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Trump Administration Warns of Economic Slowdown but Promises Stronger Growth Ahead

President Donald Trump and senior White House officials are preparing Americans for a potential economic slowdown, emphasizing that any near-term turbulence will ultimately lead to stronger growth. Amid fears over tariffs, a slowing labor market, and signs of negative growth in the first quarter, the administration remains optimistic while acknowledging short-term challenges.

“There is a period of transition, because what we’re doing is very big,” Trump said Sunday on Fox News’ Sunday Morning Futures. “We’re bringing wealth back to America. … It takes a little time, but I think it should be great for us.”

While dismissing concerns of an imminent recession, Trump admitted to expected “disruptions.” Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described the situation as a necessary “detox period” from excessive government spending under former President Joe Biden. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model is projecting a 2.4% decline in first-quarter economic growth, raising concerns about a potential contraction.

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, however, rejected recession fears, stating on NBC’s Meet the Press: “There’s going to be no recession in America. … If Donald Trump is bringing growth to America, I would never bet on recession, no chance.”

Despite assurances from the administration, Wall Street remains cautious. The labor market showed mixed signals in February, with 151,000 new jobs but a rise in part-time employment and an uptick in the real unemployment rate to 8%. Consumer spending also slowed in January, adding to uncertainty.

Goldman Sachs recently cut its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 1.7% but maintains just a 20% probability of recession. While concerns persist, the White House insists that its policies will ultimately lead to long-term economic stability.

“What we’re doing is we’re building a tremendous foundation,” Trump reaffirmed.

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Tariffs - Tax Cuts - Trade - Money and Politics

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An Introduction to Family Office Services

Key Takeaways:

  • Family office services provide tailored financial and administrative support to high-net-worth families, offering everything from investment management to estate planning.
  • There are different types of family offices, including single-family and multi-family offices, each catering to specific needs and levels of wealth.
  • Choosing the right family office involves considering factors such as services offered, cost structures, and the level of customization required.

An Introduction to Family Office Services

For high-net-worth families, managing wealth often extends far beyond simple banking and investments. These families face complex financial, administrative, and personal challenges that require expert management. This is where family office services come into play, offering a holistic approach to wealth management, legacy planning, and day-to-day administration.

What Are Family Office Services?

Family office services encompass a broad range of financial and administrative support functions designed specifically for wealthy families. These services are highly customized, providing everything from investment management and estate planning to philanthropy coordination and lifestyle management. The goal is to simplify the complexities of wealth while ensuring that family values and legacy are maintained across generations.

Types of Family Offices

There are primarily two types of family offices: single-family offices (SFOs) and multi-family offices (MFOs).

Single-Family Offices (SFOs): These are private entities established to manage the wealth and needs of one affluent family. SFOs offer personalized services and can handle everything from financial planning and tax management to hiring household staff. They are ideal for families with substantial assets, often exceeding $100 million, as the cost of running an SFO can be high.

Multi-Family Offices (MFOs): These offices serve multiple families, offering a similar range of services as SFOs but with shared resources. MFOs provide a cost-effective alternative for families who may not require or afford a dedicated SFO. They often offer a broad suite of services, from financial planning and investment management to concierge and lifestyle services.

Key Services Offered

Family office services typically include:

  • Investment Management: Providing tailored investment strategies, portfolio management, and asset allocation to meet the family’s financial goals.
  • Financial Planning: Offering guidance on budgeting, financial forecasting, and long-term financial strategies.
  • Tax Planning and Compliance: Ensuring tax efficiency and compliance with local and international regulations.
  • Estate and Succession Planning: Developing strategies to transfer wealth smoothly to the next generation while minimizing tax liabilities.
  • Philanthropy Management: Assisting with charitable activities, including setting up foundations and managing donations.
  • Risk Management: Evaluating and managing risks related to investments, business ventures, and personal assets.
  • Administrative and Lifestyle Services: Handling day-to-day tasks such as bill payments, travel arrangements, and household management.
  • Governance and Education: Many family offices also offer governance services to help establish family constitutions, set up advisory boards, and create educational programs for younger generations. This ensures continuity and prepares heirs to manage wealth responsibly.

The Benefits of Using Family Office Services

Engaging a family office offers numerous benefits:

  • Centralized Management: Family offices act as a central hub, coordinating financial and administrative needs efficiently.
  • Customized Solutions: Each family office tailors its services to the unique needs of the family, providing a highly personalized experience.
  • Long-Term Planning: Family offices focus on preserving wealth across generations, ensuring legacy and stability.
  • Privacy and Discretion: These offices operate with high confidentiality, a key concern for many affluent families.
  • Cost Efficiency: Especially in multi-family office models, families can share resources and services, reducing operational costs.

Choosing the Right Family Office

When selecting a family office, it is essential to consider the following factors:

  • Service Offerings: Evaluate whether the family office provides the specific services your family needs.
  • Costs and Fees: Understand the fee structure, whether it is a flat fee, percentage of assets under management, or performance-based.
  • Reputation and Expertise: Look for offices with a strong track record and experienced professionals.
  • Level of Customization: Ensure the office can adapt to your family’s evolving needs and circumstances.
  • Technology and Reporting: Modern family offices often utilize advanced technology to provide transparent and real-time reporting, enhancing financial oversight.

Real-World Example: The Benefits of Family Office Services

Imagine a family that recently sold a successful business and needs assistance managing the proceeds. A family office could help them with investment strategies, tax planning, and setting up a charitable foundation to support causes they care about. This holistic approach not only preserves the family’s wealth but also aligns with their values and goals.

A Creative Perspective

Think of a family office as the conductor of a symphony, orchestrating all aspects of a family’s financial and personal needs. Like musicians playing in harmony, each service provided by the family office contributes to a harmonious and balanced family life. The office manages the rhythm of wealth, ensuring every note—from financial planning to philanthropy—is perfectly in tune.

The Future of Family Office Services

As global wealth continues to grow, the demand for family office services is expected to increase. Emerging trends include the integration of sustainable and impact investing, the use of advanced technologies like artificial intelligence for investment strategies, and a growing emphasis on mental health and well-being support for family members. Family offices are evolving to meet these changing needs, offering even more tailored and holistic solutions.

Family office services play a critical role in supporting high-net-worth families, offering bespoke financial, administrative, and personal services. By understanding the different types of family offices, the range of services offered, and how to choose the right one, families can ensure their wealth is managed effectively, their legacy preserved, and their lifestyle maintained seamlessly across generations.

H.I.G. Capital Expands European Footprint with Strategic February Investments

Miami-based investment powerhouse H.I.G. Capital continues its aggressive European expansion, announcing two significant transactions in February that strengthen its position in the manufacturing and aerospace sectors.

The $67 billion alternative investment firm, which has been steadily building its European presence through its network of offices in Hamburg, London, Luxembourg, Madrid, Milan, and Paris, closed deals with Germany’s HELLER Group and France’s CCE Group, demonstrating its targeted approach to mid-market investments across the continent.

Strategic Stake in German Manufacturing Icon

On February 4, H.I.G. announced a definitive agreement to acquire a strategic stake in the HELLER Group, a 130-year-old German machine tool manufacturer specializing in high-precision metal processing systems. Founded in 1894 and headquartered in Nürtingen, HELLER employs over 2,600 professionals across five production facilities worldwide.

The transaction represents a partnership between H.I.G. and the fourth generation of the Heller family, who will retain significant ownership. This structure preserves the company’s identity as a family business while providing capital and expertise to execute on growth initiatives.

“HELLER is positioned for a bright future, and unlocking the Company’s full potential requires a strategic realignment,” said Dr. Thorsten Schmidt, Chief Executive Officer of HELLER Group, who initiated a transformation program two years ago.

For H.I.G., the investment aligns with its strategy of backing established manufacturers with global reach. HELLER serves diverse industries including engineering, aerospace, energy, defense, and commercial vehicles through 30 sales and service branches worldwide.

“With a legacy spanning 130 years, the Company has a remarkable foundation, and we are confident in its bright future,” said Christian Kraul-von Renner, Managing Director at H.I.G.

Financing the Aerospace Supply Chain

Later in the month, on February 27, H.I.G. WhiteHorse, the firm’s credit affiliate, provided a senior-secured credit facility to CCE Group, a Paris-based aeronautic platform owned by Hivest Capital Partners.

CCE, formed in 2023 through the carveout of Driessen and AviusULD from aerospace giant Safran, specializes in cabin and cargo equipment for the aviation industry. Driessen leads the market in galley equipment including trolleys and cooling systems, while AviusULD manufactures unit load devices for aircraft cargo.

The financing comes at a critical juncture for CCE, which completed its carveout from Safran and is now positioned for accelerated growth as an independent entity.

“This new financing marks an important milestone in CCE’s journey and will provide enhanced flexibility to accelerate our strategic ambitions,” said Klaus Hofmann, CEO of CCE. “With industry confidence high, we are now ready to accelerate our vision of an integrated cabin and cargo market leader.”

Pascal Meysson, Head of H.I.G. WhiteHorse Europe, expressed confidence in the investment: “CCE is an impressive business. We like to support market leaders, and CCE is a strong match as the undisputed global leader in its field.”

Building a European Portfolio

These European moves follow H.I.G.’s January acquisition of Patriot Pickle, a U.S. food manufacturer that has already expanded operations with a new facility in Garland, Texas. The pickle manufacturer represents another example of H.I.G.’s investment approach in the mid-market segment.

H.I.G. has demonstrated a particular interest in family-owned businesses and corporate carve-outs, two transaction types that dominated its February European deals. This strategy allows the firm to target established companies with strong market positions that can benefit from operational improvements and access to growth capital.

Since its founding in 1993, H.I.G. has invested in more than 400 companies worldwide across equity, debt, real estate, and infrastructure strategies. Its current portfolio includes over 100 companies with combined sales exceeding $53 billion.

Market observers note that H.I.G.’s European activity reflects broader trends in private equity, with firms increasingly looking beyond U.S. borders for investment opportunities amid competitive domestic markets and attractive valuations overseas.

The firm’s commitment to operational improvement and value creation appears to be resonating with European business owners seeking growth partners, particularly in the manufacturing and industrial sectors where H.I.G. has developed specialized expertise.

With offices in 19 locations globally and more than 500 investment professionals, H.I.G. seems positioned to continue its European expansion throughout 2025.

A Comprehensive Guide to Demo Trading with SmartyTrade Broker

In today’s fast-evolving financial landscape, demo accounts have become an essential tool for any kind of traders. They offer a risk-free environment where users can practice, experiment, and hone their trading strategies without putting real money on the line. This comprehensive guide will delve into the concept of a demo account provided by SmartyTrade, explore its usefulness for beginners and seasoned traders alike, and explain the fundamentals of copytrading—a feature that can amplify your experience.

SmartyTrade: Its Legitimacy and Iconic Feature

At its core, SmartyTrade is an innovative trading platform. It provides a simulated trading environment that mimics real market conditions to allow users to familiarize themselves with trading tools, strategies, and market dynamics without exposing themselves to money losses. This feature is particularly valuable in the world of investing, SmartyTrade forex, and CFDs, where understanding market behavior is crucial before committing actual funds. 

A common inquiry among users is “ is SmartyTrade legit?”, and the platform’s transparent features and educational resources support its credibility. This emphasis on trust and safety, combined with the comprehensive suite of trading tools and the opportunity to practice in real-world conditions, makes the platform legit and trust-worthy.

Understanding the Demo Account

Simply, a Smartytrade demo account is a training version of a real account. The funds on a demo account are virtual money provided by the platform itself – just numbers in the system that allow you to see that you can really make money on trading if you use the right strategies. 

Here’s why a beginner needs it:

  1. Learning without risk – you can try different strategies without losing real money.
  2. Getting to know the platform – you learn how to open and close trades, what tools you need.
  3. Understanding the market – you watch how prices move, what factors affect the charts.
  4. Training your psychology – you learn not to panic when the price goes in a different direction than you thought.

Moreover, the demo account is not limited to practicing basic trading functions. It also provides insights into advanced market dynamics, such as the interplay between different asset classes and the effects of global economic events on market behavior. 

But it’s important to remember: it’s easy to be confident on a demo because the money is not real. When you start trading in reality, the emotions will be completely different.

Exploring Smartytrade CopyTrading and Its Advantages

Copy trading is when your trades automatically copy the trades of an experienced trader. It was developed to make your path in trading easier and to relieve you of responsibility for market analysis and forecasting. The platform creates such services by negotiating with professional traders, who, as a result, benefit from this – they receive a percentage of the profits of people copying them or a fixed subscription fee.

How to use CopyTrading?

If you are new to copytrading, here are a few steps to help you get started:

  1. Look for traders with a consistent track record and a risk profile that matches your own.
  2. Start small to test the waters and understand how copy trading works in practice.
  3. Even though you are copying trades, it is important to keep an eye on performance and make adjustments as needed.
  4. Ensure that you configure stop-loss orders and other risk management tools to protect your investment.
  5. Regularly assess the performance of the trader you are copying and be prepared to adjust your strategy if necessary.

Should you trust it?

Copytrading can be useful if you have little experience, but there are imminences:

  • No guarantees – even a successful trader can make mistakes and drain the deposit.
  • Not all traders are honest – some artificially inflate their profitability, and then stop making a profit.
  • Delays in copying – the price can change in seconds, and your deal will be worse than the trader’s.

If you consider copy trading, remember that you cannot completely trust this method – it is better to learn trading yourself.

Smartytrade Demo Account and CopyTrading for Experienced Traders 

While demo accounts are often associated with beginners, they offer significant benefits for more experienced traders as well. Seasoned traders can utilize the demo account as a sandbox to test out new trading strategies, particularly in the realm of copy trading. This approach allows you to refine your methods without the pressure of real-money trading. It’s like a field for experimentation. 

Regarding copy trading – If you are already experienced and know how to analyze the market, it can still be useful, but in a different format:

  1. An additional source of income – an experienced trader can join copy trading as a leader and receive a percentage of the profit of the users who copy him.
  2. Strategy diversification – you can choose several successful traders with different trading styles and distribute capital between them to reduce risks and test new approaches.
  3. Access to other people’s strategies – sometimes there are successful traders with rare or unique strategies on copy trading platforms. You can study their trading style and adapt it to yourself.
  4. Saving time – if there is no opportunity to constantly monitor the market, copy trading can be a way to maintain activity in trading without constant monitoring.

Copytrading is not a “magic button”, but a tool that needs to be used wisely, and not haphazardly.

Understanding Trading Risks and the Learning Opportunities on a Demo Account

No discussion of trading is complete without acknowledging the inherent risks involved. Trading, whether in forex, CFDs, or any other market, always carries a degree of uncertainty. Even with sophisticated tools and advanced strategies, losses can occur. This is why a demo account is so valuable—it provides a safe space to learn and adapt without the threat of financial loss.

Key Risks in Trading

  • Market Volatility: Prices can fluctuate rapidly due to economic events, geopolitical tensions, or unexpected market news.
  • Leverage Risks: While leverage can amplify gains, it can also magnify losses.
  • Emotional Decision-Making: Trading can be stressful, and emotional decisions often lead to mistakes.
  • Overexposure: Without proper risk management, traders can overexpose their portfolios to a single market or asset class.
  • Technical Glitches: Reliance on trading platforms and software means that technical issues can disrupt trading activities.

Hopefully, now you understand the importance and irreplaceability of a demo account in trading. And it doesn’t matter whether you are just starting out or have been in it for a long time. Trading fictional money is always better for your emotional state, than the stress of fear of losing real money. Especially when the market is so unpredictable and dependent on external influences. Take the time to learn, practice, and explore, and soon you will find yourself better prepared to face the real markets with a well-honed strategy and a clear understanding of the risks involved. In addition to demo trading, you can make your path easier by using copy trading. Hundreds of more experienced traders see the market situation in their own way, analyze it, and many do the right steps, making a profit. So, why not follow their strategy, saving your own time and nerve cells on predicting market behavior?

Ukraine Accepts U.S.-Proposed Ceasefire, Awaits Russia’s Response

Kyiv has agreed to a 30-day ceasefire proposed by the United States, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced Tuesday, following high-stakes negotiations in Saudi Arabia. The agreement, which covers the entire front line, is contingent on Russia’s acceptance.

“Ukraine accepts this proposal, we consider it positive, we are ready to take such a step, and the United States of America must convince Russia to do so,” Zelensky said after an eight-hour meeting with U.S. officials in Jeddah.

The U.S. has pledged to resume intelligence sharing and security assistance to Ukraine immediately. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio emphasized that the next move lies with Moscow. “We hope that they’ll say yes to peace. The ball is now in their court,” he stated.

President Donald Trump welcomed the development and said he would discuss the plan with Russian President Vladimir Putin later this week. “If we can get Russia to do it, that’ll be great. If we can’t, we just keep going on, and people are going to get killed,” Trump remarked at the White House.

European leaders quickly endorsed the ceasefire, with British Prime Minister Keir Starmer hailing it as a “remarkable breakthrough” and the EU calling it a “positive development.” However, Estonian Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna warned that “the responsibility rests solely on Russia.”

Despite the diplomatic push, tensions remain high. Hours before the talks, Russia reported one of the largest Ukrainian drone attacks since the war began, with Moscow claiming to have downed 337 drones. Meanwhile, Russian forces continue to advance in contested regions, reinforcing the urgency of a potential ceasefire.

Zelensky’s ceasefire terms include an end to air and sea hostilities, the release of Ukrainian prisoners, and the return of children taken to Russia. For now, Ukraine and its allies wait to see if Moscow will reciprocate—determining whether the ceasefire marks a turning point or yet another stalled attempt at peace.

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Why Your Team Keeps Tripping Over Gen AI—And How to Fix It

By Dr. Gleb Tsipursky

Organizations are racing toward generative AI (Gen AI), but many find themselves stumbling rather than sprinting. Gen AI promises big wins—increased efficiency, groundbreaking innovation, and sharper competitive edges—but those gains vanish quickly when your team isn’t properly equipped. To stop wasting potential, leaders must craft training programs as precise and adaptive as the Gen AI technology itself, tailored directly to employee roles, experience, and practical workflows. Real success in Gen AI hinges not on generic introductions but on deeply customized, role-specific mastery.

Why Generic Gen AI Training Misses the Mark—And How to Target It Right

Standardized training is tempting—it’s simple, scalable, and cost-effective. Unfortunately, it’s also largely ineffective. Employees across different roles rarely share identical workflows or responsibilities, which means a one-size-fits-all approach only scratches the surface of Gen AI’s capabilities.

Instead, create laser-focused training modules customized to each job’s specific demands. Lawyers don’t need Gen AI explained through marketing jargon; they need actionable insights on document analysis, research acceleration, and automated drafting. Paralegals and support staff, meanwhile, thrive on automating routine workflows like scheduling and client communications.

Consider a hospital system: clinicians would leverage Gen AI for accurate diagnosis and predictive patient care, whereas administrative teams could boost efficiency in patient scheduling or billing systems. With Gen AI itself making personalized learning increasingly feasible at scale, there’s no excuse not to deliver targeted training that resonates directly with each employee’s daily tasks.

From Theory to Action: Bridging Gen AI Knowledge and Real-World Skills

Theoretical Gen AI training may enlighten, but without immediate practical application, your employees will quickly forget—or worse, disregard—what they’ve learned. To build lasting competence and confidence, every Gen AI program should integrate hands-on exercises, real-world scenarios, and relevant, relatable case studies.

Give your team scenarios that mimic their everyday challenges, prompting them to use Gen AI tools practically—whether it’s automating client email replies, analyzing legal briefs, or optimizing internal communications. Employees become confident Gen AI users only when they consistently experience the technology’s real-world value firsthand.

Accessibility Isn’t Optional: Making Gen AI Training Inclusive and Fair

Not all employees approach Gen AI with the same comfort, skill level, or learning style. Effective training embraces this diversity by delivering material through multiple formats—interactive modules, video tutorials, written guides, and live demonstrations. Offering a menu of options empowers your workforce to engage comfortably and effectively, no matter their technical background.

The goal is to ensure every employee feels not just able but enthusiastic about developing and applying Gen AI skills.

Additionally, inclusivity means proactively addressing potential biases within Gen AI training materials and tools. Unchecked bias undermines credibility and can cause real-world harm, a risk underscored by extensive research from Harvard Business Review. To mitigate this risk, establish regular audits of both your Gen AI platforms and your training content, perhaps guided by proven frameworks such as Microsoft’s Responsible AI principles.

Real inclusivity also requires additional support mechanisms—peer mentoring, supplemental sessions, or dedicated coaching for those who struggle. The goal is to ensure every employee feels not just able but enthusiastic about developing and applying Gen AI skills.

Real-World Impact: A Law Firm’s Leap from Hesitation to Gen AI Excellence

A mid-sized law firm recognized it was falling behind competitors who had embraced Gen AI. Leaders asked me to spearhead a customized Gen AI training strategy designed explicitly around role-based applications. Attorneys explored tools for rapid research, document drafting, and case risk assessment. Paralegals and administrative staff mastered automation of scheduling and routine client communication.

The critical breakthrough? Shifting training from conceptual lectures to practical workshops where employees applied Gen AI directly to their daily tasks. Employees quickly understood not only what Gen AI was but exactly how it could simplify their workloads.

Within six months, measurable outcomes emerged clearly:

  • Gen AI tool adoption surged dramatically, jumping from below 20% to over 85%
  • Attorneys reported efficiency improvements of at least 30% in critical tasks like drafting and document analysis
  • Administrative and paralegal staff saved 20% of the time previously wasted on routine tasks, allowing them to focus on higher-value work

This targeted, practical approach didn’t just educate—it transformed productivity, effectiveness, and employee satisfaction.

Overcoming Common Gen AI Pitfalls (Because Problems Will Happen)

Despite enormous upside, implementing Gen AI training often hits predictable snags:

  • Resistance to Change: Fear of the unknown—and worries about automation replacing jobs—often provoke anxiety. Address this head-on with clear, ongoing communication emphasizing success stories and the career-enhancing benefits of Gen AI skills.
  • Engagement Drop-off: Maintaining employee attention is challenging. Introduce gamification elements—quizzes, leaderboards, or badges—to encourage sustained participation and enthusiasm.
  • Resource Constraints: Successful training requires investment—both financial and human. Securing buy-in from senior leadership, complete with budget and dedicated training resources, is essential to ensuring program sustainability and alignment with organizational goals.

Bringing It All Together: Gen AI Training as a Strategic Advantage

Your organization’s Gen AI future isn’t a question of technology—it’s a question of people. Effective training doesn’t just introduce Gen AI; it embeds it seamlessly into workflows, role by role, person by person. When done right, the result isn’t merely higher adoption rates but meaningful transformations: employees who proactively use Gen AI to drive efficiency, innovation, and competitive leadership.

If your team is still stumbling with Gen AI, it’s time to stop blaming the tool—and start investing strategically in the people wielding it.

About the Author

Dr. Gleb TsipurskyDr. Gleb Tsipursky was named “Office Whisperer” by The New York Times for helping leaders overcome frustrations with hybrid work and Generative AI. He serves as the CEO of the future-of-work consultancy Disaster Avoidance Experts. Dr. Gleb wrote seven best-selling books, and his two most recent ones are Returning to the Office and Leading Hybrid and Remote Teams and ChatGPT for Leaders and Content Creators: Unlocking the Potential of Generative AI. His cutting-edge thought leadership was featured in over 650 articles and 550 interviews in Harvard Business Review, Inc. Magazine, USA Today, CBS News, Fox News, Time, Business Insider, Fortune, The New York Times, and elsewhere. His writing was translated into Chinese, Spanish, Russian, Polish, Korean, French, Vietnamese, German, and other languages. His expertise comes from over 20 years of consulting, coaching, and speaking and training for Fortune 500 companies from Aflac to Xerox. It also comes from over 15 years in academia as a behavioral scientist, with 8 years as a lecturer at UNC-Chapel Hill and 7 years as a professor at Ohio State. A proud Ukrainian American, Dr. Gleb lives in Columbus, Ohio.

How Lone Worker Apps Improve Safety and Compliance In High-Risk Industries

Lone workers and those in risky work environments require significantly more workplace health and safety procedures to ensure a safe workspace than those working in teams or less risky environments. Various policies and procedures can be put in place to assist lone workers, but due to the varied nature of lone-working roles, there is never a one-size-fits-all approach. What one company may implement for one worker may differ from what is needed in another business.

That being said, vital aids such as lone-worker apps can be embraced in all aspects of lone working and help improve worker safety and compliance with regulations.

In this blog, we take a look at the lone worker app, how it benefits employees and employers, and how it satisfies health and safety governing bodies.

What is a Lone Worker App?

A lone worker app is a tool installed on a smartphone that helps protect employees who either work alone or remotely. With features such as fall detection, GPS location tracking, and a discreet alarm, the app adds a degree of safety to a risky workplace.

Installed on an Android or Apple smartphone, the app provides the user with easy access to a suite of functions that ensure both the employer and employee are satisfied that safety remains of paramount importance.

Many apps allow workers to:

  • Check in during shifts
  • Send emergency alerts in case of injury or incidents
  • Share their exact location
  • Highlight inactivity or trips and falls

How Lone Worker Apps Improve Safety in High-Risk Industries

Many workplaces pose risks, but some are much higher risk than others. Construction workers, for example, find themselves in vastly different situations to bankers, and retail workers face considerably different scenarios to office workers. Perhaps surprisingly, though, both retail workers and construction workers share more similarities than you might think. Both groups work in areas where risk is prevalent. While theft, confrontation, and stock movement may be a concern for lone workers in retail, in construction, concerns relate to falls from height and injuries caused by equipment. As a result, both types of employees could benefit from a lone worker app to help them should something unfortunate occur.

We’ve highlighted just a sample of the ways lone worker apps help improve safety in high-risk industries.

Real-Time Location Tracking

A vital asset of any lone worker app is real-time GPS location tracking. In high-risk working environments, a quick response can save lives. With a lone worker app indicating danger, the alarm receiving centre can pinpoint the problem’s location and deploy the correct level of supervision or help quickly.

Man-Down Detection

Another valuable feature of lone worker apps is that they detect when an individual has fallen, shows a lack of movement, or appears in an unusual position. Using sensors in the worker’s smartphone, the app can detect when something doesn’t seem right and send an alert. If the alert is triggered in error, the user can reset the alarm, indicating to the alarm receiver that all is well.

This is particularly valuable in construction, transportation, or retail, where workers may be at height or in dangerous workspaces.

Panic Button

Many lone worker apps also feature a panic button. This can be used to raise the alarm should a situation escalate to a level where safety could be compromised. In many cases, the app has its own SOS button to ensure alarms can be raised discreetly. They can also be activated by simply shaking the phone or pressing the power button. This way, nobody else in the area will be aware that the alarm has been raised.

Once activated, an alert is sent to an alarm receiving centre or supervisor, who can then track the worker and, in some cases, listen to what is happening. This ensures a rapid response from the appropriate support.

Check-In Systems

Many lone workers, even though they work in risky environments, are perfectly safe. They use their experience to ensure risks are minimal and that they don’t put themselves in danger. However, the manager in the office hundreds of miles away may not know if all their team members are safe. Lone worker apps allow workers to check in and send an alert to provide updates on their well-being and progress.

In high-risk areas, this is a great asset, as it ensures each team member can report back at regular intervals, keeping the rest of the team informed of their safety.

Health and Safety Compliance

Many high-risk working environments are bound by strict H&S legislation. Employees must show that they are protecting their workers to the best level possible and comply with industry-specific regulations.

By adding a lone worker app to the range of tools provided to employees, compliance is vastly improved by:

  • Providing digital records of check-ins, alerts, and incidents
  • Offering proof of due diligence should investigations take place
  • Ensuring compliance with local or national safety standards

Demonstrating a commitment to safety not only ensures a safer working environment but also reduces the risk of costly legal action being taken.

Why Every High-Risk Industry Needs a Lone Worker App

Investing in a lone worker app isn’t just box ticking – it’s about potentially saving lives and ensuring full compliance with the law. Offering a lone worker app to your team means they benefit from:

  • Faster emergency response: With precise location tracking and calls handled by experts, appropriate assistance can be quickly deployed. Peoplesafe, for example, one of the leaders in the market, provides 100% service uptime, a 3-second pick-up time, and a 4-minute police response in threat-to-life situations.
  • Enhanced worker protection: With features such as man-down alarms and emergency alerts, workers are kept safe and can trust an app to send an alert should something untoward happen.
  • Regulatory compliance: With digital records of alerts and alarms, businesses can be confident that they comply with the health and safety standards expected of them.
  • Cost-effectiveness: It should never be about money, but by introducing lone worker apps or devices into the workplace, the chances of costly lawsuits, downtime, or compensation claims are reduced.
  • Peace of mind: Both lone workers and employers can feel much more at ease knowing safety is being monitored and managed at all times.

What High-Risk Industries Benefit from a Lone Worker App?

Pretty much any industry where employees work alone would benefit from the introduction of a lone worker app. With no need to add to the equipment being carried, the app is simply installed on a smartphone to provide round-the-clock coverage as the worker completes their job.

Common industries where these apps are found include:

  • Construction
  • Retail
  • Hospitality
  • Healthcare
  • Transport
  • Estate agency
  • Delivery drivers
  • Manufacturing

Putting it simply, if your workers spend time working by themselves in an environment where the risk to safety can be high, it is beneficial to arm them with a lone worker app. As you saw earlier, this simple application can be the difference between a safe resolution to an incident or a costly and damaging one.

Challenges for Degrowth, Sustainability, and Long-Term Economic Development

By Dr. Kalim Siddiqui 

Capitalism’s relentless pursuit of profit has led to extreme wealth concentration, exacerbating global inequalities. The neoliberal model, with its emphasis on endless growth, has accelerated environmental degradation. To forge a sustainable path, we must transcend traditional growth-driven models, advocating for degrowth and equitable, eco-conscious policies that prioritize social well-being.

I. Introduction

In recent decades, capitalism has experienced an increasing concentration of wealth and power in the hands of a small elite. Billionaires have amassed unprecedented levels of economic and political influence, while multinational corporations have seen their wealth grow at an exponential rate (Oxfam Report, 2025). As primary beneficiaries of neoliberal capitalism, these corporations exert significant control over media and information, shaping public discourse in ways that reinforce existing power structures and serve their own interests (Siddiqui, 2022).

Addressing these challenges requires moving beyond the neoliberal development model and implementing policies that promote economic equality, sustainability, and inclusive growth, particularly in the Global South. The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, adopted by United Nations Member States in 2015, provides a critical framework for advancing these objectives. Its Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) call for global action to eradicate poverty, improve health and education, and reduce inequality (Empson, 2022; United Nations, 2024).

By prioritizing sustainable and equitable economic policies, governments and international institutions can work towards a more just global economic system—one that benefits not only the wealthy few but also the broader population.

By shifting economies away from resource dependence toward diversified and sustainable industries, it enhances resilience and raises living standards.

Former colonizers have historically hindered industrialization in peripheral countries, shaping their economic development to serve the interests of core nations. For instance, under British colonial rule, India experienced deindustrialization and the decline of its handicraft industries while being pushed to export raw materials. This extractive economic model left many former colonies with weak industrial bases, reinforcing economic dependency even after independence (Siddiqui, 2015).

Recognizing the limitations of colonial legacy, many countries in the Global South now view industrialization—particularly through environmentally sustainable industries—as essential for structural transformation. Industrialization fosters economic growth, generates employment, and drives technological progress. By shifting economies away from resource dependence toward diversified and sustainable industries, it enhances resilience and raises living standards.

Moreover, industrialization boosts productivity, efficiency, and global competitiveness, fuelling long-term economic development. It also plays a crucial role in addressing poverty and inequality, especially in countries with high unemployment rates. Additionally, industrialization accelerates technological innovation, as industries continuously refine processes, develop new products, and improve services. Crucially, reducing reliance on primary commodities allows nations to stabilize their economies, mitigating vulnerability to volatile global market fluctuations (Siddiqui, 2015).

For industrialization to be truly transformative, however, it must prioritize sustainable development, incorporating green technologies and responsible resource management. This ensures that economic progress does not come at the expense of environmental degradation—a challenge many industrialized nations historically overlooked.

Samir Amin (2013) advocated for a multipolar world order through his concept of “delinking,” which calls for disengagement from the global capitalist system dominated by the Global North. According to Amin, the struggle against imperialism requires a structural break from the law of value dictated by core capitalist economies. This perspective remains highly relevant today, as resistance to imperialism takes various forms, including the ongoing struggle of the Palestinian people against Israeli settler colonialism, apartheid, and genocide. The systematic destruction of Gaza—backed by the United States and Western Europe—illustrates the entrenchment of imperialist interests, as these powers continue to provide Israel with military and financial support for mass violence and occupation (Siddiqui, 2024a).

There is an urgent need for a sustainable, long-term economic strategy—one that moves beyond the traditional growth-driven model and fosters greater balance, equity, and income redistribution between developed and developing economies. Degrowth presents a compelling alternative, offering a pathway to addressing global inequalities, promoting sustainable employment, and protecting the environment. Given the limitations of the current economic paradigm, it is crucial to critically reassess conventional development models and explore alternatives that prioritize social and ecological well-being over relentless economic expansion.

The degrowth model advocates for a fundamental shift away from an economy centred on perpetual growth. Instead of prioritizing endless expansion, it calls for reducing excessive production and eliminating environmentally destructive industries. This approach is a necessary response to decades of environmental neglect and severe ecological degradation. The scale of this crisis demands a radical rethinking of economic policies—ones that prioritize universal access to essential services such as quality housing, education, and healthcare, rather than unsustainable consumption and profit maximization.

II. Historical Context and the Limits of Capitalist Growth

Since the Industrial Revolution, which began in Britain in the late 18th century and later spread to Western Europe, North America, and Japan, the world has undergone a profound transformation in technology, productivity, and economic output. Advocates of capitalism have long argued that global economic growth would ultimately benefit all nations, including those in the Global South, by fostering shared prosperity.

However, after nearly three centuries of capitalist expansion, the reality tells a different story. Instead of narrowing global inequalities, capitalism has exacerbated the divide between the Global North (developed countries) and the Global South (former colonies, now referred to as developing countries). Moreover, the growth-centric economic model—reinforced by international financial institutions—has accelerated environmental degradation to unprecedented levels. The primary objective of capitalist economies is not the rational or sustainable use of resources for the benefit of humanity but rather the relentless pursuit of accumulation and economic expansion. As a result, economic growth and ecological decline are directly correlated, underscoring the urgent need to rethink our approach to development (Siddiqui, 2024b).

III. Understanding Economic Growth

Classical political economists, such as Adam Smith, believed that a general increase in output and the accumulation of wealth would ultimately benefit all members of society. In The Wealth of Nations, Smith argued that economic growth occurs as a result of the division of labour, which enhances productivity and increases the overall wealth of a nation. He emphasized the crucial role of labour in production and viewed individual capitalists as key actors in expanding wealth by reinvesting in the production of new goods. According to Smith, capital accumulation is driven by the division of labour and technological innovation, both of which facilitate further economic expansion (Smith, 1991).

Karl Marx, in his critique of classical political economy, also emphasized the centrality of capital accumulation. He argued that under capitalism, economic growth is driven by the competitive pressures that force capitalists to continuously expand production. As he famously wrote, “Accumulate, accumulate! That is Moses and the prophets.” (Marx, 1976) Capitalists must reinvest the surplus value extracted from workers into production in order to remain competitive and survive in the market. This relentless drive for accumulation ensures the continuous expansion of production but also leads to crises, inequalities, and exploitation (Foster, 2023).

During the first half of the 20th century, the devastation of the World Wars and the Great Depression highlighted the limitations of classical economic theories. Economist John Maynard Keynes recognized the crucial role of government intervention, particularly in times of crisis. Keynesian economics emphasized the importance of public investment and aggregate demand, arguing that state policies could mitigate economic downturns and stabilize capitalist economies.

Nation-states, driven by the need to access markets, secure raw materials, and protect their economic interests, have historically engaged in conflicts and wars. During the colonial era, capitalist expansion was closely linked to imperialism, as powerful nations occupied foreign territories to extract resources, establish new markets, and maintain their economic dominance (Oxfam Report, 2025; Siddiqui, 2019).

IV. The Consequences of GDP-Centric Growth

The relentless pursuit of economic growth-measured primarily through Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has led to severe global ecological and environmental crises. This model of accumulation at all costs has not only accelerated environmental degradation but has also driven rising levels of debt, inequality, militarism, and economic instability. Capitalist economies prioritize growth rates as the key measure of success, while ignoring critical factors such as pollution, climate change, and social well-being (Siddiqui, 2024d). Additionally, unpaid labour—including domestic work, childcare, and voluntary contributions—remains undervalued and largely excluded from economic assessments (Empson, 2022).

The use of GDP as an economic measure dates back to Simon Kuznets, who developed the concept to quantify national economic output in the United States in 1942. Later, John Maynard Keynes modified this approach by incorporating government spending as a key component of GDP. Economic success, as measured by GDP, has contributed to the rising wealth of the global elite while exacerbating social and economic disparities (Foster, 2023).

A striking example is India, which has seen a significant increase in the number of billionaires. In 2024, India reached a historic milestone with 334 billionaires (measured in U.S. dollars), up from 259 in 2023. This surge in wealth accumulation has placed India third globally in terms of the number of billionaires. However, this growth has not translated into broader economic well-being. The gap between the rich and the poor has widened dramatically: the top 1% of the population controls nearly one-third of the nation’s total wealth, while the bottom 50% holds only 10% (Bharti et al., 2024).

Since the implementation of neoliberal economic reforms in 1991, India’s GDP growth rates have, on average, been higher than in pre-reform periods. However, these measurements fail to account for critical issues such as environmental sustainability, public health, nutrition levels, and social equity. These wealthy individuals and corporations continue to amass riches through government subsidies and tax cuts, while the poor face escalating prices, declining employment opportunities, and deteriorating public services. Underinvestment in education and healthcare has further marginalized vulnerable populations, while the privatization of these sectors has significantly increased costs, making essential services increasingly inaccessible to the majority (Chancel and Piketty, 2021).

Income and Wealth Inequality study by Bharti et al. (2024), which examines data from 1922 to 2015 using specialized surveys and income tax records, concludes that income inequality in 2015 was higher than during the pre-independence period. The report highlights that the top 0.1% of the population accounted for 5–7% of national income. Moreover, the data indicate that the top 10% and top 1% of earners hold 57% and 22% of total national income, respectively, while the bottom 50% collectively account for only 13%. In terms of wealth distribution, the bottom 50% possess merely 6% of total wealth, whereas the top 10% and top 1% control 65% and 33% of the country’s wealth, respectively.

The introduction of neoliberal policies in India significantly exacerbated wealth inequality. At that time, the richest 10% owned 51% of total wealth, while the poorest 50% held just 9%. By 2021, the wealth share of the richest 10% had risen to 65%, whereas the poorest half of the population saw their share shrink to only 6%. Similarly, income distribution has become increasingly skewed. In 1991, the wealthiest segment of society received 35% of total income, while the poorest 50% earned 20%. By 2021, this disparity had intensified, with the richest 10% accumulating 57% of national income, while the poorest half’s share dwindled to just 13% (Siddiqui, 2023b).

Moreover, India has also witnessed jobs-less growth for the last twenty-five years. This is primarily due to the inadequate number of jobs created, which falls significantly short of the number of job seekers. As a result, the relative size of the reserve army of labour expands, keeping wages at subsistence levels despite increasing labour productivity. This structural dynamic further exacerbates wealth inequality. Additionally, tax cuts for the wealthy, often justified as a means to stimulate economic growth, disproportionately benefit the rich and large corporations, directly contributing to the widening wealth gap (Siddiqui, 2023b).

To remain competitive in the global market, producers in the Global South are compelled to adopt technologies that align with the global frontier, which are often labour-displacing.

The World Inequality Report highlights alarming levels of inequality in India, revealing that the top 1% of the population owns an astonishing 33% of the country’s total wealth. The net worth of Indian billionaires has increased substantially, rising from 2% of GDP in 2000 to 20% in 2020. Despite India’s strong 6.9% GDP growth in the 2023 fiscal year, this economic expansion is overshadowed by its distinction as one of the most unequal societies in the world (Chancel and Piketty, 2021). A similar trend can be observed in China, where rapid economic growth has been accompanied by increasing wealth disparities. Urbanization and the coastal-inland divide have exacerbated inequality, highlighting the uneven distribution of economic benefits. Additionally, in developed countries, governance structures, social welfare systems, and access to opportunities play a critical role in shaping wealth inequality. These global patterns emphasize the need for comprehensive, context-specific policy interventions to address persistent disparities, particularly in developing nations like India (Siddiqui, 2019).

The share of profits in national income has increased globally, while the share of wages has declined, exacerbating income inequality. In advanced capitalist economies, this trend has been driven by labour-displacing technologies and the offshoring of production to the Global South. The World Inequality Report (2021) suggests that income disparities between nations have narrowed; however, when excluding China, the income gap between advanced and developing economies remains largely unchanged. Moreover, within-country inequality has risen sharply, with wealth concentration benefiting a small elite at the expense of the working class.

To remain competitive in the global market, producers in the Global South are compelled to adopt technologies that align with the global frontier, which are often labour-displacing. This, in turn, constrains employment opportunities and perpetuates economic precarity. Under neoliberalism, economic growth is increasingly driven by speculative financial gains accrued by corporations rather than by rising wages or broad-based purchasing power. This speculative model further marginalizes workers, deepens economic inequality, and accelerates the transfer of wealth from labour to capital on a global scale.

Mainstream economists argue that a degrowth policy would be synonymous with austerity, leading to reduced consumption, industrial contraction, and job losses. However, radical critiques view degrowth as a means to dismantle the constraints of capitalism and its market-driven imperatives. Advocates of degrowth argue that, rather than imposing austerity, the model would redirect investments towards public services, ensuring broader societal well-being. While a small minority may experience a reduction in conspicuous consumption and material accumulation, the majority would gain access to more sustainable and collective forms of provisioning (Hickel, 2023; Siddiqui, 2018a).

V. Degrowth and the Global South

The environmental crisis has been driven by an unequal process of capital accumulation, with wealth disproportionately concentrated in the Global North (Siddiqui, 2024c). Over the past three centuries, rapid industrialization and overconsumption by a relatively small population in the Global North have been responsible for the majority of greenhouse gas emissions. According to Hickel (2023), the Global North has contributed to 92% of “excess emissions” since 1850, while Western nations alone account for 90% of the current environmental and ecological destruction.

Following decolonization in the 1950s and 1960s, mainstream development models encouraged newly independent nations to establish closer economic ties with the West, promising that such integration would help eradicate poverty and socio-economic underdevelopment. However, these models overlooked the historical context of how the Global North itself developed. European colonial powers, followed later by North America, amassed wealth through the colonization, extraction, and plundering of resources from the Global South. This exploitative legacy not only deepened economic dependency but also led to extensive environmental degradation (Siddiqui, 2018b).

A degrowth approach does not merely advocate for reducing production and consumption; rather, it promotes a fundamental transformation of economic priorities. Beyond its critique of growth-driven models, degrowth proposes a positive program cantered on democratic planning, self-management, and the prioritization of use-values over commodity production. Economic activities should be rationally planned to serve human well-being rather than the accumulation of capital. As Marx (1976) observed, capitalism alienates humanity from the natural world, transforming nature into a mere commodity and disrupting the essential metabolic relationship between society and the environment (Hickel, 2023). By embracing degrowth, economies can shift towards sustainability, equity, and ecological balance, challenging the entrenched systems of exploitation that have long defined the global economic order (Siddiqui, 2023a).

VI. The Wastefulness of Monopoly Capitalism

Under monopoly capitalism, corporations allocate enormous financial resources toward marketing and advertising to expand their markets and increase sales. This expenditure represents a significant waste of resources that could otherwise be directed toward social and environmental priorities. In 2024, U.S. corporations collectively spent an estimated $551.9 billion on marketing, with $390 billion allocated specifically to advertising. Online marketing accounted for nearly two-thirds of this spending, while media and entertainment platforms received over half of total ad expenditures. The U.S. continues to dominate the global advertising industry, with total ad spending projected to reach $455.9 billion by 2025. By 2029, digital advertising is expected to comprise 80% of all ad spending. Among the largest corporate advertisers, Amazon led with an ad spend exceeding $13 billion in 2022, followed by Walmart ($3.4 billion) and Macy’s ($1.3 billion) (Hickel, 2023).

Another striking example of resource misallocation is global defence spending, which has reached unprecedented levels. In the nuclear age, excessive military expenditures not only divert resources from critical social and environmental needs but also contribute to geopolitical instability and the risk of mutual destruction. In 2023, the U.S. allocated $820.3 billion to defence, accounting for approximately 13.3% of the federal budget. This figure positioned the U.S. as the world’s largest military spender, surpassing the combined defence budgets of the next eight highest-spending nations. Since 1980, U.S. defence spending has increased by 62% after adjusting for inflation, with the country now accounting for more than 40% of global military expenditures. Between 2014 and 2022, the U.S. spent more than twice the combined total of all other NATO members. Meanwhile, China, the world’s second-largest economy, allocated $235 billion to defence in 2023, while Russia’s defence budget for 2024 is projected to be $145.9 billion, and Germany’s is expected to reach $86 billion (Siddiqui, 2025).

Capitalism attempts to address environmental crises through mechanisms such as pollution taxes or carbon pricing, yet these market-based solutions fail to challenge the fundamental logic of commodification.

The capitalist logic of resource expropriation treats nature as an economic commodity, prioritizing private profits over environmental sustainability. Within this framework, ecological destruction is not an aberration but a rational consequence of profit-driven decision-making. Capitalism attempts to address environmental crises through mechanisms such as pollution taxes or carbon pricing, yet these market-based solutions fail to challenge the fundamental logic of commodification. The valuation of ecological resources in monetary terms necessitates their treatment as exchangeable goods, reinforcing a system that prioritizes short-term gains over long-term environmental protection.

VII. Conclusion

Under capitalism, conspicuous consumption becomes more pronounced with technological advancements and the introduction of new products, enabling the elite to display expensive goods as a marker of social status and wealth. This phenomenon, often driven by the system’s emphasis on continuous consumption and material accumulation, leads to excessive waste generation and the promotion of non-essential purchases. The economist Thorstein Veblen first introduced the term conspicuous consumption in his seminal work The Theory of the Leisure Class, in which he argued that individuals use luxury goods to signal their social standing and economic power. This aspect of capitalism not only reinforces social hierarchies but also contributes to unsustainable consumption patterns and environmental degradation.

Capitalists rely heavily on advertising to foster consumerism, creating the perception that acquiring certain goods is essential for social acceptance. This, in turn, drives conspicuous consumption, reinforcing the cycle of material accumulation. Another profitable avenue for capitalists is military spending, which is often used to stimulate economic growth through the concept of military Keynesianism. This theory posits that government spending can help an economy recover from a recession. By increasing demand via government expenditures, military spending can stimulate private investment, consumption, and employment, ultimately boosting output. However, while such policies may offer short-term economic relief, they can also lead to fiscal imbalances, resource misallocation, and heightened tensions, potentially escalating into conflicts and wars.

In conclusion, degrowth presents a compelling alternative by empowering individuals to plan locally, identify their specific needs, and nurture democracy at the grassroots level. To address the escalating environmental crisis, rising income inequality, and the limitations of the capitalist mode of production, a radical vision and unwavering commitment are essential. Tackling these issues comprehensively requires a profound transformation in our current systems of production and consumption.

It is crucial to reverse the neoliberal development model and implement policies that foster greater equality and sustainable development, creating employment opportunities and prosperity in the Global South. The UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development provides a shared framework for peace and prosperity. The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) emphasize the importance of eradicating poverty, protecting biodiversity, and adopting strategies to reduce inequality, stimulate economic growth, and combat climate change while preserving our oceans and forests.

About the Author

kalimDr. Kalim Siddiqui is an economist specializing in International Political Economy, Development Economics, Trade and Economic Policy. Since 1989, he has been teaching economics at various universities in Norway and the UK. Dr. Siddiqui’s research interests encompass a wide range of topics, including political economy, international trade, and economic history, South Asia, and emerging economies. He has presented papers at international conferences across numerous countries, reflecting his global engagement in the field. His scholarly pursuits span six broad domains: Political Economy, Development Economics, Economic History, Economic Policy, Globalization, and International Trade. Dr. Siddiqui has made significant contributions to research in areas such as trade policy, globalization, and political economy. His work has been published in chapters of edited books and articles published in peer-reviewed journals. For inquiries, Dr. Siddiqui can be reached at: [email protected]

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2. Bharti, N.K. et al (2024) Income and Wealth Inequality in India, 1922-2023. https://wid.world/www-site/uploads/2024/03/WorldInequalityLab_WP2024_09_Income-and-Wealth-Inequality-in-India-1922-2023_Final.pdf

3. Chancel, L. and Piketty, T. (2021) “Global Income Inequality, 1820–2020: the Persistence and Mutation of Extreme Inequality”, Journal of the European Economic Association 19(6):3025–3062. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeea/jvab047

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Was October 7 Avoidable?

By Dr. Dan Steinbock               

After the Hamas-led offensive of October 7, 2023, it was portrayed as “Israel’s 9/11,” which came out of the blue. Yet, this assumption is not supported by verified facts, including ignored intelligence, abandoned hostages and neglected Israeli communities around Gaza.

A day after October 7, Eurasia Group’s Ian Bremmer said that the “massive attacks by Hamas leadership into Israel … is no less than Israel’s 9/11.” By contrast, in the same interview for CNBC, I said that October 7 did not come out of the blue. “The Israeli-Hamas War is a logical result of 50 years of failed military policies.” Our views were diametrically opposed.

I had warned of the ticking time bomb in Gaza already in 2018, half a decade before. A day or two before October 7, I wrote an essay on the coming explosion in Gaza. It was not prophetic insight. October 7, 2023, was the 50-year anniversary of the Yom Kippur War and I fully expected a high-profile reaction.

After the brutal Hamas-led assault, Israeli authorities vehemently condemned what they called “our September 11” and a “surprise attack.” But the hard questions were conveniently ignored – and still are.

A week ago, the Israeli Defense Forces’ landmark investigations into the October 7 attack disclosed severe, deep-rooted intelligence miscalculations and fundamental misconceptions on the nature of Hamas and its intentions by both the Israeli government and military. Probing the same attack, Shin Bet, Israel’s internal security service, recently pointed fingers at Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Typically, the prime mistakes featured the political conception of Hamas as an Israeli asset, the intelligence misjudgment that it couldn’t launch a large-scale attack, and weak defensive deployment.

The intriguing part of the story is that these facts were pretty well known already in the first days after October 7, 2023 – that is, more than a year ago – as I argue in The Fall of Israel. And there is more to the story.

Why was the abundant intelligence on the impending Hamas attack deliberately ignored? Why were the Israeli hostages effectively abandoned? Why were the strategic border communities neglected? With all its might, backed up with U.S. military aid and financing, how did Israel fail to see the writing on the wall?          

Ignored intelligence         

After October 7, a high-level Egyptian intelligence official said Israel had ignored repeated warnings that “an explosion of the situation is coming, and very soon, and it would be big.” Netanyahu denied receiving any such advance warning. Yet, the Egyptian confirmed that the Israeli PM had received direct notice from Cairo’s intelligence minister. Similarly, Michael McCaul, Chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, told reporters of the alleged warning.

The inconvenient fact was that Israeli intelligence authorities had been aware of the threat for months yet ignored it. In November 2023, the New York Times reported that “Israel knew Hamas’s attack plan more than a year ago.” Code-named Jericho Wall, the 40-page blueprint outlined a lethal invasion. The document had been circulated widely among Israeli military and intelligence leaders, but experts determined an attack of that scale and ambition was beyond Hamas’s capabilities.

The Times report reverberated internationally. But it wasn’t a scoop. Right after October 7, several Israeli media released several reports indicating that many intelligence analysts’ warnings were ignored. What was new in the Times piece was the document verifying the story.

There was also a potentially explosive issue behind the Israeli deaths. Not about “friendly fire,” which is not uncommon amid fierce battles, but about the consequences of the Hannibal Directive, which many Israelis have charged was now the rule. This directive demands Israelis to kill their fellow soldiers and family members so that their kidnapping and the consequent prisoner exchanges can be avoided, presumably in the interest of a “greater good.”  The Hamas-led offensive was compounded by what some Israeli soldiers subsequently called a “mass Hannibal.”

The longer the militarization has prevailed in Israel, the more the country’s gender gap –the difference between women and men as reflected in social, political, and economic attainments – has deepened.

Just days after October 7, testimonies from members of the mainly female lookout units bolstered accusations that Netanyahu’s leadership fatally misread the dangers from Gaza. In an Israeli TV segment, two soldiers, Yael Rotenberg and Maya Desiatnik, recounted their experiences in the months before the attack. Rotenberg frequently saw many Palestinians dressed in civilian clothing near the border fence with maps, scrutinizing the ground around it and digging holes. Once, when she passed the information on, she was told they were just farmers, and there was nothing to worry about. “It’s infuriating,” said Desiatnik who served in Nahal Oz, where 20 other women border surveillance soldiers were murdered by Hamas. “We saw what was happening, we told them about it, and we were the ones who were murdered.”

Underpinning all these ignored warnings was the IDF’s assumption that Hamas lacked the capability to attack and would not dare to do so. The flawed supposition was fostered by two factors. First, gender bias. The longer the militarization has prevailed in Israel, the more the country’s gender gap –the difference between women and men as reflected in social, political, and economic attainments – has deepened. Today, Israel’s gender gap ranks at the level of El Salvador and Uganda. What, after all, did the “girls” of the lookout units know? Moreover, the idea that Hamas lacked capability to attack was predicated on the belief the Palestinians were “human animals,” as Netanyahu and the cabinet ministers called Hamas operatives. Subhumans cannot think out-of-the-box.

In reality, based on over 1 year of evidence, Hamas militants had trained for the blitz attacks in at least six sites across Gaza in plain sight and less than 1.5 km from Israel’s heavily fortified and monitored border, as even the mainstream CNN concluded barely a week after October 7. Worse, many testimonies by Israeli witnesses to the Hamas attack indicate that the Israeli military killed its own citizens struggling to neutralize Palestinian gunmen, in accordance with the Hannibal Directive. As one witness said to Israel Radio: “[Israeli special forces] eliminated everyone, including the hostages.”

Worse, in addition to the ignored intelligence, there were other issues that just didn’t add up, including the abandoned hostages, and the state of the long neglected Israeli communities surrounding Gaza.

Abandoned hostages      

On October 7, 2023, as part of the overall Hamas-led offense, 251 people were abducted from Israel to the Gaza Strip, including children, women and elderly. Almost half of the hostages were foreign nationals or had multiple citizenships. The next day, Prime Minister Netanyahu appointed ex-military commander Gal Hirsch to coordinate the cross-governmental response to abducted civilians and soldiers. Internationally, the appointment was portrayed as the PM’s proactive move to ensure the timely release of the Israeli hostages.

Little did they know.

As brigadier general, Hirsch had commanded an IDF division during the 2006 Lebanon War, which saw the first test of the Dahiya doctrine, premised on the destruction of civilian infrastructure. Hirsch was seen as responsible for the blunder resulting in an abduction by Hezbollah militants and the battles of Bint Jbeil and Ayta ash-Sha’b, which the IDF failed to occupy, despite heavy casualties. Following a barrage of criticism, Hirsch was forced to resign. After years of career rehabilitation, he joined the dominant harsh-right party Likud at the behest of Netanyahu himself and became the favorite for the role of the national police chief in 2021 – until he and his business partners were indicted for tax evasion of $1.9 million in a case concerning arms sales to Georgia.

Why did Netanyahu appoint as his hostage tsar a general who had already blundered one high-profile abduction affair, failed to protect his soldiers and had been indicted for corruption?

Unsurprisingly, the families of the hostages concluded that, in the view of the Netanyahu government, the fate of the hostages was secondary to the pretext of October 7 for a massive ground assault. The realization led to bitter and divisive mass demonstrations against the government and for the release of the hostages that prevailed until recently.

If the hostage families and many ordinary Israelis despised the government that seemed to ignore the fate of the abducted, they found it even harder to digest the idea that their government may have been responsible for the deliberate killing of their loved ones. Just days after October 7, early reports and interviews suggested that the IDF had detailed prior knowledge of the Hamas offensive three long weeks beforehand, based on information from military intelligence’s Unit 8200. Highlighting the extent to which the IDF’s Gaza Division was aware of a potential attack on Israel’s southern border communities, the document, which was ignored by senior officials, detailed a series of exercises conducted by Hamas’ elite Nukhba units in the weeks prior to its publication. One of the most shocking sections of the IDF report featured instructions relating to the taking of hostages, the number of which was estimated to be between 200–250, coming close to the actual 251 captives.

Does this enumeration in the report reflect extraordinary foresight? Or does it – since its findings were blatantly ignored prior to October 7 – illustrate a deliberate intention to allow a certain extent of devastation, in order to permit a transformational event that would legitimize a broad-scale invasion and, ultimately, a war of obliteration? Such considerations, of course, have been quickly torpedoed as “conspiracy theories.” However, as long as credible investigations are deferred or suppressed in advance, legitimate concerns prevail on the causes of devastation on October 7.

And then, there was the odd issue of the Israeli communities surrounding the Gaza Strip, which had been regarded as “strategic” since the creation of Israel in 1948. Why had they been ignored as if they were “non-strategic” for several years?

Neglected Israeli communities             

When Israel was established, its founding fathers considered its border areas strategic. Adjacent to the Gaza Strip, these are the populated areas in Israel’s Southern District located within 7 km of the border and thus within the range of mortar shells and Qassam rockets. If these areas were strategic to national security, why were they so vulnerable on October 7? It is one thing that Israeli intelligence ignored over a year of warnings about the ability and willingness of Hamas to launch a major offensive. But it is another that the security of the surrounding Israeli border areas was effectively downplayed.

Many of these localities were neglected, while some, particularly the immigrant development towns, felt shunned by their government

Some of these settlements were created at the eve of the 1948 Arab Israeli War, including Sa’ad and Nirim, the two kibbutzim. The bigger ones were established soon after the 1949 Armistice Agreement, including Sderot, a development town for Mizrahi immigrants – that is, the Jews from the Middle East – and the military Nahal Oz, designed to become a civilian settlement and serve as a first line of defense against possible Arab incursions. In the early days of the Israeli state, many new arrivals from the Arab countries found themselves treated as “more primitive” second-class citizens by the predominantly European-born Ashkenazi-Jewish elite. These subtle and not-so-subtle ethnic differences, compounded by visible “white” and “non-white” distinctions, continue to haunt the Israeli civil society. Yet, the Mizrahi Jews near Gaza faced additional challenges, and there were many Ashkenazis in these communities as well.

Many of these localities were neglected, while some, particularly the immigrant development towns, felt shunned by their government. When Israel occupied the Gaza Strip in 1967, border threats diminished until the First Intifada in the late 1980s and the rise of Hamas. Following Israel’s unilateral withdrawal from the Gaza Strip in 2005, cross-border shelling and rocket attacks into Israel increased accordingly. To protect these areas, which now became known as the Gaza Envelope, the Israeli parliament Knesset enacted a law to assist the “confrontation-line communities.” But when these measures expired in 2014 – a decade before October 7 – the district command of the IDF cut the associated budgets. This enraged many of the communities. After all, the 2014 Gaza War had caused a substantial adverse impact on the proximate settlements, due to rocket and mortar attacks, tunnels, intrusions, even incendiary kites. The war was followed by another wave of violence in 2018. And on October 7, many communities in the Gaza Envelope were infiltrated, with hundreds of Israelis butchered and kidnapped.

Instead of protecting its citizens, Israel had retreated from its traditional security obligations to the adjacent Israeli communities. As evidenced by the national budget for the Gaza Envelope localities in 2014–2024, these communities were, as critics said, “slated for abandonment following the November 2022 elections.” In effect, the per capita budgets approved for the years 2023-2024 were almost a third lower than that of 2022.

So, well before October 7, the strategic needs of the Gaza Envelope of adjacent Israeli communities were effectively neglected by the government. However, the huge military border barrier prevailed. Between 2017 and 2021, to counter the many tunnels Palestinians dug for infiltration, Israel also constructed an underground border wall, equipped with sensors several meters in depth along the entire border. In Israel, the high-tech security barriers were portrayed as impenetrable. And yet, the IDF was tricked by Hamas’s messaging, over-relied on a remote-controlled surveillance systems and weapons that were swiftly disabled by drones and snipers, enabling its infiltration and onslaught. Furthermore, the builder of the barrier had warned already in 2018 that it absolutely required a military presence. It was not designed to prevent mass assault on its own.

Unsurprisingly, the Hamas offensive caused a full breakdown in trust between the Israeli localities and their state, with residents reluctant to return to homes until security was fully ensured. As regional escalation spread to northern Israel, it shared the Gaza Envelope’s challenges, facing the rockets of the Hezbollah. By summer 2024, local leaders were warning the Netanyahu cabinet they planned to leave if the situation wouldn’t improve. “Where is the government?” asked the chief of the regional council, Moshe Davidovitch. “Even a banana republic does not work like this,” he added. “The government is destroying the North.”

Convenient narratives and inconvenient truths       

By May 2024, new evidence indicated that Israel’s intelligence failure was the net effect of a “chain of failures” that pervaded the entire security sector, both in the Shin Bet and the IDF. The common denominator was the fallacy that Hamas was only able of firing long-range rockets against Israel. Whatever did not fit this theory was rejected. So, the warnings of the IDF female spotters were systematically ignored. What they saw as an impending mass attack intelligence officers dismissed as “routine Hamas training.”

Second, after the Gaza war in 2021, it was decided to cease intelligence-gathering on Hamas’ tactical array and the intermediate ranks of its military arm, to focus only on few individuals. Opposing views to this intelligence concept were marginalized. These failures were coupled with a sense of disdain in the intelligence culture, which viewed the border fence, together with the underground border barrier between Israel and Gaza, as denying Hamas the possibility of invading Israel. The “Iron Wall” was considered impenetrable; for all the wrong reasons. In effect, Hamas operatives breached the border barrier at 44 different points.

These failures were coupled with a sense of disdain in the intelligence culture, which viewed the border fence, together with the underground border barrier between Israel and Gaza, as denying Hamas the possibility of invading Israel.

Consequently, the so-called intelligence failure on October 7 can be attributed primarily to the rejection of external warnings, denial of internal evidence, suppression of tactical intelligence, autocratic culture, and inflated perception of the effectiveness of the separation barriers. The ongoing investigation of the military is likely to stress similar factors. But was that the full story or a part of the story? In effect, what was the story?

In the early conventional narrative, “intelligence failure” was framed as the prime narrative. But the thesis is hard to argue when tactical intelligence was delivered exceptionally well, despite reduced resources, and it outlined the threats in detail well before the attack, including the almost exact number anticipated to be abducted. There are too many anomalies and happy coincidences in the current narratives. So, if “intelligence failure” is not the story, what is? This leaves open the question, was the “neglect of intelligence evidence” just unprofessional conduct?

In the United States, September 11, 2001, provided the kind of catastrophic and catalyzing event – like “a new Pearl Harbor” – that the leading neoconservatives, gathered around the Project for the New American Century in 2000, envisioned as critical to achieve massive rearmament in America. Subsequently, it served as a flawed pretext for the war against Iraq and global war on terror. Netanyahu was well aware of this neoconservative Project; he funded some of its pioneers. The rise of neoconservatism in the U.S. went hand in hand with the emergence of Netanyahu’s Likud in Israel. It resulted in a neoconservative policy document, A Clean Break: A New Strategy for Securing the Realm, described as “a kind of U.S.-Israeli neoconservative manifesto.”

In Israel, the Hamas offensive was immediately followed by a coordinated nationwide outcry that “October 7 is our September 11” by PM Netanyahu, who had built his rise to power in the 1990s in cooperation with the very same U.S. neoconservatives, as well as the rise of Hamas at the expense of the Palestinian Authority, which his policies had tacitly supported for years. With October 7, he used the Hamas offensive to legitimize the subsequent ground assault and genocidal atrocities, which many in his war cabinet hoped would result in ethnic expulsions that would open Gaza for Jewish resettlement. Meanwhile, his Messianic far-right cabinet partners used the fog of war to disguise their ongoing (and largely successful) effort at the effective annexation of the West Bank to Israel proper.

The point is not to argue that one or another of these narratives is conclusive. Too much evidence is still missing. The point is that the current “facts” feature many anomalies that conventional wisdom shuns, but alternate narratives can explain. Conventional wisdom may be convenient, but it is seldom either persuasive or final.

This commentary draws from Dr Dan Steinbock’s new book, The Fall of Israel. A comprehensive historical and contemporary analysis of the how the path to the obliteration of Gaza was paved by the confluence of a set of longstanding forces. It focuses on the transformation of Israel, ethnic cleansing and genocidal atrocities, the Gaza War and regional escalation. It has been endorsed by two former European foreign ministers, the leading US political scientist, Israeli, Palestinian and Iranian scholars of the Middle East, and Secretary of State Colin Powell’s chief of staff, Lawrence Wilkerson. “When you finish the book,” Wilkerson says, “I hope you will understand that our current national path leads us straight to hell. “

The original commentary was published by Antiwar.com on March 10, 2025.

About the Author

Dr Dan SteinbockThe author of The Fall of Israel (2025), Dr. Dan Steinbock is the founder of Difference Group and has served at the India, China and America Institute (US), Shanghai Institute for International Studies (China) and the EU Center (Singapore). For more, see https://www.differencegroup.net/

Why Panic Alarms Are a Must-Have for Workplace Safety

Health and safety in the workplace are critical priorities for any industry. All businesses have a variety of policies and procedures in place to aid with keeping employees and visitors safe but occasionally, some areas are overlooked.

Lone worker safety, via personal alarms or a lone worker app, is often overlooked despite being of just as much importance as a working-from-height policy or a first aid kit.

In this blog, we look at why such devices play a vital role, so you can see how they may deliver more safety and security for your workforce.

What is a panic alarm?

A panic alarm is a must-have security feature for lone workers and those working in volatile or risky environments. Created to provide rapid assistance to those who need it, a panic alarm sends a signal with the simple press of a button to an alarm receiving centre, law enforcement or in-house security teams.

Designed to be versatile, panic alarms are now incorporated into mobile phone apps, buttons incorporated into the building or wireless wearable tech.

Why do we need panic alarms for workplace safety?

You might be thinking that your team are well drilled in following procedures and that your dedicated H&S specialist has all eventualities covered, but unfortunately, that becomes a risky game to play. In critical situations, time management is crucial. Spending time ensuring you tick all the boxes of a company policy could change the way the situation escalates and what its outcome might be.

So, let’s look at the key reasons why bringing a lone worker app or panic alarm system into play might be one of the better moves you could make.

Fast response

When a panic alarm is activated via an app, device or button, it sends a signal to an alarm receiving centre, emergency service or other members of the team. This alerts them to a situation where someone needs urgent help. Without such a device, the employee at risk has to try and make a phone call or try and escape the situation. This can sometimes make things worse.

By reducing response time, you also reduce potential risk and give the employee a quicker helping hand.

Reduce workplace violence

Cases of workplace violence are often found in the media. Arguments between employees sometimes turn violent and sometimes customers feel the need to escalate situations with fists or weapons rather than with reason. This means a workplace can often become a scene of conflict and violence. Certainly, something it is not meant to be.

Panic alarms are a great way to minimise this risk. Should an employee feel threatened, they can discreetly activate an alarm with help arriving on the scene quickly. This aids in diffusing the situation before the offender can escalate it any further.

UK-based lone work specialists OkAlone have an app that can be downloaded onto any phone. With a simple push of a button, an alarm can be raised, without the offender knowing. With in-built GPS and man-down detection, the app can pinpoint where something happened and action the appropriate response.

This is particularly beneficial in industries such as retail or healthcare where face-to-face interaction is frequent.

Enhanced security

Many businesses spend lots of money on implementing various degrees of safety and security, but it can always be enhanced. For lone workers in particular, adding additional safety measures should be high on the agenda. Situations can often arise from almost nothing, and failing to provide workers with suitable ways to help themselves or request help could be damaging to both the individual and the business.

Security guards, warehouse workers, salespeople and home healthcare professionals for example are all often expected to work by themselves. This heightens the level of risk they put themselves at and means accidents, threats or injuries could go largely unnoticed or dealt with.

Having a lone worker app or alarm device with built-in GPS allows workers such as these to raise an alarm, instantly requesting help. Responders can then locate them quickly and organise a response or action accordingly.

Reducing legal liability

As a business owner, there are a host of legal responsibilities you must abide by. From how people are employed to the hours they work through to the amount they can be paid. Each aspect has very strict guidelines to follow. When it comes to safety the rules are perhaps even more essential. Failing to follow those can result in prosecution that may lead to fines or even prison time.

Failing to implement the correct level of safety control and management could see businesses being found liable for the result of an incident. As a result, it is better to be, if anything, over-cautious. The installation of panic alarms or the provision of lone worker alarms and apps shows that:

  • You take a proactive approach to safety
  • You maximise compliance opportunities
  • Reasonable measures are being put into place to protect employees

Enhanced employee morale and productivity

We often think that morale and productivity are linked to pay and benefits, but many employees see morale and productivity increase when they feel safe.  By giving them full peace of mind that their safety is not only a priority but is proactively monitored, employees will feel safer and happier in the workplace. This then translates to less absence, more productivity and an overall more positive environment.

Where safety is taken seriously, staff retention tends to remain high as people feel comfortable in their workplace.

What panic alarms can be used in my workplace?

Luckily, there are a host of options that provide workers with added security. From fixed buttons to wearable tech, fast responses and appropriate care can be found fast.

  • Fixed panic buttons. These are the panic alarms that may be located under a desk or counter. A press of a discreet button sends an alert to the alarm controller or emergency services.
  • Wearable panic alarms. Small devices, sometimes disguised as a name tag, can be worn by a staff member and then activated with a quick press. An alert is sent to a control centre which can then locate the individual and act accordingly.
  • Mobile phone apps. A simple-to-use app where the user simply taps a button to raise an alarm which is then sent through to the alarm centre or appropriate alarm handler.

These devices provide crucial and rapid assistance. Used to help lone workers as well as those working in large numbers, they allow for a speedy resolution to a variety of situations. For business owners of all sizes, and especially those with high-risk workers, this simple alteration to safety procedures could save lives and cash.

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