inequality between nations. Hence, on an ideological level, neoclassical economics has presented a moral justification for the existing global social order. The global power structure is very important for international economic relations, and ignoring it does not help us to investigate the current economic state of affairs. As nearly two decades ago Susan George (2001) commented: “People who have worked on these issues for many years have frequently arrived at the conclusion that debt is not a financial or an economic problem at all but in every way a political one. It is the best instrument of power and control of North over South [and now East] ever invented; far superior to colonialism which requires an army, a public administration and attracts a bad press. Control through debt not only requires no infrastructure but actually makes people pay for their own oppression.”

Studying the market in isolation does not help students to understand these historical developments which have affected all of us. If these questions are being evaded, then how can we enhance our understandings of contemporary societies? They are never taught about these issues in the main economic curriculum.

Studying the market in isolation does not help students to understand these historical developments which have affected all of us. If these questions are being evaded, then how can we enhance our understandings of contemporary societies? They are never taught about these issues in the main economic curriculum. And there are only a few departments dedicated to the study of economic history in the top universities in the West, who offer specialist courses on the history of economic development in regions like Africa, South Asia and Latin America. Moreover, in general, very little is being taught about the important issues in economic history such as the historical evolution of institutions, classes, slavery, power structure, finance and money, technology and innovation, and the living conditions of poorer countries. Market is inefficient. Capitalism has too many risk and externalities can be very large in financial institutions and can affect the whole country. Risk taking is under priced. As a corporation CEO, who is compelled to maximise profits, while ignores externalities. It means under capitalism, the impacts on others are not fully taken into consideration. Rational behaviour is very crucial assumption in the neoclassical model without any empirical evidence. They could not foresee in 2008 financial crisis due to assumption that consumers are rationale. Whenever free market fails, it needs bail out by the government.

The universities don’t operate in a societal vacuum. The need to encourage diversity of opinion resembles the automatic call for balance in the media, where counter-arguments are aired regardless of whether they warrant equal attention. There are numerous economic policies that could help to reduce wealth before tax and could reduce inequality, such as higher minimum wages, stronger workers’ union representations, anti-trust and corporate governance laws, better provisions for education and skill development and increased spending on social sectors. (Chang, 2014)

Since the 1980s, the heterodox schools of economic thought have been progressively displaced from the economic discipline, which has become dominated by one school of thought i.e. neo-classical ideas and methodologies. I think it would much be better to teach all economic schools of thought, including neo-classical views. The present curriculum is overwhelmingly dominated by neoclassical views, which is very unbalanced and creates a very shallow understanding of societies and economies. Mainstream economists have failed to take pluralism seriously and they seem to have a limited awareness or engagement with alternative schools of economic thoughts. The heterodox approach to the role of pluralism is important to understand economic development in full. (Courvisanos, 2016)

It seems that mainstream economics is ideologically driven and not politically neutral. The question is how can knowledge be created and advanced?

Mainstream economists claim that the creation of surplus value is not the result of capitalist greed, but is an expression of the immanent laws of development, where the market is seen as natural rather than historically evolved. They relate not to the labour process, what Marx described as the appropriation of nature, but to the distribution process, or what Marx called the appropriation of the product. According to him, surplus value is equal to the new value created by workers in excess of their own labour-cost, which is appropriated by the capitalist as profit when products are sold. Surplus value is appropriated by the capitalist as owners of capital and the surplus value lies at the heart of capitalism.

For mainstream economists, interest remains the reward for sacrifice or abstinence, and it is described as a reward for various kinds of sacrifice, each of which provides a necessary contribution to production e.g. capitalist foregoes the consumption, receiving profit as a reward. Marx stated that surplus-value originated in production and not in circulation, and that surplus-product represented the surplus or unpaid labour of workers. As a result, their analysis renders a scientific analysis of the capitalism virtually impossible. The mainstream economists are incapable to presenting the analysis of state and social elites’ control and influence over key institutions like mass media to use for their class interests. (Dowd, 2000)

II. The Importance of Economic Historical Perspective

Economic historians study how past economies changed, and the factors that could influence present and future economic development. They focus on practical questions about real economies. For instance, why are some countries rich and others poor? What forces shape inequality and what does historical experience reveal about current global economic developments and crises? Economic historians use concepts and theories from across the social sciences to study the historical development of economies and understand them in their social, political and cultural contexts.

Economic history is the study of power and ideology. Looking to the past, how did we get where we are today? The mainstream economists tend to neglect politics. This is clearly problematic. What drives globalisation of the market? Both economics and politics are intertwined. The mainstream economists present the capitalist system as an inherently stable and self-regulating mechanism while unemployment, overproduction and rising inequalities are seen as deviations from ‘equilibrium’, and ‘imperfections’, such as the development of monopolies. (Chang, 2014)

Economic history is the study of power and ideology.

On the question of global expansion of capitalism, and the accumulation of capital, the mainstream economists are not able to explain properly and to answer how European countries got the capital to finance the industrial revolution and undertake modernisation in the 19th century, which coincided with the colonisation of Asia, Africa, and Latin America and the earlier slave trade and plantation farming in the Caribbean and Americas by the Europeans. (Siddiqui, 2020c) How the Europe has profited from the global power restructuring since the 17th Century? The colonizers also carried out a systematic de-industrialisation (i.e. destruction of handicrafts) and destruction of self-sufficient economies in their colonies in the name of ‘free trade’, to benefit European businesses, and finally created a new international division of labour, where the colonies were forced to specialise in the production of mining and agricultural (low value) commodities, while the colonizers focused on industrial (i.e. high value) products. (Siddiqui, 2019a; also see 2918a) The economics curriculum taught in universities in the West is very narrow and does not explain why in just two and half a centuries, the world has become so unequal and global inequality between the West and developing countries is growing (if we do not take into account China and India). (Siddiqui, 2021)

In order to understand these issues more logically, it is important to examine the 18th century economic and industrial policy advocated in the US by Alexander Hamilton, and also in the 19th century German philosopher Fredrick List on the question of economic sovereignty and the importance of domestic industrialisation for the late developing countries to enhance living conditions of their people. Both the US and Germany took their advice seriously and formulated their national policies to benefit their countries rather than succumbing to outside pressure. (Girdner and Siddiqui, 2008)

The question is how knowledge can be created and advanced?  The broader aim must be to enhance understanding about society and socio-economic environment we live in. The study of economic history is about human survival. We need to take account of all human characteristics and how all these shape our behaviour. Economic history takes into account the interplay between economic and social, political and cultural behaviour. This makes economic history a broad undertaking. With economic history, the economists can make more concrete and logical generalisations. History is the source of facts, but since the 1980s when most of the Western government gradually replaced Keynesianism with neo-classical also known as neoliberalism, the teaching of economic history and moreover, the critique of the neoclassical school of thoughts was entirely removed from economics courses. However, after the 2008 global financial crisis, some universities both in Europe and North America, began to introduce a module on economic history, but still these are very marginal changes and far from a full acceptance of a radical critique of existing global economic powers, global economic institutions, and international economic relations.

We need to understand the relevance and the role of pluralism to the discipline of economics. Lee has described heterodox views in the second edition of The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics “heterodox economics refers to a body of economic theories that holds an alternative position vis-a-vis mainstream economics; to a community of heterodox economists who identify themselves as such and embrace a pluralistic attitude towards heterodox theories without rejecting contestability and incommensurability among heterodox theories.” (Lee, 2008: 5790) Hodgson described the importance of pluralism nearly four decades ago in American Economic Review in the following words: “with the threat to economic science posed by intellectual monopoly. Economists today enforce a monopoly of method or core assumptions, often defended on no better ground that it constitutes the mainstream”. (Hodgson, et al, 1992: XXV) Pluralist approach tolerates multiple frameworks but seeks an active engagement with the different insights and explanations of social reality that arise from the application of different methodologies.

Mainstream economists do not find economic history to be a useful intellectual resource for understanding the human condition. Their evasion of past is like a colonial expedition. The mainstream economists always focus on individuals. John Maynard Keynes was critical of individualism, which cannot be directly deduced from the behaviour of individuals with given preferences. Keynesian policy became acceptable in all countries in the post-war period, which was able to keep unemployment at historically low levels until the mid-1970s. Then in the late 1970s, Western policy makers were attracted to neoclassical theories to find a solution to the deepening economic crisis i.e. with both rises of unemployment and prices, which is known as ‘stagflation’.

The mainstream methodological approach does not take into account historical experiences, which development theory provides. History provides a framework to understand the present in a more logical manner. The interdependence between events and theory becomes crucial. As Dow and Dow (2014:1343-44) argue: “The role of economic history therefore cannot be divorced from the role of economic approach through which history is interpreted. The history of economic thought becomes pre-formative in that particular interpretations of ideas become adopted more widely and influence the way in which institutions evolve and policies are formed. They help to shape economic history. Where there are multiple interpretations, the one that has greatest impact is the one adopted by the most powerful groups in society in their efforts to promote their own interests”. As William Parker (1986) notes, “The institutional context, the social concepts, the moral zeal implicit in the training which economists used to be given through courses in economic history, economic institutions, and applied fields have been pushed aside, while those fields have been partially transformed into playgrounds for the imagination of the theorists”.

The critiques say that heterodox economics has a high level of theoretical diversity and poor quality of scholarship vis-a-vis mainstream success, which is claimed to be due to publications in high ranked journals or research excellence rankings, which are mainly controlled by the mainstream school of thoughts. Because of these, it has contributed to the marginalisation of plural schools of economic thought from teaching economics in the higher academic institutions of North America and Europe, and also in policymaking appointments and competitive funding grants.

The critiques say that heterodox economics has a high level of theoretical diversity and poor quality of scholarship vis-a-vis mainstream success, which is claimed to be due to publications in high ranked journals or research excellence rankings, which are mainly controlled by the mainstream school of thoughts.

Politics can influence economic research through funding. Rich people and corporations provide funds to do research of a particular type. For example, after the Second World War, the importance of the role of government and the issue of unemployment was a popular research agenda. But since the 1980s, the research agenda on full employment has disappeared and research on growth and inflation has become most popular. The elites and big corporations influence research through funding to influence policies to favour them. What research is to be done is heavily influenced by the politics of the day e.g. post-war research was on employment because of the rise of trade union power. Since the 1980s the rise of neoliberalism became more influential, full employment disappeared, and more funding and research was focused on inflation and growth.

Economics cannot be value free from politics, as assumed by the mainstream economists. As Joseph Stiglitz, Nobel Prize winner in economics, recalling his chairmanship of the Council of Economic Advisors (1995-97) noted, one of his major problems was hiring a macroeconomist. As he recalled it: “The prevailing models taught in most graduate schools were based on neoclassical economics. I wondered how the president, who had been elected on a platform of “jobs!” “jobs!” “jobs!” would respond to one of our brightest and best young economists as he or she explained that there was no such thing as unemployment.” (Stiglitz, 2010: 350, note 14)

Human beings interact with each other through norms and customs. The human being is more complex than mainstream economists assume. It cannot be explained in a mathematical model. Methodological individualism claims that a group is the sum of the individuals which makes it up, hence, the study individual is crucial e.g. self-interests, individual maximisation of his/her satisfaction. The holism methodology on the other hand, takes into account the broad social aspects and from where autonomous emerges, which is also known as the heterodox approach. Holism can help economists to understand the situation in a much broader sense.

Mainstream economists’ treat the economy as a self-contained system cut-off from politics: the markets are the natural order and state intervention undermines their function; state intervention is seen as an outside act and according to mainstream economists therefore, unnatural. However, Karl Polanyi in his book The Great Transformation (1944) discusses the market as unnatural and he said in pre-modern society the factors of production were not free and certainly not marketwise. He analysed the economic and social changes brought about by the “great transformation” of the Industrial Revolution. He described not only the deficiencies of the self-regulating market, but the potentially dire social consequences of uncontrolled market capitalism. The commoditisation of land and labour in England was done with the help of the state e.g. tragedy of Commons. In the 17th and 18th century through Parliament Acts, use of the land became restricted to the owner and it ceased to be common land for communal use. (Siddiqui, 2017a; also see 2017b)

Individual choices are shaped by cultural norms, and then the whole philosophy of consumer choice collapses. Sovereignty is shared between individuals and society, a person is influenced by their surroundings and, their decision-making process is not free from all these factors. We cannot simply ignore the manipulative role of the advertisements. What the US economist Thorstein Veblen called ‘conspicuous consumption’, where the rich spend money to show their newly acquired wealth. The assumption that everyone gets what they want is wrong and people have to struggle to get employment and to buy necessary consumer goods. Adverts provide consumers with information through which they can make decisions. The power to influence people’s thinking is changed by the marketing power. This changes consumers’ choices. This means people who have money can influence other peoples’ decisions via adverts. In fact, people acquire a world view which is against their own interests. Karl Marx called it ‘false consciousness’. During the slave trade, the slaves sometimes helped their European masters to oppress their own fellow slaves. They saw the existing order as natural and saw no need to break it and side with the interests of other fellow slaves.

III. Asian Economies Historically

It will be interesting to briefly mention the depiction of India and China by the medieval period foreign travellers. For example, the North African travellers and historians, namely Ibn Battuta (1304-1368) and Ibn Khaldūn (1332-1406) vividly described the living conditions and economic prosperity of Asia, particularly India and China and Europe in the 14th century. In India, Battuta stayed in Delhi for several years and enjoyed the patronage of the Sultan Mohammad Tughlaq. He was sent to China as Tuglaq’s envoy. He sailed through the Malabar Coast, reaching Maldives, and Ceylon (Sri Lanka). Finally, Batutta arrived in Canton (Guangzhou), which was then an important seaport for the maritime Silk Trade. In his book, he noted that the Arabs fully dominated the maritime trade routes from Arab to Chinese seas. He stayed for six years in Chinese capital and had narrated about then Chinese society, and culture. (Ibn Buttuta, 1957) Another, famous Italian traveller Marco Polo (1254-1324) travelled to China and stayed there for seventeen years and even was invited to join the court of Kublai Khan, the grandson of the Genghis Khan. He was the first European to travel to China and he depicted in detail about the life in China. Marco Polo described the richness and prosperity of China. He was amazed to see the use of paper money by the Chinese merchants and also highly developed communication system, coal burning, gunpowder and porcelain. He described the existence of vast richness of Chinese civilization and riches of precious stones, silver and gold. (Marco Polo, 1918)

In China, the Ming dynasty (1500-1644) saw a remarkable expansion of agriculture, industries, and trade. This was achieved through the introduction of new crops brought from the Americas by Portuguese traders, and among these crops were maize, sweet potatoes and peanuts. These new crops did boost agricultural output and farmers’ income. Afterwards, Manchu Qing took over in 1644 as the ruler of China, the economy further rose due to an increase in the silver paid by European traders to pay for their exports in precious metals, namely in silver and gold. The demand for Asian products rose in European markets and in the rest of the world, which led to the sharp rise in the amount of silver received by India and China. (Siddiqui, 2020c)

When we look back historically, until the mid-18th century, Asia accounted for three-fifths of the world’s output. China and India together accounted for 50% of the world’s output. Both together contributed 57% of the world’s manufacturing production and more than 60% of manufactured exports in the world. The Mughal Empire (1526-1707) at its height was wealthier than any state in Europe at that time. However, in India and China the ruling elites in the late 18th century remained parasitic on the peasants and urban handicrafts sectors, focusing on elite consumption with little attention given to improve productivity and adopt new technology in the agricultural sector beyond the extraction of rent. As Irfan Habib (1995: 231) has noted, “it must be considered whether the entire commercial system of the Mughal Indian economy was not largely parasitical, depending upon a system of direct agricultural exploitation by a small ruling elite.” He further emphasised that the capital had closely tied with their fortunes with the Mughal ruling elites and failed to develop an independent class to fight and protect their interests as happened in major European countries. In China too, during the Qing Dynasty (1638-1912), industrial revolution did not happen and the Chinese government did not promote research in science and technology. In contrast to India and China, Japan after the Meiji Restoration promoted science and technology and industries began to expand, their owners began to fight for their interests. (Siddiqui, 2015a; also 2015b)

During the mid-18th century, India produced cotton cloth with a wide range of qualities: calicos, chintzes, taffeta and superfine muslin and exported it to rest of the world. Indian merchants possessed huge wealth. China produced silk and porcelain as its main manufactured goods, (Siddiqui, 2020d) and India exported cotton cloths until this was taken over by the Lancashire cotton textile during the Industrial Revolution in Britain. Both India and China accumulated a huge amount of silver in the early 18thcentury from Europe from the export. During this period, both China and India were strong countries, both had highly developed economies and institutions, which was backed by centralised control, and European traders were buying commodities which were highly valued and demanded by European consumers.

The focus of the economic history should be what happened in the past rather than what people think happened in the past.

The focus of the economic history should be what happened in the past rather than what people think happened in the past. For instance, economic historian Douglas North focuses on institutions and its impact on the performance of the economic system and how institutions change over the time. Others, like Rondo Cameron, want to explain the unequal levels of development in the world. Angus Maddison (2007) estimated the growth performance in the different regions of the world over the last two millenniums, while David Landes wanted to trace economic advancement and mechanisation. We need to understand what was produced and how it was produced. How did we get to where we are today? How were goods produced in the past?

The Figure 1 is based on Angus Maddison’s research, which shows economic growth per capita from 1700 onwards. For instance, the economies of the UK, US, Germany and Japan begin to rise after 1870, otherwise per capita income was not very dissimilar to China. Prior to this, China’s economy was the largest in the world and China and India together contributed half of the world’s output in 1820. The big question is how Europe went from a marginal in the international economy and in terms of the world GDP, to become a global power in 250 years? In human history this is a very short period and the future historian will probably see it as a footnote in human developmental history.

The British East India Company was a trading company buying goods from Asia and selling in the rest of the world. The Company was established in London in 1600 by English merchants and elites and the Company was accorded monopoly trade with India and China. Thereafter, the Company continued to expand its business operations and profits, it not only monopolised trade, but later on colonised the whole of South Asia and operated until 1857, when the Company was taken over by the British crown. (Siddiqui, 2017c; also 2015c)

During the 17th century, China and India did not import from Europe and there was no demand for European goods in these countries. Elites of both countries did not consume European products. After colonising Bengal province in India in 1749, a decade later in 1757, the Company’s payment of silver for Indian exports fell from 80% to only 30%. Tribute was collected by the Company and that money was paid to buy goods from India. The Company exported opium, which was produced in India, and then sold to China by the Company to pay for its imports of goods from China. The opium exports rose from 2,000 chests in 1790 to 1840 to 24,000 chests annually. The spread of opium addiction by the Company led to a ban on opium by the Qing Empire, and the First Opium War (1839-42) resulted in the unequal treaty of Nanjing signed with Britain. As a result China ceded Hong Kong to Britain and had to open five ports for trade. However, the hostilities continued and the Second Opium War of (1856-60) with the Treaty of Tianjin was signed when the Chinese economy was opened and more ports were open to trade. (Siddiqui, 2020d; also 2019b)

In the 19th century, the industrial revolution had spread from Britain to other European countries and as a result technology spread to agriculture, shipping and communications and improved productivity. While the whole of India became a British colony, the Qing Empire after the ‘Opium Wars’ and Taiping Rebellion plunged into a civil war and was in no position to resist British colonisation, therefore economic and political sovereignty was lost. The British soon occupied Malaysia, Burma and Ceylon (Sri Lanka) and France occupied Indo-China and the Netherlands occupied Indonesia. (Siddiqui, 2019c; 2018b) Moreover, the opening of Suez Canal in 1869 further boosted trade and reduced travel distance. With the introduction of the steam engine, ship transport became cheaper and faster.

In the 19th century, the industrial revolution had spread from Britain to other European countries and as a result technology spread to agriculture, shipping and communications and improved productivity.

However, by the end of 18th century, the Industrial Revolution in Britain had brought a radical transformation of the situation over the next two centuries. The rapid decline of Asia from 1750 to 1950 continued. However, there were a few exceptions, such as Japan after the Meiji Restoration in 1868, but also Japan escaped being colonised by Europeans in the 19th century. Japan was humiliated and threatened by Commodore Perry, which discredited Tokugawa rulers and gave way to the Meiji Restoration of 1868, which initiated rapid industrialisation and the modernisation of the economy. The rapid transformation could be seen in terms of expanding the industrial sector, and increasing productivity and trade, Japan’s exports rose at 7.4% annually between 1883 and 1913, which was twice high as the growth in world trade of 3.4%. The changing structure of trade was remarkable, with manufacturing rising from 58% to more than 90% for the same period. Its GDP growth rate was nearly 4% annually, compared to just 0.7% for Britain, 1.1% for the US and 1.8% for Germany between 1883 and 1913. With the sharp expansion of its economy along with rapid structural change, Japan soon began to follow an expansionist policy and began to colonise other East Asian countries, such as attacks on China in 1895, colonising Taiwan in 1895 and Korea in 1910. (Siddiqui, 2016a; also 2016b)

During the rapid industrialisation in Japan from the end of the 19th century, the country had begun an expansionist policy. It launched a sustained drive for economic growth and technology and also had a specific focus on the export of manufactured goods in the post-war period. Japan took full benefits from the West during the Cold War period. Japan undertook massive domestic industrialisation in the 1950s and 1960sand a decade later, the four other East Asian countries followed the Japanese model according to their local suitability, namely Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan.

During the 1970s-1980s, the East Asian countries, rather than pursuing a ‘free market’ and ‘open door’ economic policy, opted for a developmental policy, which proved to be very effective in East Asian countries in terms of the strategy of industrial transformation and the government had a clear mission to enhance domestic industrialisation. This was possible due to the Cold War tension in the East Asian region between the US and then Soviet Union. Moreover, there were a number of external factors which contributed to their success. They began diversifying their economies when the Cold War between the West and the Soviet Union was at its height, and the West was willing to give more concessions to keep the regions on their side. (Siddiqui, 2015c; also 2015d) This led to a greater opening of Western markets for their products and also giving Asian countries greater access to capital and technology. The state intervention policy and slow opening of their markets for foreign competitors had shown the way for a successful developmental strategy to the region and helped them to enhance their positions in the world economy, moving from being backward and poor to developed economies in less than four decades. The successful transformation of their economies and societies was unprecedented in past history.

IV. The Rise of Financialization and the current Crisis

Since the 1990s, the role of the financial sector has grown enormously. The move towards integration of global economies has been demanded by the global corporations. The globalisation and capital liberalisation has expanded the role of finances in both developed and developing economies. The dismantling of national regulation, which was strongly demanded by the global finance, has increased the flow of finances.

In the UK, for example, the financial sector has been putting pressure on the government to fully adopt free market policies in the 1990s, and as suggested, could bring increased levels of competition across the sector. Along with such policies and under an increasingly competitive environment, the banks introduced new innovative products, which culminated with the global financial crisis of 2008. It seems that for the global financial corporations, inflation is the main concerned and threat. As Dow and Dow (2014:1350) comments: “The nature of the financial and the power it has wielded have provided scope for the acquisition of rents on a massive scale; these rents are based on valuations that are endogenous to the sector itself. But the crisis has provoked as public outcry over bonuses for senior bank executives. Governments had to ceded power to the financial sector such that the onset of crisis created the ‘too big to fail’ problem, requiring tax payer support”.

 Importance of Understanding the Past

The policy of de-regulation, privatisation, and trade liberalisation, has coincided with the reallocation of manufacturing to lower wage countries in recent decades. (Siddiqui, 2020c) Moreover, many Western businesses have shifted their focus from their responsibilities with stakeholder communities to stakeholders’ financial returns. This, along with global increased power the financial corporation’s was reinforced by further removing the legal provisions towards mobility of international capital. As a result, this created an exit option for capital, which pressurised host countries to adopt market-friendly policies. It was claimed that adopting such policies would enable the building of an efficient market-based competitive economy. Credits will be redirected towards where demands are higher and capital could be deployed to countries where it is scarce and also where opportunities for return are greater. The apologists emphasised that financialization has not gone far enough. The government gave in to their demands and allowed financial markets to become even bigger and more sophisticated. One major invention was the securitization of loans via the “originate and distribute” model, in which loans were bundled together and sold off. This allowed the development of pricing of riskier loan commitments and standardization and diversification of risks across countries and beyond. In the West, the largest banks have grown so big and accumulated asset sizes sometimes greater than their home country’s GDP. To suit their demands, the based accords were modified to permit the self-assessment of institutional risk and “shadow banking” surged.

The flaws in this centralised, deregulated, approach to finance have had profound consequences. Instead of reducing inequality by widening access to capital assets, these innovations in finance and their collapse worsened inequality and failed to build a viable economy and long-term sustainable growth as was initially envisaged.

The mainstream economists simply misunderstood how economies work and the implications of economic policies and processes. Since the 1980s, the neoclassical economists backed by the big corporations and elites of the West have lobbied within the discipline on the basis of half-truths on many critical issues such as: how the financial sector can be “efficient” without regulation; how ‘free trade’ and de-regulation in foreign investment, and globalisation can benefit every country. However, the effects of such polices on local industrialisation and economic diversification: economic sovereignty, climate change and ecological damage due to the globalisation of production and mass consumption, is completely ignored. Why is environmental destruction taking place on a large scale? At present, environmental destruction is occurring at unprecedented levels and a greater role for the markets in resource mobilisation, as advocated by mainstream economists, would be mean much worse. Sustainable development is an important goal to save resources, and both market and state should play a crucial role to protect natural resources. As UN Secretary General Ban Ki Moon said: “Climate change …environmental degradation, the loss of biodiversity and the potential for conflict growing out of competition over dwindling natural resources … Dealing with these issues is the great moral, economic and social imperative of our time”. (Ban Ki Moon, UN Secretary General, 2013)

These are unrealistic assumptions, and over reliance on market forces and global corporations for all socio-economic solutions for the developing countries, will have long terms impact on the society. However, such ideas are fully supported by the West and international institutions. In fact, this is done through a combination of powerful and elites in the West, and their excessive controls over the economic discipline, and also through media control and global financial institutions like the IMF, and the World Bank and World Trade Organisation (WTO).

Thomas Piketty, the French economist, in his landmark book Capital in the Twenty-First Century (2017) has brought the inequality question firmly back on the agenda. The scale of inequalities in income and wealth has grown over the last three decades. The situation has been aggravated since the global financial crisis of 2008.

The question arises: how can the West deal with the major structural imbalances within the member countries, and can further financial liberalisation help to achieve sustainable economic growth? It was mistaken that following self-correcting markets would resolve macroeconomic imbalances, in contrast to the interventionist policy of Keynes and Polanyi. The danger now is that the enforcement of austerity to bring economic stability and reverse the current crisis and economic decline will most likely deepen the crisis and further widen the gap between rich and poor.

Mainstream economists failed to realise that finance can destabilise the economy. The neglect of fiscal policy and distributional aspects, growth of monopolisation, education, health and people’s welfare, are all crucial in the long run to promote economic performance and stability. (Siddiqui, 2019c; also 2019d) Despite these deficiencies, mainstream economists fully control the discipline in important areas of policy making, international organisation and in prestigious academic institutions in the West. Dissent, although at minor level, has been ineffective in putting on pressure to shift policy.

Michael Kalecki contributed to the Keynesian model in a class framework. Keynes had stressed the role of government in increasing investment to increase output growth and how future profits are key for today’s investments. Kalecki argued that the rise in profit share comes at the cost of a falling share of wages which in turn leads to lower consumption and then lower output. Interestingly, Kalecki’s ideas have come to the forefront with the rise of the digital economy where the power is shifting increasingly from labour to capitalists. These shifting powers have led to large concerns over rising inequality across the world. But he did not take into account the role of finance like post-Keynesian economist Hyman Minsky. Minsky’s financial instability hypothesis, saw financial markets as inherently unstable and prone to optimism, euphoria and eventual crash, for instance, the hedge funds under which borrowers were able to make their interest payments and parts of principal from their loan. This is followed by speculative finance where only interest payments can be managed, and finally Ponzi finance where interest payments are possible only via further borrowing. This led to rapid financial growth and the financial fragility rose, which eventually turned into the financial crisis of 2008.

V. Conclusion

When we look back on the development of economic views historically, we find that Adam Smith’s Wealth of Nations argued beyond the logical derivation to substantive arguments drawn from the nature of things. The key idea was that real wealth of a nation depends on the real goods produced in the country. The wealth will only rise if either the labour required producing goods rises, or the productivity of labour rises. However, as the total goods produced are heterogeneous and we need a homogeneous measure to compare wealth, this becomes a problem. The nominal value of goods cannot be used as it includes the price element and is illusory. Later on in 1817, David Ricardo used a bottom-up approach and was more interested in estimating nominal value by estimating change in wages, rents and profits. (Siddiqui, 2018c) Ricardo criticised Smith for moving away from the labour theory of value and uses it as a basis for changes in output. Piero Sraffa questioned using an arbitrary commodity to measure value and how the commodity is itself affected by changes in distribution just like other commodities. But still Sraffa did not provide an alternate method where a standard commodity could be used as a standard measure of value.

The key idea was that real wealth of a nation depends on the real goods produced in the country. The wealth will only rise if either the labour required producing goods rises, or the productivity of labour rises.

Neoclassical theories emerged from classical theories in the late 19th century due to the so-called ‘utility revolution’. Hence the line was drawn: you cannot touch the status quo. We should not question the underlying social order. Power is a very under-studied area in economics. Mainstream economists always assume that the competitive market is power free, and people make voluntary decisions. They totally ignore the power of the market. For example, in Bangladesh, where there is a wide prevalence of unemployment, when a poor person takes up a job in chemical factory which might be harmful to his/her health, he/she still accepts due to poverty. He/she is forced to take up this job that might kill him/her. In this situation, neoclassical economists emphasise that the desperate poor person taking a job is a ‘free choice’ and assumed to be not under compulsion. But they ignore that his/her economic dire situation and poverty compelled him/her to accept.

Four decades of neoliberalism, economic and financial crisis has increased inequality in most countries. (Siddiqui, 2017a. also 2017b) The neoliberals’ idea for the prosperity of the world economy is based on free trade, and globalisation, meaning the continuation of Western hegemony. Their function is to justify a world economy based on full acceptance of the interest of the dominant countries, and former colonies must open their economies to goods and capital and to serve its labour and raw materials to benefit the global corporations. The West seeks to maintain the uneven world development that favours them. The colonies soon after independence found the option for domestic industrialisation was only open through state assisted development using tariffs and industrial policy to build domestic manufacturing. This was going back to the 1870s when the then economically-backward countries such as Germany and the United States, opted in favour of domestic industrialisation to challenge Britain’s industrial and imperial domination.

Neo-classical theorists advocate in favour of a competitive environment as well as a free market and less interference in economic policy. For them, the state should be confined to a small number of functions such as the protection of ‘property rights’ and competition. In recent years, it is clear to see that there has been a failure of mainstream economists in responding to the growth of economic inequality. In the West, wages of working people have stagnated while at the same time; incomes of top executives have increased disproportionately highly (Ostry et al 2016).

The rise in income inequality, besides undermining consumption, could also adversely affect economic performance by reducing inter-generational mobility. There could be a significant cost for the economy and society when children from low income households do not have equivalent opportunities to develop and use their skills and talents as their more fortunate counterparts from better off families, which Alan Krueger called the “Great Gatsby Curve” (Krueger, 2012). The growing inequality cannot be simply explained by the standard economic theories of competitive equilibrium. Thomas Piketty tends to use wealth and capital interchangeably. However, wealth and capital are two distinct concepts. The former is about control of resources, while the latter is the key input of production i.e. factors of production. Much of the wealth accumulated over the last three decades does not correspond to the rise in productive capital.

The study finds that economics is embedded in society and politics and the mainstream school of thoughts totally ignore this. Their inability to address effectively the key economic questions of our times: the economic strategies required to combat rising inequality, economic crisis, the climate change, and loss of biodiversity. In contrast, the historical approach understands that economic development is grounded in economic history and institutions which analyse the characteristics of production of a particular sector size and the distribution of rents in the economy and sectors. We have emphasised the issue of power relations and how they are embedded in institutions and policies. Economic history gives students a long-run perspective on economic conditions and helps contextualise the recent state of the global economy. In the real-world for better application of economic theories, more emphasis should be given to economic history, institutions, and pluralism to develop a curriculum that better prepares economic graduates for the challenges of the modern world.

About the Author

Dr. Kalim Siddiqui_Author

Dr. Kalim Siddiqui is an economist, specialising in International Political Economy, Development Economics, International Trade, and International Economics. His work, which combines elements of international political economy and development economics, economic policy, economic history and international trade, often challenges prevailing orthodoxy about which policies promote overall development in less developed countries. Kalim teaches international economics at the Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics, University of Huddersfield, U.K.. He has taught economics since 1989 at various universities in Norway and U.K.

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Prospects of a Multipolar World and the Role of Emerging Economies

Multipolar World_ Featured Image

By Dr. Kalim Siddiqui

I. Introduction

When we look at economic data on trade and output growth, there seems to be an economic shift gradually taking place from a US-led unipolar world towards a multipolar world. We analyse the long-term trends of capitalist globalisation and the recent globalisation which began in the early 1990s under neoliberal economic policies. It seems that in this context, debate over the ‘decline of the West’ and the ‘rise of the rest’, and the accompanying debate over the historic role of ‘rising powers’, takes on a new meaning. (Amsden, 2001; Hoogvelt, 2001)

Economic development is a concept that attempts to encompass many vast and complex processes of social economic transformation. In developing countries it conveys images of great promise and hope to billions of human beings concerning human betterment, and refers to a long-term historical project for the liberation of peoples and nations from the vestiges of colonialism, poverty, oppression and underdevelopment. Since independence, most of the developing countries’ economies have transformed significantly both in terms of per capita food consumption and incomes. Of course, this development was uneven and unequal between countries and within countries, but compared to their past (i.e. under a colonial regime) there is evidence of positive changes. For instance, there has been no occurrence of major famines, their total contribution to the world’s manufacturing has risen, and economic cooperation between developing countries, also known as ‘South-South’ cooperation, has risen, especially among East Asian countries. These historical changes, through a vision of mutual benefit and solidarity, has moved the region once again onto the centre stage of world politics and economics, leading to a renewed interest in East Asia’s historic promise to transform world order.

During the rise of mercantilism in the 16th century, European traders gradually expanded and finally removed Arab and Turkish traders who for centuries traded Chinese, Indonesian and Indian commodities to Europe. This process was further boosted by the industrial revolution in Europe in the late 18th and early 19th century.

The aim of this paper is to examine the relevance of multipolar world order. The multipolar world is defined as a state in which a country’s legitimate interests are respected, and developing countries can influence international development. The main long-term conflict seems to be between the ‘West’ versus the self determination of the people and sovereignty of developing countries. It is about sharing power, influence and acceptance of autonomy in decision making by various countries, with respect for economic diversity. The emancipation of human beings from oppression related to race, class, ethnicity and gender are crucial for establishing long-term peace and harmony.

During the rise of mercantilism in the 16th century, European traders gradually expanded and finally removed Arab and Turkish traders who for centuries traded Chinese, Indonesian and Indian commodities to Europe. This process was further boosted by the industrial revolution in Europe in the late 18th and early 19th century. This was the beginning of a new division of labour on a world scale to benefit Europeans, and British domination in Europe, rose in the early 19th century with the defeat of Napoleon Bonaparte. With European domination over Africa, Asia and Latin America, a new form of division of labour in the capitalist world economy was to allocate industrial production to Europe and agricultural and mineral production to the colonies. In the name of free trade and specialisation these policies were imposed on the colonies.

In contrast to the previous two and half centuries, in the first two decades of the 21st century or so the US has lost its influence in Latin America. The IMF and World Bank have also lost their influence over middle-income countries of the world and most of these economies have done well compared to two decades earlier. (Siddiqui, 2016a)

We should not underestimate the increasing importance of the rising powers of the emerging economies within the global capitalist economy. For the developing world as a whole, Nayyar notes that, in terms of their share in industrial production and the export of manufactured goods, there has been a significant degree of catch-up industrialisation since the 1950s, a process that has intensified since the 1970s. However, this catch-up has been characterised by broad unevenness across the developing world, with many of the gains limited to Asia and Latin America staying roughly constant, while Africa is falling even further behind. China, Brazil, Indonesia and India have seen the greatest gains, followed by Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Mexico, Malaysia, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey, Egypt and South Africa, followed in turn by the rest of the developing world. (Siddiqui, 2016a; also Siddiqui, 2015b) Even within the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) countries, there are considerable inequalities, with Brazil, India and South Africa all running sizeable trade deficits with China. A near-colonial pattern of trade exists within the developing world, involving the export of primary commodities to China and the import of manufactured goods from China, a pattern that can hardly be viewed as conducive to industrialisation, let alone indicative of a partnership for development. The rise of China, Malaysia, South Korea, Singapore, Brazil and India (as growing manufacturing powers therefore poses a threat to the future of manufacturing-based industrialisation elsewhere in the developing world, thereby potentially deepening the international division of labour between China and India and regions specialising in primary commodity production and natural resource extraction.

While emerging economies like Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Turkey, Russia and South Africa are likely to grow further in their influence, the US’s economic and political influence is receding. (Siddiqui, 2016b; also 2015c) It is much clearer during -Covid-19, that economic power will accelerate towards the East even as the global economic crisis deepens due to lower investments, and productivity growth. Globalisation will evolve and trade patterns are already altering, where East Asia and China are able to export a larger proportion of manufactured goods, and bilateral trade links between emerging economies such as Brazil, India, Indonesia, Turkey, Nigeria and South Africa will become more important. Urbanisation will accelerate in the world’s most populated countries namely China, Indonesia and India. Of course, there are enormous challenges and opportunities in the decades to come for the developing countries.

II. The debate

Francis Fukuyama’s book The End of History and The Last Man was published in 1992 at the end of the Cold War. He stated that history had come to its logical conclusion because humanity was finally able to deduce the most harmonious world order based on the ideals of liberal democracy and capitalism. However, the subsequent reality showed that the universal spread of these ideals had stagnated and caused underdevelopment in some countries. This led to turmoil in various regions, which clearly demonstrated that the proclamation of the end of history was premature and still remained a distant goal, and that critique and alternative of capitalism were necessary.

In contrast to Fukuyama’s conclusion that there is no alternative to capitalism, it was remarkable that in the early 1990s, when many observers were anticipating a new cycle of ‘Western’ ascendancy, Janet Abu-Lughod viewed the end of the era of ‘European hegemony’ and a ‘return to the relative balance of multiple centres’ that preceded Euro-Atlantic imperial globalisation in the 19th century. This systemic change must be analysed from a long historical perspective. For instance, the opening of the ‘New Worlds’ Atlantic system that opened the way for European world hegemony, beginning with the colonisation of the Americas soon after the slave trade, plantation and colonisation and plunder of the parts of the world today known as developing countries (Abu-Lughod, 1991).

After the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, the West led by the US began to impose ‘free trade’ via the WTO and IMF/World Bank more aggressively. However, most developing countries, rather than totally rejecting the principles of a US-supported global free trade policy, saw themselves as having little choice but to seek membership of the WTO, since to do otherwise would be to risk economic and political marginalisation. At the same time, however, the WTO placed significant constraints on the policy options of developing countries. As such, a feature of the new SSC (South-South Cooperation) is that of seeking the reform of the WTO. At the 2003 WTO Ministerial Meeting in Cancun, the Group of 20 developing nations demanded concessions on agricultural and governance issues. Indeed, it was the failure of the rich countries to meet these demands that played an important role in the collapse of the negotiations of the Doha Round. (Siddiqui, 2018a; also Siddiqui, 2018b) 

During the 1990s, for example, trade liberalisation under the World Trade Organisation (WTO), most notably Doha Round, did not come to a close for over a decade because India repeatedly rejected existing reform proposals. Even in 2008, when there was a large majority in favour of accepting the suggested agreement in the ministerial meeting, India vetoed it on the grounds that it would be too harmful to the large number of Indian peasants engaged in subsistence farming. The India, Brazil, and South Africa grouping has similarly criticised the protectionist policies of the G8 and emphasised the need to push ahead with the Doha developmental round. (Siddiqui, 2018c; also Siddiqui, 2010) Moreover, in contrast to the developing country group solidarity of the past, the argument put forward has been that liberalisation has not gone far enough, and that a world without the WTO and other international financial institutions would only reinforce the West’s policy to extract concessions from the smaller and most poor among the developing countries.

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Although the radicalism shown in the 1970s by the NAM (Non-Aligned Movement) via the Group of 77 has vanished, the BRICS grouping has sought to address several of the issues originally raised by the NIEO (New International Economic Order), such as the reform of international financial institutions to give the rising powers more influence in their operations. A key demand of BRICS has, for example, been the reform of IMF governance to increase the quota allotted to developing countries (Bello, 2014; Siddiqui, 2016b) and to end the arrangement whereby the leadership positions of the IMF and World Bank are limited to Europeans and Americans, respectively. This cause was given added legitimacy in 2012 when the BRICS countries bolstered the IMF by contributing to the organisation’s $430 billion bailout. India, Russia and Brazil all contributed US$10 billion each, South Africa contributed US$ 2 billion, and China a massive US$53 billion, creating a total BRICS contribution of nearly US$ 100 billion. Progress in reform was slow, however. Following the G20 Agreement on Quotas and Governance reached in 2012, the IMF Board of Governors drew up a reform package that involved a doubling of quotas, with a shift of more than 6% of quota shares from over-represented to under-represented member countries. China was to become the third largest member country in the IMF, with Brazil, India and Russia to become among the 10 largest shareholders in the Fund. (IMF, 2007)

In the early 1970s the G77 and the Non Aligned Movement (NAM) challenged the post-war liberal capitalist system through collective action at the UN to establish a NIEO. The aim was to improve socio-economic conditions of the people in the developing countries and full fill the dream of anti-colonial movements. It also means sovereignty of both political and economic of the former colonies by redistributive mechanisms correcting historically constructed core – periphery disparities. It failed due to the rich countries refusal to accept even their modest demands. However, at present, the economies of the developing countries are able to grow faster in the last two decades compared to 1990s. And some of them have emerged stronger economically and increased their share in the global output. The developed countries, which still have control over global institutions like the UN, IMF, World Bank and WTO, are centred in Europe, North America and Japan, also known as the ‘West’. After the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, and with the end of Cold War, the advanced capitalist countries had formed unipolar world under US leadership, and NATO military alliance was strengthened to attack outside Europe, such as in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Libya.

Moreover, the collapse of primary commodity prices in 2014, which seemed to have underpinned much of the progress made in the developing world, it created economic difficulties for the developing countries. In terms of their impact on global governance, BRICS may have more success in influencing the UN, the World Bank, the IMF and the WTO. The BRICS have failed to coordinate their actions, and their relationship with each other is characterised more by rivalry, economic or political, and less by unity. (Siddiqui, 2016b) In fact, the spirit of solidarity among developing countries should be expanded, and the approach of BRICS must be to facilitate cooperation among themselves and solidarity with others through mutual economic interests and consultation.

III. Struggle for Development and Autonomy

Since the collapse of European colonialism in Asia and Africa after World War II, the key global challenge for the former colonial countries has been how to achieve real autonomy as shown by the US, nearly a century and half ago, with its struggle against British colonialism and finally independence in 1776 and de facto rather than de jure equality. Initial conditions varied considerably country to country between the colonies, with greater or lesser levels of industrialisation and differing levels of institutions. The postcolonial states, including the states of Latin America that had achieved independence in the early 19thcentury, but remained locked economically with the US and Europe, found it difficult to overcome developmental hurdles rooted in historically constructed patterns of economic dependency, inequality, malnutrition and poverty. In general, between 1950 and up to 1970, the living standards in the ‘peripheral’ world have improved compared to the first half of the 20th century. This was positive development in contrast to 1950, when their average income as measured by per capita output was on average no better than they had been in 1800, while their relative share of world manufacturing (6.5%) was five times lower than it had been in 1860 (36.6%). By 1970, their share of the world’s output had increased to 9%, which was remarkable.

This was due to the economic policy of the state taking the lead in promoting domestic industrialisation i.e. state-led industrialisation strategies also known as ISI. Nonetheless, most developing countries were less successful compared to the East Asian countries, which were able to expand their manufacturing sector to a greater extent, and were also able to sharply increase their share in global export. By the early 1980s, the largest gains were concentrated in a small region, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, Hong Kong, Brazil and Mexico accounted for nearly a third of industrial production outside of China, in the developing countries. This means that independence has not translated into a fundamental improvement of the relative economic position of most developing countries, especially, South Asia, Africa and Latin America.

Dependency theorists have argued about the existence of asymmetries and constraints that reproduced international hierarchy, which undermined the economic independence of countries that were kept in subordinate positions in the world capitalist economy. Dependency relations constructed in the colonial era continued to operate through world-level mechanisms, global market forces, production, and monetary structures. Unequal terms of trade and exchange, which created structural vulnerabilities and inhibited the possibilities of sovereign economic development, also kept them out of any successful development, as happened in the case of late developing countries in the late 19th century, e.g. the case of Germany and the US. As a result, the former colonial countries were trapped in a global division of labour largely benefitting the needs of the West. For dependency theorists this situation implied that autonomy could only be achieved outside the dominant system, through exit and revolution. (Dos Santos, 1970)

Dependency theorists have argued about the existence of asymmetries and constraints that reproduced international hierarchy, which undermined the economic independence of countries that were kept in subordinate positions in the world capitalist economy.

The post-World War world order became the central concern and aim of the constellation of postcolonial leaders, theorists and activists who initiated the drive for an NIEO in the late 1960s, which culminated in the adoption of the Declaration on the Establishment of a New International Economic Order at the General Assembly of the United Nations in May 1974. The aim of this programme, which grew out of the 1955 Bandung conference of non-aligned states, was far more ambitious and intellectually coherent than earlier non-aligned efforts: to create and institutionalise a global redistributive order founded on new binding rules that would ‘correct inequalities and redress existing injustices…eliminate the widening gap between the developed and the developing countries and ensure steadily accelerating economic and social development and peace and justice for present and future generations’ (UN General Assembly, 1974).

The developing countries called for a reform of the Bretton Woods institutions and to correct terms of trade imbalances between the developing and developed countries, and supervision of transnational corporations to secure the sovereignty of every State over its natural resources; the right of states to nationalise foreign firms and to exercise control over resource exploitation; (Siddiqui and Armstrong, 2017a) the facilitation of technology transfer and the promotion of endogenous technological development; and the strengthening of mutual economic, trade, financial and technical cooperation among the developing countries.

However, the very sharp rise in oil prices by oil exporting countries (OPEC) in 1973 constituted a major challenge to most of the developing countries, and oil importers were obliged to finance their imports through debt. The US had strategic leverage over the Middle-East absolute monarchies and dictatorships, which accounted for 75% of total OPEC money surpluses, who deposited most of their surpluses in US banks and US treasury bonds. Only relatively small volumes of ‘petrodollars’ were actually channelled back to the least developed countries, whose balance of payments problems augmented their vulnerability. The result was a tightening of IMF control, and hence, US structural influence over the economies of the energy-dependent developing countries. Neither the USA nor Europe seriously entertained the idea of a redistributive grand bargain responding to the core concerns of the framers of the NIEO. While the USA actively sought to divide the developing countries, the Europeans responded with some conciliatory measures, such as the 1975 Lomé Convention, which gave former African, Caribbean and Pacific colonies preferential access to the European market. But these actions were not designed to stimulate development or correct historical disparities; they were to maintain the precarious control by the former imperial states over the parts of their former colonies.

Two important changes took place in the late 1970s which effectively ended the challenge to the liberal capitalist hegemony. The first, which matured slowly, and the effects of which only became fully apparent in the 1990s, was the decision taken in 1978 by the Chinese Communist Party to launch a programme of gradual adoption of a pro-market policy and economic liberalisation and to integrate its economy with the West. The second was the decision taken by the US Federal Reserve in 1979 to raise interest rates. As a result, the Latin American debt crisis in the early 1980s accumulated a large dollar denominated debts.

This sweeping conclusion has, of course, been thoroughly disconfirmed by more recent growth evolutions but it had some pertinence at the time it was formulated, coinciding with the spread and ascendancy of neoliberalism and the ‘Washington Consensus’. Having neutralised the NIEO challenge, in the 1980s and 1990s the USA and the Europe along with a constellation of public and private international actors, set and enforced a global liberalisation regime that was directed against state-led developmental models also known as ‘import substitution industrialisation’(ISI) (Siddiqui, 2012a; see Siddiqui, 2010), which tightened constraints on most, though not all, post-colonial states during the debt-crisis in the 1980s and 1990s, the West exerted intense political pressure on developing nations to open their economies and as a result national economic regulations and tariffs were removed in the name of efficiency and competition.

IV. Growth of Regional Economy

Although a significant share of East Asia’s trade is in intermediate manufactured goods for final destination export to the USA, Europe and Japan, it has allowed for technology transfers and has stimulated endogenous growth factors in East Asia region. The other dimension is regionalisation and the intensification of transnational trade and investment flows among the developing countries. Regionalisation has been an important feature of East Asian re-emergence. Initiated by the relocation of Japanese manufacturing capacities in the 1980s, which generated a concatenated division of labour in East Asia, regional economic integration has deepened over the past decade and a half. Intra-regional trade as a share of total trade has thus risen constantly over past decades by 20% in 1970, 32% in the early 1980s, 47% in the early 1995, 54.8% in 2000 and nearly 60% in 2012.

The Chinese government appears to be only focusing on building its economy and the living conditions of its people. China has become the world’s largest economy, but it has a population of 1.4 billion, which is more than four times larger than the US. Having an economy the size of the US means that average living standards are far lower than in the US and at present, per capita income is one-fourth than of the US. It means that China still has a long way to go to become a rich country.

Chinese annual GDP growth averaged over 9% between 1997 and 2019 and, in the aftermath of the East Asian crisis, trade and investment flows between China and the rest of Asia grew significantly. Since the late 1990s, regional trade with China has been growing faster than with the US. For instance, Japan’s imports from China already exceed those from the US, and Japanese exports to China have been steadily rising. This same trend is apparent in South Korean, Thai, Malaysian and Singaporean trade flows (Amsden, 2001; Siddiqui, 2020a).

Chinese leaders thus interpret the 1997 East Asian financial crisis as a turning point: ‘The process of the East Asian cooperation has been consolidated day by day since then [and is now] based on a multi-layered, multi-faceted structure’. Recent moves to gradually internationalise the Renminbi and use it in regional transactions, such as the June 2012 Japanese–Chinese accord to trade in their currencies rather than the dollar, represent a further step in this direction. (Siddiqui, 2020d)

Trade between China and all other developing countries grew significantly over the past two decades. While the share of South America, Africa and South Asia in China’s total trade remains relatively small, it is steadily growing, but China’s share in their total trade has become strategically important. The space is not available for a comprehensive review of the new transcontinental flows, but the pattern is clear even when we look at the data. Over the past two decades Asia has become Brazil’s main trading partner, accounting for 30% of its exports and 31% of its imports. Exports to China, as a share of total exports, have risen from 0.9% in 1992 to over 17%. China has thus become Brazil’s second trading partner, just behind the European Union (21%) but well ahead of the US (10%). Argentina’s exports to China, as a share of total exports, have likewise risen from 1.1% to 9.7%. Similar patterns are apparent for Africa, where South Africa’s export share to China has risen from 1.8% in 1998 to over 12% in 2018, while imports rose from 3% to 15%, and Nigeria’s exports from 0.5% to 6.9%. In South Asia the share of Indian exports to China has risen from 2.9% to over 10%, and imports from 2% to 12% during the same period.

V. Restructuring Global Capitalism

It seems that the historic pendulum, which had swung to the ‘West’ in the late 18th century, is swinging back to Asia, which is reclaiming the leading economic role it held for a very long period before the Age of the Western Empire. The movement towards a polycentric and plural world system has indeed quickened over the past quarter century, as major Asian regions have consolidated their position as a dynamic growth region of the world capitalist economy, developing regional and transcontinental linkages that are reconfiguring global trade, investment and financial flows.

First in the 1960s, economic changes began in the East Asian region and later on in the 1990s, growth spread to other developing countries like Brazil, China, India, South Africa and Turkey. The systemic restructuring has primarily been driven by East Asia, which has experienced a process of economic expansion, the duration of which have been remarkable by historic standards. Beginning with Japan’s rapid economic transformation in the 1950s and 1960s, a regional development dynamic was set into motion that spread successively, in wave-like formations, to the Newly Industrialised Countries and moreover, over the last four decades, to spectacular growth in China. Varying initial conditions, historic pathways and a combination of both state and markets have produced positive results in East Asia. There are uneven country-to-country developmental outcomes, distinguishing first and second wave industrialising from third and fourth wave countries that are climbing the ladder but are not far from catching-up with the most developed economies. (Siddiqui, 2020c) 

Growing financial power derived from cumulative surpluses is another important feature of the rebalancing of the world economy, which has been accentuated by the deepening economic crisis in the European Union, Brexit and in the USA.

Nonetheless, a coherent process has been at work, unfolding over time and space to most of the region, with global effects. East Asia’s aggregate share of constantly increasing world GDP (in PPP), which was negligible in the 1950s, has thus risen from around 10% in 1980 to 30% in 2015. China’s share has grown from 2% to over 18%. Over the same time period PPP per capita GDP in current international dollars was multiplied by 14 in South Korea, by over seven in Singapore and Thailand, by six in Malaysia and Indonesia, and by 39 in China (from US$250 to US$9380 in 2019)–a spectacular increase that reflects the intensity of growth and its cumulative impact. By the end of 2020 East Asia’s share of world GDP (in PPP) is expected to reach 32%, with China accounting for nearly two-thirds of the total. In South Asia, India’s world share has risen from 2.5% to 5.5%, and per-capita GDP has increased by a factor of 14, from $419 dollars to $3800 dollars today (in current US dollars). Asia’s aggregate share of world GDP (in PPP) is thus projected to approach 46% in a few years. When other major re-emerging countries and world regions – Brazil, India, Turkey, Mexico, and South Africa are taken into account, despite the Covid-19 setback, their world output share in 2020 is expected to exceed 55%.

Over the past two decades, East Asia region has thus been the main source of world growth and has emerged as increasingly trade and investment linkages. Growing financial power derived from cumulative surpluses is another important feature of the rebalancing of the world economy, which has been accentuated by the deepening economic crisis in the European Union, Brexit and in the USA. We are witnessing the end of the long historical cycle during which wealth and power were concentrated in the hands of a small number of countries in Europe, North America and Japan. (Siddiqui, 2019a; also Siddiqui, 2012b) The hierarchical international system constructed in the last three hundred years, that was centred in Europe, and which instituted a global division of labour dividing the world into dominant cores and dependent peripheries, is giving way to a multi-polar world.

In fact, the USA’s Cold War strategy required a few regions of secure and prosperous states in Northeast Asia to contain the Soviet Union and China, until the late 1960s Sino-Soviet border tension, and to minimise any possibility of radical movement in the region. (Siddiqui, 2017b) This is also true of China, which, because of its scale, nonetheless constitutes a special case. Gradual integration into the world capitalist economy and export-led industrialisation modelled on the neo-mercantilist strategies of earlier East Asian developmental states has generated intense growth and real GDP gains over long periods. The capitalist transformation has simultaneously led to spatial polarisation, large-scale continental mass migrations, sharp new social stratifications and major problems of environmental sustainability linked to energy use and urbanisation. Sustained growth, fuelled by transnational investment flows, has been made possible by the mobilisation and exploitation of a vast subordinate labour force, notably women concentrated in low value-added activities, raising crucial issues of gender and class.

While they highlight the need for vigorous corrective measures, without which a country’s development is likely to be compromised, these problems do not call into question the fact that the strategy followed since 1978 has been broadly successful. China’s pathway bears some analogies to US economic expansion in the 19th century, which was fostered by transnational flows and relied on the exploitation of slave labour until the mid-19th century, and of low wage immigrant labour in the latter part of the century. This comparison is not meant to justify disciplinary Chinese labour policies, although there are currently some signs of relaxation, much less the authoritarian regime that is engineering capitalist transformation. It merely points to the fact that China, through the exploitation of its rural and most backward regions, is following the path of earlier successful European Capitalism.

Soon after the communist revolution in China in 1949, the country faced enormous challenges, seeking to overcome severe underdevelopment, widespread malnutrition and illiteracy, and the Western monopoly over technology. It promoted reforms to encourage growth and economic development such as the government’s introduction of radical land reforms, compulsory primary education, and the availability of primary health care for all its citizens. Deng Xiaoping, the chief architect of the ‘open policy towards the West’ expressed this as: “Our country must develop. If we do not develop then we must be bullied. Development is the only hard truth.”

China’s political orientation has been shaped by its history of subjugation by foreign powers since the mid-19th century, also known as the “century of humiliation”, and anti-imperialist struggles for national liberation. In the 1950s and 1960s, China extended support to developing countries due to the collective struggle of formerly colonised and oppressed nations against global inequality brought by the West.

Four decades later, the success of the Chinese economic reform is undeniable, and it is even noted that such a rapid economic transformation has never happened in human history in such a short period. According to the World Bank, China has lifted nearly 800 million people out of poverty, more than ever happened in human history, and generated “the fastest sustained expansion by a major economy in history”. China’s GDP growth has averaged 10% annually for over forty years, without crises, with the country becoming a world leader in manufacturing, technology and innovation. In mater of just two life spans, from being extremely poor to an international power, China is now predicted to overtake the US in GDP terms in the next fifteen years. Measured in terms of PPP, China’s economy already surpassed the US in 2018.

Since the last decade, the US-China trade imbalance has been rising against the US as shown in Figure 1. The US has blamed China and claimed it is due to the Chinese policy of currency manipulation. (Siddiqui, 2020b) After Donald Trump became President of the US in 2017, he initiated a rise in tariffs against certain Chinese products and also threatened more trade sanctions against China and Russia. However, a number of studies have pointed out that the US trade deficit rose not only with China but with Europe and Japan as well (see Figure 2). Therefore, the persistence of trade imbalances trends must be seen as a US domestic policy, rather than putting the blame on others. I argue that a disparity in real costs is the root cause of the US-China trade imbalance.

Figure 1, which shows the trade in goods between the US and China, indicates that the US has had trade deficits in goods with China since the early 1990s, which has grown substantially. For example, the deficit was only US$10 billion in 1990, but by 2000 had reached US$100 billion; by 2005 it had risen further to US$200 billion, by 2012 it was US$ 315 billion, and by 2017 it had reached US$376 billion. The sharpest rise was since 2001, which also coincided with China joining the WTO. For example, China’s exports to the US increased from US$125 billion to US$505 billion, while US exports to China increased only US$19 billion to about US$130 billion for the same period.

Figure 1

Figure 2 indicates that China is an important trading partner for the US, but that China still has less than half of the US’s overall trade deficits. For example, in 2017 the US’s trade deficit with China was US$ 375 billion; however, its overall trade deficit was US$ 775 billion. This means that even if the US were to eliminate its trade deficit with China, its trade imbalance problems would still exist.

Figure 2

The US trade deficit and also external payments kept on rising as shown in Figure 3, and has grown remarkably over the last two decades. This was coincident with the period when China joined WTO, which appears to have given the US an excuse to blame China for raising its trade deficits. The US trade deficit with China and other countries are shown in Figure 2. Since 1990, the labour and total factor productivity in the advanced economies has witnessed negative growth, while in the emerging economies including China it has grown steadily, as indicated in Figure 5.

Figure 3

The US-China trade war has facilitated the establishment of Russia as China’s top strategic partner. This also led Russian oil to be redirected from European countries to China. Chinese President Xi Jinping announced in Russia in 2019 the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), both countries signed to develop bilateral trade and cross-border payments using the Rouble and Renminbi, bypassing the US dollar. (Siddiqui, 2020d)

Figure 4

As China overtook the US as the worlds’ largest economy, a multi-polar world could be a welcome development for all, especially the developing countries. According to Fortune 2018, among global 500 top businesses, the China has moved into second position only behind the US (see Figure 4). The IMF has said that in 2019 China displaced the US as the world’s largest economy. The IMF’s estimation is made on a purchasing power parity (PPP) basis, meaning that it takes into account the differing prices in both countries. Therefore, if at present 1 US$ is worth Chinese 6.1 Renminbi on the foreign exchange market, it means that 6.1 Renminbi can buy much more in China than one dollar can buy in the US market. Hence, the PPP comparison makes adjustments for this, and this is why the Chinese economy is much larger than the measure most commonly used by international organisations and media, which simply converts China’s GDP to US dollars at the official exchange rate.

Figure 5

China is playing a very assertive and leading role in global affairs. It has launched the trillions of dollars on ‘Belt and Road Initiative’ – called “the largest single infrastructure programme in human history.” The BRI involves over 70 countries and 1700 developmental projects, connecting Asia, Europe, Africa and Latin America (Siddiqui, 2019c), while the US is facing economic stagnation and decline, and is losing international control. The US President Donald Trump in 2019 increased military spending rapidly to US$ 716 billion and has brought into his cabinet extreme hawks and anti-China hardliners such as Mike Pompeo and Peter Navarro.

For US policy makers and elites, rather than accepting this new challenge, they see it as a threat to their world domination, and have formulated a recent policy known as the “containing China” policy. Similarly, three-quarters of a century earlier, the US took over as the leader of the capitalist world, declared the Soviet Union as its main enemy, and began an arms race with the Soviet Union. However, at that time the Soviet economy was one-quarter of the size of the US. But now the situation is very different, the Chinese economy is currently bigger than the US and also has huge amounts of trade and a current account surplus. Even after the Covid-19 set back, the Chinese economy has not only recovered, but began growing into the fastest economy in the world. Moreover, China has emerged as the top investor country in the world in recent years. China is a rising power, but they do not seem to be interested in building an empire. For example, China’s billon US dollar investment commitment to ‘one belt one road’, and it becoming the largest investor in Africa, while the West has still not recovered from the 2008 financial crisis and the more recent Covid-19 epidemic.

It seems that due to the long-term consequences of the COVID crisis, public debt in most developed economies will rise sharply. In fact, the 2008 financial crisis increased government debt in the US and EU. (Siddiqui, 2020c; also Siddiqui, 2019b) We think of the financial crisis as a temporary shock that the developed economies barely recovered from, but as we look at the current crisis, it will increase government debt greatly compared to the GDP. This is a legacy that will remain for a long time and will pose very pressing policy questions. As we think about the future of developed economies, in the US and EU, we have to ask ourselves how we will be dealing with a level of government debt that will exceed, as a share of GDP, the amount we had at the end of World War II. The management of this new massive debt through the policy response in the aftermath of the crisis will shape Western society, determining the economic balance between generations, the actual opportunities for future generations, and the technological disruption and transformation that was already in place before this outbreak.

VI. Conclusion

As we have discussed, the new globalisation cycle that began in the late 20th century has led to an unexpectedly rapid, albeit still incomplete, rebalancing between emerging and advanced economies. East Asia has been the main driver of a systemic change that is leading to new transnational linkages between Asia, Africa and Latin America. These new patterns of interaction are part of a broad process of gradual decentring and restructuring of the world economy that, at the political level, is leading to a diffusion of power. Domestic or international events, for instance a hypothetical but not unthinkable Chinese overreach in the South China Sea leading to sustained inter-state tensions, might slow but are unlikely to halt a transformation that is embedded in globalisation and has become one of its driving forces.

The rapid economic development in the emerging economies has been dynamically restructuring world capitalism from within. It conforms to one of the historic aims of generations of anti-colonial leaders and thinkers, gaining upward mobility and achieving sovereign equality, the way in which it is occurring represents a rather sharp break with the past. But unlike the first generation of postcolonial leaders, who aimed for revolution or sought to invent a ‘Third Way’ between capitalism and communism, and the framers of the NIEO who challenged the intellectual and material foundations of the post-1945 world order, the actors of the current shift in global power relations are claiming a central competitive place in the world capitalist system that their predecessors had attempted to either reform or supplant. (Dos Santos, 1970) The success of that claim, and their consequent implications for current and future global system management, has dampened and in some cases entirely submerged the broader emancipatory or universalistic dimensions of the long struggle for independence, equality and justice.

The rapid economic development in the emerging economies has been dynamically restructuring world capitalism from within. It conforms to one of the historic aims of generations of anti-colonial leaders and thinkers, gaining upward mobility and achieving sovereign equality, the way in which it is occurring represents a rather sharp break with the past.

It has now been sixty-five years since the historic Bandung Conference of 1955, rightly regarded as a milestone in the formation of SSC as a global political movement. The SSC as a movement intended to challenge the Northern-dominated political and economic system and, from the 1950s to the present, has been through a series of starts and stops, surges and retreats. As expressed at the Asian-African Conference held in Bandung in 1955, the newly decolonised countries of the global South emphasised economic and political cooperation, human rights, and the promotion of world peace. This emergent movement of solidarity among the developing countries thereby sought to challenge global power relations. The ‘Bandung Spirit’ henceforth came to encapsulate policies of non-interference and developing economic cooperation among the former colonies to end global inequality while lessening their economic and political dependence on the West. While Bandung and the NAM embodied the political dimensions, the Group of 77, named after the number of countries present at the founding of the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), called for the establishment of a NIEO. The NIEO was to be achieved through tackling structural unequal exchanges through ‘a just and equitable relationship’ between the goods exported by developing countries and the goods imported, with an emphasis on sovereignty over natural resources and the right to nationalise key industries and to formulate their own domestic economic policies as sovereign nations.

By the 1980s, however, the developing countries’ debt crisis and the rise of neoliberalism had served to eclipse the NIEO project. The retreat of developing countries’ solidarity was given no clearer indication than at the 1992 UNCTAD summit, when UNCTAD dropped its demands for the adjustment of the international patent system to the developmental needs of the global South, and adopted a statement expressing the belief that the adoption of adequate and effective International Patent Protections and related efforts in the World Intellectual Property Organization and the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) would facilitate technological transfers to developing countries. Henceforth, UNCTAD had been sidelined by GATT, and its successor the WTO.

The study finds that people have nothing to fear from a multi-polar world. And today it seems that the time is ripe for emerging economies to stand up and demand a greater role in the international arena related to the formulation of politics and economics, and in support of its historic promise to transform the world order. There has been a historically significant global shift in production and manufacturing from the advanced economies to the emerging economies, altering the economic geography of the world. The tendency over the past several decades to greatly intensify the globalisation of production, trade and financial flows was advocated primarily as a systemic solution to underlying structural problems in the international political economy, including growth, terms of trade, and productivity. But these same globalising tendencies have also enhanced the historical potential of economic growth and industrialisation in the emerging economies, although currently limited to only a few regions, but expected to spread in the coming decades.

About the Author

Dr. Kalim Siddiqui_Author

Dr. Kalim Siddiqui is an economist, specialising in International Political Economy, Development Economics, International Trade, and International Economics. His work, which combines elements of international political economy and development economics, economic policy, economic history and international trade, often challenges prevailing orthodoxy about which policies promote overall development in less developed countries. Kalim teaches international economics at the Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics, University of Huddersfield, U.K.. He has taught economics since 1989 at various universities in Norway and U.K.

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  • Hoogvelt, A. (2001). Globalization and the Postcolonial World: The New Political Economy of Development. Basingstoke: Palgrave, 2001.
  • IMF. (2007). Regional Economic Outlook Asia Pacific, October, Washington DC: International Monetary Fund. http://aric.adb.org/indicator.php.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2020a). “A Comparative Political Economy of China and India: A Critical Review”, chapter 3, pp. 31-58, in (edi) Young-Chan Kim. China-India Relations: Geo-Political Competition, Economic Cooperation, Cultural Exchange and Business Ties, Cham, Switzerland:  Springer Nature Switzerland AG.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2020b). “The Rise of Chinese Economy and Growing Concerns in the United States”, World Financial Review, August/September.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2020c). “Globalisation, International Trade and the Developing Countries”, European Financial Review, August/September, pp.60-70.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2020d). “The US Dollar and the World Economy: A critical review”, Athens Journal of Economics and Business. 6(1): 21-44.  January, https:doi:10.30958/ajbe/v6i1.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2019a). “The Political Economy of Global Inequality: An Economic Historical Perspective”, Argumenta Oeconomica Cracoviensia, 21(2): 11-42.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2019b). “The US Economy, Global Imbalances under Capitalism: A Critical Review”, Istanbul Journal of Economics 69(2): 175-205, December.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2019c). “One Belt and One Road, China’s Massive Infrastructure Project to Boost Trade and Economy: An Overview”, 9(2): 214-235.  International Critical Thought.  Taylor & Francis Group, Routledge.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2019d). “Financialisation, Neoliberalism and Economic Crises in the Advanced Economies”, World Financial Review, May-June, pp.22-30.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2018a). “Capitalism, Globalisation and Inequality”, World Financial Review, November/December, pp. 72-77.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2018b). “David Ricardo’s Comparative Advantage and Developing Countries: Myth and Reality”, International Critical Thought, 8(3): 1-28, September. Taylor & Francis Group.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2018c). “The Political Economy of India’s Post-Planning Economic Reform: A Critical Review”, World Review of Political Economy 9(2): 235-264.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2018d). “The Political Economy of India’s Economic Changes since the last Century” Argumenta Oeconomica Cracoviensia, 19: 103-132.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2017a). “Financialization and Economic Policy: The Issues of Capital Control in Developing Countries” World Review of Political Economy 8 (4): 564-589.
  • Siddiqui, K. and P. Armstrong. (2017b). “Capital Control Reconsidered: Financialization and Economic Policy”, International Review of Applied Economics 32(6): 1-19, March.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2017c). “The Bolshevik Revolution and the Collapse of the Colonial System in India”, International Critical Thought 7(3): 418-437.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2016a). “Will the Growth of the BRICs Cause a Shift in the Global Balance of Economic Power in the 21st Century?” International Journal of Political Economy 45(4):315-338, Routledge Taylor & Francis.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2016b). “A Study of Singapore as a Developmental State” in edited by Young-Chan Kim. Chinese Global Production Networks in ASEAN, pp.157-188, London: Springer.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2016bc). “International Trade, WTO and Economic Development”, World Review of Political Economy 7(4): 424-450, winter, Pluto Journals.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2015a). “Political Economy of Japan’s Decades Long Economic Stagnation”, Equilibrium Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy 10(4):9-39. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.12775/ EQUIL.2015.033.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2015b). “Trade Liberalisation and Economic Development: A Critical Review”, International Journal of Political Economy 44(3):228-247.Taylor & Francis
  • Siddiqui, K. (2015c). “Challenges for Industrialisation in India: State versus Market Policies”, Research in World Economy 6(2):85-98.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2015d). “Foreign Capital Investment into Developing Countries: Some Economic Policy Issues”, Research in World Economy 6(2):14-29
  • Siddiqui, K. (2015e). “Perils and Challenges of Chinese Economic Development”, International Journal of Social and Economic Research 5 (1): 1-56.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2012a). “Developing Countries’ Experience with Neoliberalism and Globalisation”, Research in Applied Economics 4(4):12-37, December.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2012b). “Malaysia’s Socio-Economic Transformation in Historical Perspective”, International Journal of Business and General Management, 1(2):1-50, November. ISSN: 2319-2267.
  • Siddiqui, K. (2010). “Globalisation and Neo-liberal Economic Reforms in India: A Critical Review”, in edited by S. K. Pramanick and R. Ganguly, Globalization in India: New Frontiers and Emerging Challenges, pp.219-243, New Delhi: Prentice Hall.
  • UN General Assembly. (1974). Declaration on the Establishment of a New International Economic Order, UN 6th Special Session 3201 (S-VI New York, 1 May)

An Essential Guide to Iron Condor Trading Strategies

If you are a newcomer to options trading, you probably don’t realize that you have an immense amount of options out there (no pun intended). You will have strategies such as “covered call”, “married put”, “protective collar”, “long straddle”, “long strangle” and many others. One strategy that continues to increase in popularity would be the Iron Condor strategy, and if you are interested in investigating this option, then the following information will be of interest to you:

The Iron Condor Strategy Defined

One of the main reasons why the iron condor options trading continues to grow in popularity is because it focuses on non-movement on the given underlying stock price. How does an Iron Condor strategy benefit from a stock price that no longer moves? It does so because this strategy will take advantage of other factors like the volatility contraction and the time decay of the stock itself.

Part of the reason for this is because this strategy makes you a net seller of the option premiums and this means that you are receiving cash upfront. Of course, several factors come into play regarding whether the investor will get to keep the cash that you receive upfront. According to TastyTrade, “..an Iron Condor strategy is “directionally neutral” and it is one of those investments that will simply benefit from “the passage of time.” For now, let’s now take a look at the different components of an iron condor investment:

Different Building Blocks

First of all, you have to look at the different building blocks. There are four of them, including Sell 1, a put out of the money function; Buy 1, which is an option for being further out of the money; Sell 1 Call, which is another option for an out of the money description; and Buy 1 Call, which is yet another option for those that are further out of that money.

Similar to Credit Spreads

If you have a lot of experience with vertical spreads, then chances are you’ve probably realized that one of the hallmarks of an iron condor approach is that it is similar to this. It also can be described as a combination of a short put credit spread and a short call credit spread together.

A Strategy That is Nice and Neutral

One of the most appealing aspects of this strategy is that it is nice and neutral. Thus, one of the hallmarks of this strategy would be to keep the stock price between the two short strikes that you want to sell. Thus, as long as you have cooperation with the stock price, you will have the ability to take advantage of the volatility contraction and time decay aspect of this investment.

Time Decay

Finally, part of the reason why the principle of “time decay” works out well for you in this case is that even if you are completely wrong on which direction that the stock price goes, as long as it stays within your predetermined range, you will make money.

If done correctly, the iron condor trading strategy can be a solid investment strategy.

What You Need to Kickstart Your New Business

meeting

Starting a small business is quite possibly one of the biggest steps you can take towards securing a great future for yourself. Understandably, it’s a daunting task that many people are afraid to venture into because the truth is that there are a lot of risks being involved in launching a company. You can’t avoid these risks completely but there are ways to lessen them.

Launching a startup requires a lot of guts, business know-how, and money. As there are so many businesses popping up left and right, it shouldn’t be surprising that not all businesses last for a year. When they do close down, some entrepreneurs weren’t able to get what they invested in the first place.

According to figures as shared by Forbes, 20% of businesses fail during their first year. 30% fail in their second year. Half of them shut down after five years. Lastly, at least 70% of small businesses don’t even make it past a decade. The numbers are daunting and there are many reasons why businesses fail. If you want to give your business a little boost, we’re going to teach you some ways to do so.

Go All Out In Marketing

If you are just starting up, chances are that people aren’t going to be interested in what you have to offer immediately. The truth is that they would rather buy similar products or services from other names that are already more established. You’ll find that most of your first customers are either your family or your friends.

The best way to start gaining a natural following is by starting an aggressive marketing campaign. Thanks to the advent of social media marketing, it’s now easier for small businesses to contend with bigger names. It’s also easier for you to reach out to people as there are billions of social media users out there.

You can get creative with how you approach marketing. Some people would prefer partnering with influencers so that they can immediately get a share of their following. You can also take cue from Wendy’s whose Twitter account consistently sends out tweets that become viral.

You can’t make a name out of yourself without relying on digital marketing services, as at curioustomdigital.com first. It is one of the things that you should invest on for your business. As you begin to get more fans, it will be easier to generate a more natural following of loyal customers.

Make Your Presence Known

On the topic of social media, you should create a social media account for your business. You can create one on Facebook, or on Twitter, or on Instagram. However, it’s best to create accounts on multiple social media platforms so that you have a wider reach. Get creative with how you make your presence known as this can greatly boost your company’s growth.

Social media marketing is one of the easiest forms of marketing due to its versatility and accessibility. Make sure you use it to its full extent.

Develop Your Branding

At this day and age, it’s not enough to have quality products and services. To be able to get a larger loyal customer base, you also need to show people who you are. People support brands they can relate to and this is what branding is all about. Branding gives a lot of value to your company that people

The best way to develop your branding is through social media as people can reach out to you easier on the platform. If you have a cause, let it be known immediately so that people can find a common ground that you share with them.

Take Out A Loan

Some business owners run their business on a limited budget. While it’s possible to succeed even on a tight budget, it’s much better if you’re going to give your company a little boost through necessary upgrades and pieces of equipment. If you don’t want to risk all of your savings upfront, then you may want to make a loan.

There are many banks and financial institutions that offer business loans for entrepreneurs such as yourself. If you’re looking for a small business loan, we highly suggest going to these firms instead of relying on shady loan sharks. Aside from fair rates, these institutions are much safer than any other place you can get a loan out of.

The business loans that you can take out from banks and financial institutions are highly flexible. Some even give you the option of starting to pay the loan only after a few months since the time the money was disbursed. This gives you enough time to start generating a profit in your business.

Think carefully before you make a loan. Make sure that it’s something that you can handle paying for the next couple of years. Failure to make payments not only puts a dent on your credit, it could also result in the closure of your business which is exactly what you’re trying to avoid in the first place.

Don’t Hold Back

If you manage to secure a loan, don’t spend it all on unnecessary stuff. You need to focus on getting all of the best amenities, features, and equipment for your business. Keep in mind that you can only deliver quality service and experience if you have quality tools at your disposal.

There’s going to be a lot of things that you can invest on. For instance, if your place will rely heavily on a decent connection, then invest in fiber optic connection.

You can invest in digital solutions that help you run your business more smoothly. Or, you can also use the loan to help expand your team. What’s important is that you carefully plan on what you’re going to use the loan for as it should be something that adds great value to your business.

buildings

Giving your business a great start is just the beginning of a long and arduous journey. This necessary boost could be enough to ensure that you have a long and fruitful business ahead of you. What’s important is that you have fun along the way.  You are bound to make mistakes at the beginning but what’s important is that you learn.

Best Financial Advice Going Into 2021

budget

If 2020 hasn’t exactly been kind to your finances, you might be looking for ways to turn them around in 2021. That means taking a new approach to managing your money, which could include setting new goals, creating a budget (and sticking to it) and saving for emergencies, among other things. Keep reading to learn the best financial advice you need to take into 2021.

1. Set New Goals

A new year means it’s time to set new goals. What are your new goals for 2021? Do you want to save up to buy a house? Start saving for retirement? Pay off student loan debt? Whatever your goals, write them down (be specific) and keep them in a place where you can periodically review them when necessary. Also, give yourself a deadline to achieve your goals.

2. Create a Budget and Stick to It

Creating a budget means calculating your income and creating a list of monthly expenses (both fixed and variable). Make sure to budget wisely and cut out things in it that aren’t completely necessary. Find ways to stay disciplined and don’t be afraid to reward yourself occasionally. You might consider using the 50/30/20 rule to make sure you consistently spend money, save money and invest/reduce debts.

3. Eliminate Your Debt & Save for Emergencies

Eliminating any debt you currently owe is one of the best things you can do for your finances, pandemic or no pandemic. The less money you have to pay monthly, the more you’ll have to put toward your goals. If you haven’t already, it’s time to start saving for emergencies. If 2020 taught us anything, it’s that having a savings account in a time of crisis can really be a lifesaver. Start saving at between five and 10 percent of your income for emergencies so that the next time a financial crisis occurs, you’ll be well prepared. The goal is to have at least three months’ worth of expenses in your emergency fund, but the more you have, the better off you’ll be.

A leading financial advisor based out of Singapore states that debt is one of the biggest enemies of making investments. In other words, you will never be able to plan your investments in the best possible fashion if you are under debt. This is why the first thing that you need to do is clear all your debts that eating into your future investment plans. This will help you create the right foundation on which to grow your savings and investment journey. People who are beginning out in the world of investing should not try to balance debt obligations with investment growth. 

4. Reduce Your Tax Bill

One sure way to keep your finances on track is to find ways to reduce your tax bill. You can do that by putting more money towards retirement, contributing to someone’s future education (like a 529 college savings plan) or donating more money to charity. It’s best to seek out the advice of a financial advisor if you want to save the most money when tax time rolls around. Just know that there are a few ways you can reduce your tax bill fairly simply, depending on your tax bracket.

5. Protect Your Finances

Once you have your financial goals set and a plan in place to reach those goals, it’s time to think about protecting your finances because you don’t want all of that hard work to go to waste. Partnering with LifeLock can help ensure the progress you make toward achieving your financial goals won’t get interrupted by cyber theft. If you want complete protection and privacy, try Norton with LifeLock, which can offer identity theft protection, device security and a VPN from Norton that can give you absolute peace of mind.

Crushing Your Financial Goals in 2021

Now that you know what to do to crush your financial goals going into 2021, you can start taking action to ensure you meet them. That means setting new goals, creating a budget and sticking to it, eliminating your debt and saving for emergencies, reducing your tax bill and protecting your finances.

Joe Biden sends a clear message to the watching world – America’s back

Biden

By Scott Lucas

Politics doesn’t have to be a raging fire destroying everything in its path

Two weeks after the storming of the US Capitol by the followers of his predecessor, in the middle of an out-of-control pandemic that has killed more than 400,000 Americans, Joe Biden — the 46th president of the US — tried to contain the blaze in his inaugural address.

As aspiration, the speech was pitch perfect. Biden rightly took on the present of America’s most serious domestic crisis since the Civil War. Coronavirus, the Capitol attack, economic loss, immigration, climate change and social injustice were confronted:

We’ll press forward with speed and urgency for we have much to do in this winter of peril and significant possibility. Much to do, much to heal, much to restore, much to build and much to gain.

But what distinguished the speech beyond the essential was the sincerity with which it was delivered. Since the election, there has been a commingling of Biden’s personal narrative of loss with the damage that America has suffered. When he spoke of the “empty chair” and relatives who have died, it was from the heart and not just the script.

So, as he said in front of the Capitol: “My whole soul is in this”, there was no doubt — in contrast to the statements of his predecessor — that it is.

Complementing Biden’s rhetoric are the executive orders and legislation set out in the days before the inauguration. Immigration reform will be accompanied by protection of almost 800,000 young Dreamers from deportation. There is a mandate to reunite children separated from parents and a path to citizenship for millions of undocumented immigrants.

The US has rejoined the Paris Accords on climate change. The “Muslim Ban” is rescinded, Donald Trump’s wall with Mexico suspended. And coronavirus will finally be confronted with coordination between the federal, state and local governments and a US$1.9 trillion “American Rescue Plan”.

Words to a waiting world

But where is America in the world in all this? In Biden’s attention to domestic crises, there was little beyond his intention to re-engage with the world on climate and reverse the previous administration’s myopic immigration measures. Even the invocations of American greatness, with one exception, stayed within its borders:

Through a crucible for the ages, America has been tested anew and America has risen to the challenge.

Biden

There is historical precedent for the exclusive focus on home. In 1933, as the Great Depression raged, Franklin Delano Roosevelt also made no reference to the world as he said at his first inauguration:

The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.

Perhaps even more pertinently, in 1865, Abraham Lincoln said in his second inaugural address, a month before his assassination and two months before the end of the Civil War:

With malice toward none; with charity for all; with firmness in the right, as God gives us to see the right, let us strive on to finish the work we are in; to bind up the nation’s wounds.

Beyond the inaugural, there are clues in Biden’s appointment of Obama-era pragmatists: Antony Blinken as secretary of state, Jake Sullivan as national security advisor, John Kerry in a special post for climate change. There will be no sweeping “Biden Doctrine”, nor a grand speech such as Barack Obama’s in Cairo or Ankara in 2009.

Instead, the pragmatists will try to restore alliances, reestablish the “rules of the game” with countries such as China, Russia and North Korea — and work case-by-case on immediate issues such as the Iran nuclear deal.

The article was first published in The Conversation

About the Author

Scott LucasScott Lucas became Professor of International Politics in 2014, having been on the staff of the University of Birmingham since 1989 and a Professor of American Studies since 1997.

He began his career as a specialist in US and British foreign policy, but his research interests now also cover current international affairs – especially North Africa, the Middle East, and Iran – New Media, and Intelligence Services.

A professional journalist since 1979, Professor Lucas is the founder and editor of EA WorldView, a leading website in daily news and analysis of Iran, Turkey, Syria, and the wider Middle East, as well as US foreign policy.

Trading US Tech 100 Stocks

stock trading

US Tech 100, also referred to as NASDAQ 100, is a modified market-capitalization-weighted index that comprises the 100 largest non-financial firms listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange.

How Does Tech 100 Compare to Other Indices?

If you are a new trader considering trading US 100 stocks, one of the questions at the back of the mind might be, “How does NASDAQ 100 compare to USA 500 and Dow Jones?”

The three indices are used to track the performance of the top firms in the US market. Therefore, trading on their listed stocks provides investors with better diversification. However, they are all impacted by individual companies’ performance and broader economic factors. Here is a broader comparison:

1. US30 (Dow Jones)

USA30, also referred to as Dow Jones Industrial Average was developed in 1896 by Charles Dow. It is a price-weighted index used to track the largest 30 companies traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and NASDAQ.

When DOW was launched in 1896, it only comprised 12 companies that were involved in Industrial activities. However, this has changed so much over time as companies in other sectors, such as health, technology, and retail also made it into the list.

Because the index is price-weighted, stocks with higher prices tend to have a bigger weight than those with a lower share price. To calculate the index today, the listed 30 stocks’ prices are added together and then divided using the Dow Divisor. The divisor is used to provide a counteracting effect of structural changes, such as stock splits. In 2018, the divisor was 0.14748071991788.

2. USA 500

The S&P 500 index, also known as USA 500, was developed in 1957 by Standard & Poor’s and comprised of the 500 largest firms listed on NYSE and NASDAQ. Unlike Dow Jones that focuses on stock prices, the S&P 500 tracks firms’ market capitalization on its index. The index factors liquidity, sector classification, financial viability, and public float in addition to market capitalization.

The S&P 500 is well diversified in different sectors, but the technology sector had the highest percentage by the close of 2020. Some of the USA 500 include Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Johnson & Johnson, and Visa Inc.

3. US Tech 100

This is the youngest of the three indices because it was created in 1985. Like the name suggests, the index tracks the 100 biggest non-financial stocks listed on NASDAQ. Like USA 500, the NASDAQ 100 is based on market capitalization, and it is aimed at assessing the health of the tech sector. Some of the top companies listed on Tech 100 include Apple Inc, Amazon, and Tesla.

Individual stocks’ performance significantly impacts both NASDAQ 100 and Dow because many of their values are derived from the top 10 listed stocks. However, USA 500 is more diversified.

When it comes to volatility, Dow is the least volatile of the three because the listed blue-chip firms are slow-moving. US tech 100 is more volatile than Dow because of greater exposure to fast-growth tech stocks. USA 500 falls in between the Dow and NASDAQ 100 on volatility.

Trading Tech 100 Stocks

If you are a new trader targeting speculating the tech industry’s growth, trading US TECH 100 can be an interesting idea. As one of the most followed indices globally, there is a lot of information that you can use for trading insights. The following are some of the common strategies you can use to trade US TECH 100.

  • Swing Trading Tech 100

This strategy involves trading on both sides of the market movement of the selected Tech 100 stock. Traders use this strategy to buy stocks when anticipating that the market will rise or sell when expecting the price to shift downwards.

When using this strategy, traders take advantage of stock oscillations as the price shifts back and forth on the trading chart. It is a purely technical approach achieved by studying the trading charts and individual movements compared to the bigger trend.

To successfully use this strategy, it is important to focus on interpreting the length and duration of every swing because the two components determine the levels of support and resistance. Furthermore, swing trading Tech 100 requires you to be timely in identifying trends when markets experience shifts in the levels of demand and supply. When monitoring trades, traders also analyze the momentum of each swing.

The most notable advantage of swing trading strategy is that you might get to enjoy many trading openings.

  • Day Trading NASDAQ 100

Day trading is another common strategy preferred by people who like to remain active the entire day. Because it requires you to be on the lookout during the day, some people who use the strategy consider it a full-time profession.

Traders using this strategy take advantage of price fluctuations between the opening and closing hours. A trader may hold different positions in a day, but they are all closed before the end of the day to lower the risk of overnight market volatility. To trade lucratively using this strategy, it is prudent to have a well-organized trading pattern that allows rapid adaptation to market movements.

Some notable benefits of day trading include:

    1. Comes with limited intra-day risks.
    2. You can avoid overnight risk.
    3. You get to enjoy better time flexibility.
    4. There are many opportunities for multiple trade opportunities.

Although there are many advantages of using a day trading strategy, it is prudent to be disciplined and adopt robust risk management strategies.

If you plan to start trading tech 100, it is important to understand its background and how different fundamentals affect it. You should also adopt a good strategy, such as day trading or swing trading, that we have brought out in this post. Because Tech 100 targets the best 100 stocks, you might also want to include platinum trading to diversify your portfolio.

No matter the strategy you select, it is crucial to analyze your progress to note critical strengths and weaknesses regularly. Then, institute changes to improve your strategy.

Six-month stamp duty holiday extension could be a boon for potential homebuyers

Data Analysis

An online petition to extend the current stamp duty holiday for the first £500,000 of any property transaction has reached the threshold to enforce MPs to debate the issue in Westminster. Over 110,000 signatures have been secured in support of Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rishi Sunak, extending his stamp duty tax break which is currently due to cease on 31st March 2021.

The initiative was implemented by the Chancellor last summer, in a bid to kickstart the UK’s housing market after a dismal first half of 2020. The removal of stamp duty tax up to £500,000 has saved buyers up to £15,000 each thus far. The commencement of the country’s third nationwide lockdown has led to calls for the holiday to be extended.

The goalposts have changed since government rejected calls for stamp duty holiday extension late last year

The UK government has already made a written response to the petition online. Advising that the holiday was always “designed to be a temporary relief” and that it “does not plan” to extend it into this summer. Dominic Agace, chief executive of Winkworth estate agency, insisted that the government must change tac given that “no-one envisaged” the likelihood of a second and even a third nationwide lockdown last summer.

The initial stamp duty holiday did plenty to galvanise the British property market, with house prices continuing to soar throughout the latter half of 2020. With the ability to buy a property in England or Northern Ireland of up to £500,000 without paying a single penny in stamp duty, it’s been an ideal opportunity for those looking to upsize and scale-up their living. Using Trussle’s online stamp duty calculator tool, it’s easy to see how much buyers would have to fork out after the 31st March deadline. The tool also pinpoints those lenders that are approving property completions quickest. This is vital for those looking to sneak in before the holiday ends. It also details how approval rates differ around the country.

Could stamp duty land tax be replaced altogether soon?

London

The UK’s next Budget is scheduled for 3rd March 2021 and reports are already coming out that the Chancellor is weighing up proposals to scrap stamp duty tax, along with council tax, and amalgamate the two into one tax known as a ‘national property levy’. In many ways, it’s a thankless task for fiscal enforcers at present, given the tumultuous economic circumstances that all countries are facing right now.

In terms of first-stage tax hikes that the UK is likely to experience in the next couple of months, Whitehall is said to be recommending an increase in corporation tax. The thinking is that this would take money out of the pockets of profitable businesses. This would avoid hitting households even harder when personal finances are at their lowest for many.

If a stamp duty tax holiday extension is not forthcoming and the 31st March deadline remains, property sellers are being warned to brace themselves for potential “gazundering” if their transactions do not legally complete before the holiday ceases. Home moving portal Reallymoving has warned that thousands of property buyers will have made offers on properties in the last six months based on the potential savings on stamp duty. Therefore, those unable to complete on time will either need to find a sizeable sum of money to fill the gap or renegotiate the sale price. It’s very much a race against time for many.

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