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Crypto Casinos: How Blockchain is Revolutionizing Online Gambling

Casino theme

To keep up with the ever-growing demand, the gaming industry has consistently embraced new technology that enhances the customer experience. Modern internet casinos are a product of technological advancements that have shaped a multibillion-dollar sector.

Blockchain technology is having a significant influence on the gambling industry. More efficiency, openness, and safety have resulted from blockchain technology. A recent poll found that almost half of all online gamblers (47%) prefer using cryptocurrencies—a subset of blockchain technology—for their transactions due to the increased anonymity and safety they provide. So, how is blockchain revolutionizing online gambling? Stick around as we find out.

Impact of Blockchain in the Gaming Sector

Blockchain Technology: The Basis of Cryptocurrency Transactions

When it comes to online gaming, blockchain technology is like a superhero. This digital record is the fortress that protects your cryptocurrency holdings. With a security guard present for every transaction, the possibility of fraud is as remote as finding a unicorn in your backyard.

According to PwC, blockchain technology cuts fraud in half in the online gambling industry. Also, it skips the expensive and inconvenient traditional banking system, which speeds up transactions. For players, this means less paperwork and more gameplay, presenting a win-win situation for both parties. Casinos like Bitcasino – crypto casino have capitalized on this efficiency, enhancing the overall gaming experience for their users.

Player Empowerment: Decentralization

Historically, operators have had complete control and administration over their online gaming platforms. This has led to players raising questions if the games are really fair. Blockchain technology solves this problem by creating an immutable record of all transactions and game results. This ensures that the casino and players can verify the results’ fairness on their own, without relying on an administrative agency.

Online casinos that use the blockchain rely heavily on smart contracts. Winnings are distributed automatically and without human intervention, since the rules and rewards are inscribed into these contracts that execute themselves. Players seeking honesty and genuine fairness have found crypto casino more appealing due to the auditing and tracking of every transaction. This kind of player empowerment is good for the industry as a whole.

Lower Operator Costs

Blockchain technology helps casinos save money. Due to the usage of fiat currency, the majority of conventional online casinos are compelled to spend astronomical amounts in regulatory fees, banking costs, and transaction taxes. The adoption of blockchain technology allows casinos to accept cryptocurrencies, which means they can perform cheaper operations and incur fewer expenses.

Players can enjoy bigger incentives, larger payouts, and more competitive products as a result of these operational expense reductions. Also, because of the much-reduced expenses, crypto casinos run on far thinner house margins, which might provide players with a significantly better chance of winning.

Improved Security and Anonymity

More privacy is one of the key selling points of blockchain casinos, which can entice customers to utilize them. According to estimations, a quarter of all internet gamblers will have switched to crypto casinos by the year 2025. Players can wager without disclosing some of their crucial data thanks to the privacy that crypto transactions provide in every activity. Those who prefer to play games in private online are particularly drawn to this anonymity feature. Blockchain eliminates the need for intermediaries in financial transactions, making them more secure and less susceptible to identity and financial theft.

Final Thoughts

The future of blockchain gaming is bright since it is becoming more popular in the entertainment business. It is anticipated that the technology will undergo substantial development and widespread use in the future years, as more and more betting firms are embracing it. Blockchain technology is even becoming more widely used as more conventional game producers incorporate it into their games.

The continued rise of blockchain technology bodes well for future innovations in gaming experiences made possible by this revolutionary technology. Eventually, gaming sites built on the blockchain can make interoperability a top priority to improve communication across different game networks. This would lead to a more unified gaming experience overall. Using their assets across different games and platforms allows players to create fresh, interesting experiences for consumers while yet being environmentally conscious.

While there are certain obstacles that consumers and gaming platforms need to overcome, blockchain gaming offers numerous potential advantages. The thrilling new gaming experiences and increased interaction with other technologies are only the beginning of how the gaming industry and blockchain technology are going to change the entertainment sector forever.

Intensifying Violence: Israel Strikes Beirut Amid Rising Regional Tensions

Intensifying Violence

Airstrikes targeted Beirut on Monday morning, marking the first strikes within the city’s limits since October 7. This follows a weekend of intense fighting across the Middle East, as Israel expanded its offensive against Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen, raising concerns about a broader regional conflict.

On Sunday, Israeli strikes reportedly killed over 100 people and injured more than 350 in Lebanon, targeting approximately 45 Hezbollah positions. Significant losses were reported within Hezbollah’s leadership, including key commander Nabil Qaouk.

In Yemen, Israeli military operations aimed at the Houthis resulted in at least four deaths. Humanitarian agencies warn that escalating violence could worsen the dire conditions in Lebanon, where many have been displaced by the conflict.

Related Readings:

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Wars Of The Future Are Coming

Disinformation Risk Threatening the Global Economy

Globalization

By Dan Steinbock             

As China is fueling global growth prospects, the real risk haunting the international economy is protectionism, sanctions and geopolitics – increasingly disguised by disinformation in the West.

The ongoing year marks the 75th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China. On September 21, 1949 Mao Zedong announced to the nation that “the Chinese people have stood up… Ours will no longer be a nation subject to insult and humiliation.” It was followed by a mass celebration in Tiananmen Square on October 1, which is celebrated in the mainland during the ongoing week.

In Washington, neoconservatives would like to reverse these 75 years of history, however. These efforts are likely to significantly accelerate after the US election. The first signs – disinformation wars setting the stage to economic instability and geopolitical turmoil – are intensifying.

Billions of dollars into propaganda

In 2023, international pundits first declared Chinese economy a global inflation threat, then a global deflation threat. And when these trajectories proved flawed, China was declared collapsed, oddly amid its recovery.

More recently, early in September, the international news agency Bloomberg predicted that “deflation stalking China since last year is now showing signs of spiraling.” A week later, the agency’s China editor Philip Glamann warned that “worries about falling prices and the threat they pose to the world’s second biggest economy are reaching a crescendo.” The essay featured a photo of a gray Shanghai with just two people; a bit like Newsweek’s fake report over a year ago that claimed Shanghai had collapsed.

Intended or not, such reports distort economic realities by amplifying the risks of the Chinese economy beyond recognition. On Friday, ironically, China stocks closed out their best week since 2008 as the country’s central bank cut its reserve requirement for banks as part of the stimulus measures announced to boost property and financial markets.

Chinese economic challenges are real but manageable. It is the billions of dollars wasted in disinformation and hundreds of billions of dollars misused in efforts at military interventions in the United States that now pose a real and tangible threat to the global economy.

In early summer, Reuters found that, at the height of the Covid-19 pandemic, the US military had launched a secret campaign to discredit China’s Sinovac inoculation in the Philippines and several other countries in Southeast Asia, Central Asia and the Middle East. But Pentagon’s military psy-ops are just a part of the huge influence machine.

In early September, the U.S. House passed a bipartisan $1.6 billion for the State Department and USAID over the next five years, to deliver anti-China propaganda globally. That massive spend is about twice the annual operating expenditure of CNN – all of which will be used for the sole purpose of lies about China.

Genocidal “China collapse” ideologues

The ultimate goal seems to be to destabilize the Chinese economy. The most consistent oracle of the “China collapse” theory has been Gordon Chang, the darling of Washington and Fox News, who – strangely enough – has repeated his thesis since 2001. In a recent Fox interview with Maria Bartiromo, he declared – surprise, surprise – that “China is falling apart.”

Chang serves in the Gatestone Institute, notorious for its Islamophobic disinformation campaigns and far-right policies. It is funded by Rebecca Mercer of the Mercer billionaire dynasty that in 2016 financed the Brexit campaigns in the UK and Trump’s campaigns in the US. The ensuing trade policies led to aggressive protectionism and geopolitics that have fostered the worst geoeconomic fragmentation since the rise of Nazism in the 1930s and stagflation in the 1970s.

At Gatestone, Chang has pushed the idea that Taiwan should launch a missile attack on the Three Gorges Dam and drown the downstream population, to signal that they are “prepared to take Chinese lives in the hundreds of millions.”

It is not a chance event the escalation is taking place now. China has a central role in the rise of the Global South that seeks peace and development, not friction and war. If China is destabilized, the rise of the Global South will take a severe hit.

China’s rise driving the Global South

After centuries of colonialism and half a century of Cold War, the economic gap between the countries of the West and the Global South only increased in the postwar era, due to the inherently unequal exchange. What has changed this equation over the past two decades is the rise of China.

In 1949, China accounted barely 4% of the global economy. Following the reform and opening-up policies, the figure has almost quintupled to 19% of the world GDP today. The implications are world-historical.

Until the 1990s, the developing world was dependent mainly on the West. By 2007, the large emerging economies, spearheaded by China, fueled global growth, while the West began to stagnate. In the process, the growth impact of China on low- and middle-income economies has soared.

These trends have dramatically accelerated Chinese investment abroad since the launch of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in 2013, the rise of the new complementary development institutions like Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and the New Development Bank (NDB), thereby boosting modernization in many emerging and developing economies.

In this way, China is pulling along many of the world’s middle- and smaller-size economies in its train. However, today this great project is threatened.

The real global risks        

Through much of the ongoing year, trade has driven China’s economic growth fueling the rebound of the Caixin manufacturing PMI. Unsurprisingly, the two fastest-growing export categories – electronics and electric vehicles – have been targeted by Washington and Brussels. Yet, the net effect has been curious. The Chinese automaker BYD’s lowest-priced model in the U.S. would still be the cheapest in the market, even with a 100% tariff.

In the second quarter of the year, Western governments blacklisted a record 198 Chinese entities. Looking ahead, as research group Rhodium cautions, “sanctions are likely to remain a key risk for global investors as scrutiny of Chinese companies expands into new areas.”

Effectively, U.S. policies aim at reducing imports and bolstering domestic production marked by the expansion of “Buy American” provisions. As new research shows, this has resulted in the “increasing cost of buying American.” Ordinary Americans pay the bill for their governments’ tariff and sanctions wars. And so may the Europeans soon. It is not a chance event that trade wars against China have gone hand in hand with high inflation in the West.

Before the trade wars of the Trump administration, China replaced the US as the engine of the world economy. Over the past decade, China has contributed 31% to global growth, more than three times the US share. In the next 5 years, China’s contribution could still prove greater than that of all G7 economies combined.

In the foreseeable future, the greatest threat to global recovery is not China, but the poisonous mix of protectionism, sanctions and geopolitics in the West. It relies neither on international law nor international consensus, but on brute force. Worse, now it threatens to undermine the rise of the Global South.

About the Author

Dr Dan SteinbockDr. Dan Steinbock is the founder of Difference Group and has served at the India, China and America Institute (US), Shanghai Institute for International Studies (China) and the EU Center (Singapore).

Expectations on USDTRY Exchange Rate: Turkey’s Future in Light of Economic Theories 

Finance Concept-200 Turkish Liras Bills Over Red Bar Graph

By Oguz Senbayrak

The article discusses the Turkish lira’s decline, driven by inflation, capital outflows, and economic challenges. Predicting the USD/TRY exchange rate to exceed 52 by 2025, it highlights the need for sustainable policies. Economic theories explain why Turkey’s current approach may worsen inflationary pressures and currency devaluation. 

In recent times, the impact of global financial developments on the Turkish economy has been intensely felt. While major central banks such as the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (FED) are adjusting their interest rate policies, expectations for the Turkish exchange rate and inflation are driven by different dynamics. In this context, not only global developments but also Turkey’s internal dynamics and structural problems must be considered. 

This article evaluates the current and future pressures on the exchange rate from a general economic perspective and highlights potential risks in the economy. 

General Perspective: Inflation, Exchange Rate, and Capital Movements in Turkey 

Recent developments in the Turkish economy show that inflation and the exchange rate are on a consistent upward trend. The low-income elasticity of many products indicates that demand does not decrease as inflation rises. This phenomenon continues to fuel the inflationary cycle in Turkey, where prices rise, demand remains steady, and as a result, the exchange rate keeps increasing. 

Historical examples of such situations can be observed in countries like Brazil (1980s-early1990s), Argentina (Late 1980s) and Venezuela (Mid-2010s), where similar inflationary spirals led to uncontrollable exchange rate increases, causing severe damage to their economies. Turkey is currently at the cusp of experiencing a similar cycle. 

Given the current economic data, the Central Bank’s efforts to intervene in the exchange rate will not be sustainable for long. With limited foreign exchange reserves, it is not possible to maintain prolonged pressure on the exchange rate through reserves. Although the average exchange rate expectation for the end of 2025 is around 42 TRY, reliable market data providers estimate it to rise to 52 TRY. Even though Turkey’s CDS (Credit Default Swap) rates remain low, upward revisions in exchange rate expectations are noteworthy. 

When examining Turkey’s growth expectations, the Medium-Term Program (MTP) targets a 4% growth rate for 2025. However, this target seems unrealistic given the current growth figures. While growth was recorded at 5.3% in the first quarter of 2024 ,it dropped to 2.5% in the second quarter, indicating a potential for negative growth. With these trends, it is clear that inflationary policies will continue, as they are essential for sustaining growth. 

The stagnation in industrial production, combined with ongoing capital outflows, indicates that the Turkish economy is contracting. The revision of export expectations under the MTP, pulling back the forecast by $13 billion, may be a sign of weakness caused by exchange rate pressures. 

Capital Movements and Their Effects on the Exchange Rate 

Additionally, in the last two months, significant foreign capital outflows have been observed in both the stock market and debt instruments. According to data from the beginning of the summer 2024, nearly $3 billion of foreign capital has exited the market, and this trend appears to be continuing. The withdrawal of foreign investors reduces liquidity in Turkish markets, weakening the protective effect on the TRY. These capital outflows deepen the contraction in financial markets, which in turn increases demand for foreign currency and leads to a rise in the USD’s value against the TRY. This contraction, when measured with market performance, signals a decline in confidence in Turkey’s financial system and further exacerbates upward pressure on the exchange rate. 

Turkey and the Exchange Rate in Light of Economic Theories 

To fully grasp the current dynamics of Turkey’s exchange rate, it is helpful to look at some fundamental economic theories. These theories provide a deeper understanding of the structural challenges and exchange rate expectations in the country. 

Inflation Expectations; Over the past three years, high inflation expectations and political uncertainty have increased the risk of the TRY depreciating. Even if U.S. interest rates fall, the high inflation expectations and uncertainty in Turkey weaken confidence in the TRY, increasing demand for foreign currency and driving up the exchange rate. Periodic increases in Turkey’s risk premium, as reflected in CDS rates, continue to put upward pressure on the exchange rate. 

Mundell-Fleming Model; This model suggests that a decrease in U.S. interest rates could encourage capital inflows into developing economies. However, in a country like Turkey, where political uncertainty and high interest rates persist, these inflows may remain limited. While strict monetary policies aim to curb outflows, capital flight remains a risk. Policies aimed at suppressing the exchange rate can fuel domestic demand, potentially leading to further upward pressure on the exchange rate. 

Balassa-Samuelson Hypothesis; In developing countries, productivity gains tend to occur more slowly in non-tradable sectors (such as services). In Turkey, the slow productivity growth in non-tradable sectors adds inflationary pressure, which in turn puts pressure on the exchange rate. Even if U.S. 

interest rates decrease, structural issues in Turkey’s economy may continue to drive the exchange rate upwards. The slower productivity growth in the services sector may trigger higher price levels, increasing the demand for foreign currency. 

Real Interest Rates; As long as real interest rates in Turkey remain lower than those in the U.S., demand for foreign currency may surpass demand for the TRY. In a high-inflation environment, low real interest rates make foreign currency more attractive, putting upward pressure on the USD/TRY exchange rate. With discussions of rate cuts resurfacing in Turkey, this could further weaken the TRY and fuel greater demand for foreign currency. 

Conclusion: 2025 Projections and the Exchange Rate 

Inflation and upward pressure on the exchange rate are expected to persist until 2025 in the Turkish economy. The growth target of 4% and the 17,5% inflation expectation stated in the Medium-Term Program appear misaligned with current economic dynamics. Given the ongoing inflationary pressures and rising exchange rates, the USD/TRY rate could exceed 52 by the end of 2025. 

Considering the structural challenges in the Turkish economy, capital outflows, and the pressures on the exchange rate, it is likely that the upward trend in the exchange rate will continue in the coming years. In light of economic theories and current data, Turkey will need to implement more robust and sustainable policies to break this cycle.

About the Author

Oguz SenbayrakOguz Senbayrak is a Senior Consultant, specializing in market liquidity and interest rate risk management. With a background in economics and an MBA in progress, he has extensive experience in financial risk management, derivatives, and speculative market behavior, making him an expert on inflation dynamics and consumer behavior in emerging markets. 

The Future of E-Commerce: Trends Shaping Online Shopping 

Man holding credit or debit card making online purchase

By Ashley Nielsen

The e-commerce landscape is rapidly evolving, driven by technological advancements and shifting consumer expectations. As online shopping becomes increasingly integral to our daily lives, several emerging trends are poised to redefine how we interact with digital marketplaces. From the integration of artificial intelligence and augmented reality to the rise of voice commerce and sustainable practices, the future of e-commerce promises to bring unprecedented levels of personalization, convenience, and efficiency. Understanding these trends is essential for both consumers and businesses looking to navigate and thrive in this dynamic environment. 

AI and Machine Learning 

AI and ML provide increasingly sophisticated personalization options. AI algorithms analyze consumer data to offer tailored product recommendations, predict shopping behaviors, and enhance the overall shopping experience. Machine learning models can refine these recommendations, learning from user interactions to improve accuracy and relevance. This level of personalization boosts customer satisfaction and drives higher conversion rates and increased sales. 

Beyond recommendations, AI-powered chatbots and virtual assistants transform customer service by providing instant, 24/7 support. These tools can handle a wide range of inquiries, from order tracking to troubleshooting, thereby improving customer engagement and reducing the workload on human support staff.  

Voice Commerce 

Voice commerce is rapidly gaining traction as smart speakers and voice-activated devices become more prevalent in households. Consumers increasingly use voice commands to search for products, make purchases, and track orders, which presents a new frontier for e-commerce businesses. Optimizing for voice search involves adapting content and product listings to align with natural language queries and conversational tones, ensuring that voice interactions are smooth and accurate. 

The convenience of voice commerce also presents opportunities for personalized shopping experiences. Voice assistants can remember user preferences, suggest products based on previous purchases, and provide tailored recommendations, making the shopping process more intuitive.  

Omnichannel Experiences 

A seamless omnichannel experience is becoming crucial for e-commerce businesses as consumers increasingly expect a unified shopping journey across various platforms. Integrating online and offline experiences involves ensuring that customers can easily transition between browsing on a website, shopping in-store, and interacting with a brand through social media or mobile apps. This approach enhances customer satisfaction by providing a consistent and cohesive brand experience.  

To achieve this, retailers invest in technologies and strategies that connect different touchpoints, such as synchronized inventory systems, cross-channel promotions, and unified customer service. An effective omnichannel strategy improves the shopping experience and boosts brand loyalty to drive repeat business.  

Sustainable and Ethical Shopping 

As awareness of environmental and social issues grows, consumers increasingly seek out brands that prioritize sustainability and ethical practices. E-commerce businesses are responding by adopting eco-friendly packaging, reducing carbon footprints, and ensuring fair labor practices throughout their supply chains. Transparency about these efforts is also a key factor in attracting and retaining conscientious shoppers. 

Companies are also leveraging certifications and partnerships with sustainability organizations to build trust and credibility with their audience. By promoting sustainable products and practices, e-commerce businesses not only meet consumer demand but also contribute to broader environmental and social goals. As sustainability becomes more integrated into the core values of brands, it will likely play a significant role in shaping future e-commerce trends. 

Social Commerce 

Social commerce has transformed how we shop by integrating purchasing opportunities directly into social media platforms. Features like shoppable posts, in-app checkout, and live-streaming sales make it easier for users to discover and buy products without leaving their social feeds. This trend leverages the social influence of user-generated content and influencer partnerships to drive engagement and sales. 

Social commerce also enables brands to connect with their audience authentically and encourage participation. By engaging with customers through comments, direct messages, and live interactions, businesses enhance brand loyalty. As social media platforms continue to evolve and introduce new shopping features, the role of social commerce in e-commerce will likely expand, offering new avenues for growth and customer engagement. 

Mobile-First Shopping 

The rise of mobile commerce is driving e-commerce businesses to prioritize mobile-first strategies. As more consumers use smartphones and tablets for shopping, optimizing websites and apps for mobile devices is crucial for providing a seamless user experience. This includes ensuring fast load times, intuitive navigation, and responsive design to accommodate various screen sizes and operating systems. 

Mobile-first shopping also involves leveraging mobile-specific features such as push notifications, for example, notifying users of a women’s shoe sale, location-based offers, and mobile payment options to enhance convenience and engagement. By focusing on mobile optimization, e-commerce businesses can capture a growing segment of the market and provide a more accessible and enjoyable shopping experience. As mobile technology continues to advance, its influence on e-commerce will only become more significant. 

Advanced Logistics and Delivery 

Innovations in logistics and delivery are transforming the e-commerce industry by enhancing efficiency and speed. Technologies such as automated warehouses, robotics, and drone deliveries are streamlining the fulfillment process, reducing delivery times, and lowering costs. These advancements not only improve operational efficiency but also meet the growing consumer demand for faster and more reliable shipping options. 

Additionally, electronic signature systems play a crucial role in the logistics and delivery process. By allowing for the digital signing of delivery receipts, returns, and other critical documents, these systems enhance the speed and security of transactions. They help reduce paperwork, minimize errors, and provide a clear digital record of agreements and approvals. As e-commerce continues to evolve, the integration of electronic signatures will likely further streamline logistics operations and improve the overall customer experience. 

The E-Commerce Technological Revolution 

As we look ahead, it’s clear that the future of e-commerce will be shaped by a convergence of innovative technologies and evolving consumer preferences. The trends outlined—ranging from advanced AI and mobile-first strategies to sustainable practices and electronic signature systems—highlight a shift towards more personalized, secure, and efficient online shopping experiences. Businesses that stay ahead of these trends and adapt to the changing landscape will not only meet the expectations of today’s savvy consumers but also position themselves for long-term success in an increasingly competitive market. Embracing these changes will be key to unlocking new opportunities and driving growth in the ever-expanding world of e-commerce.

About the Author

Ashley Nielsen earned a B.S. degree in Business Administration Marketing at Point Loma Nazarene University. She is a freelance writer who loves to share knowledge about general business, marketing, lifestyle, wellness, and financial tips. During her free time, she enjoys being outside, staying active, reading a book, or diving deep into her favorite music.  

The World Bank and Neoliberalism: Continuity and Discontinuity in the Making of an Agenda

By Howard Stein

Since the latter part of the 1990s the World Bank has increasingly claimed its main focus is on poverty reduction and development. Among other things, the Bank introduced poverty focused loans, a commitment to debt reduction with support for the reallocation of spending toward health and education, the expansion of more domestically generated poverty reduction support papers and comprehensive development frameworks. Below, Howard Stein argues that despite some diversification in its agenda, the Bank is still promoting policies that continue to support its three-decade-old commitment to neoliberalism, which arguably works against its purported commitment to poverty reduction.

“Even where neoliberal policy measures have succeeded in stimulating economic growth, growth’s benefits have not gone to those living in “dire poverty,” one-fourth of the world’s population”1(Jim Kim, 2000)

On July 1, 2012, Jim Kim, the new president of the World Bank was sworn in. The background of Dr. Kim was dramatically different than any previous Bank president. Dr. Kim is the first World Bank president without a background in politics or finance. He is also the first who has both a Ph.D in Anthropology and a Medical Degree and has a strong history of working on health issues in the developing world. The above quote indicates a healthy skepticism aimed at neoliberal policies, which have been a central core of the World Bank agenda since the early 1980s.2

Where did these policies come from? How have they changed over time? What has happened to the neo-liberal agenda under the Kim presidency? 

Origins of Neoliberal Policies

During the 1950s and 1960s, the World Bank needed to establish its credibility on global markets which it used to finance its operations. The Bank built a fairly non-controversial portfolio and lent roughly 60% of its funds to low-risk infrastructural focused projects like roads and dams. Given its priorities, the Bank was dominated by engineers and finance experts.

During the 1970s, the focus began to change. Under the presidency of McNamara, the World Bank shifted its priorities toward income distribution, basic needs, and poverty reduction. During the decade, lending to infrastructure fell to around 36%. At the same time the allocation to agriculture and social areas rose to 41% compared to 17% in the 1960s.

Under the direction of neoliberal policies, African economies followed their static comparative advantage and increasingly relied on the export of unprocessed raw materials, with limited benefit to the broader population.

Since the new lending required more country-specific knowledge, the Bank became increasingly reliant upon economists. Toward the end of the decade, there was some concern among the economists in the Bank that too much economic growth was being sacrificed to reach social goals. Moreover, the economics profession was becoming both increasingly conservative and critical of most forms of state intervention in the economy, including the types that have been historically supported by the World Bank. In addition, a series of events, including the election of right-wing regimes in the US and the UK (Reagan and Thatcher), the appointment of A.W. Clausen, a staunch conservative, as president of the Bank and the hiring of Anne Krueger, a hard-line neo-liberal, as chief economist led to a major shift in the agenda. After 1980, the new approach known as structural adjustment or neoliberalism was introduced and became dominant in the Bank and in international policy circles.

Neoliberalism has multiple definitions and has been described in the literature as an ideology, philosophy, doctrine, assertion and a theory. Despite the differences there is generalised recognition of a common policy paradigm, which assumes that growth and development will arise from conservative monetary and fiscal policy, liberalisation and privatisation of economies. Each of these policy positions arise from distinct neo-classical economic theories, and each has serious flaws both at the theoretical level and in practice in promoting growth, poverty reduction, income equality, and the structural change in economies needed for development.

For example, in the area of trade, the World Bank actively encouraged countries to follow their static comparative advantage (export the product they can produce with relatively greater efficiency) through the removal of trade restrictions, privatisation or closing down of state industries and the curtailment of state expenditures in vital areas needed for competitive manufacturing such as roads, education, health care and power generation. Local industries could not compete with the inflow of goods from more advanced countries, leading to de-industrialisation and unemployment.

Sub-Saharan African countries were a main focal point of the World Bank neoliberal agenda. From 1980-90, SSA countries received 31 adjustment loans, which comprised roughly 50% of all loans in this category allocated worldwide during that period. By 1995, in Sub-Saharan Africa, 37 countries had received structural adjustment loans.3 During the 80s and 90s GDP growth fell dramatically as compared to the 70’s. The share of manufacturing in GDP fell from 21% in the 1970s to only 12%.4   By 1999 poverty levels rose to nearly 60% of the population from roughly 53% in 1981 with an additional 170 million people living on under a $1.25 per day on the continent south of the Sahara.5

Under the direction of neoliberal policies, African economies followed their static comparative advantage and increasingly relied on the export of unprocessed raw materials, with little value added and limited benefit to the broader population. By 1995, 87% of all exports were in primary commodities. With some recovery in commodity prices, and the growth and expansion of oil and gas and other minerals in SSA there was some rise in economic growth after 2002. However, there is little sign of the kind of structural transformation associated with development. The export share of primary commodities rose to an astounding 93% by 2012, with the share of manufacturing falling to just 6% of GDP by 2010.6 In many African countries few people, other than the elites of a country and foreign direct investors, are able to share in the benefits of resources, such as oil, compared to the employment opportunities and linkage effects of sectors like manufacturing.7

Evolution of the World Bank Policy and Neoliberalism

While there were some innovations in the World Bank policy in the 1980s and 1990s under Wolfensohn, the Bank began to refocus on the issue of poverty which was largely ignored by the Bank after the 70s. The Bank replaced structural adjustment loans with poverty support credits for poor countries and development policy loans for middle-income countries. They supported the reduction of debt for the poorest countries through the HIPC (highly indebted poor country) initiative including the generation of country poverty reduction support papers, which outlined the poverty focused usage of funds released from debt servicing. They also introduced the comprehensive development framework (CDF). CDF undertook a more holistic approach to development, which emphasised the importance of including social and human dimensions into development strategies along with the typical macroeconomic and financial considerations. Despite the broadening of the agenda, the neoliberal agenda continued and was extended in the Wolfensohn era.

Neoliberalism and “Doing Business”

In 2002, Wolfensohn launched the Doing Business Reports (DB) which has become a World Bank standard for ranking country progress globally on regulatory impediments, a central neoliberal focal point.8 The focus was on property rights, licensing and dismissing labor. In 2006, DB measured the number of procedures and the amount of time to start a business, to register property, to obtain licences, and to enforce contracts. They also generated an employment index focusing on the ease of hiring and firing employees, another index on the protection of investors and a third on the time to close a business.9   Through the Wolfowitz and Zoellick presidency DB continued to expanded with not only global comparisons but also regional comparisons and individual reports. DB has come under heavy criticism both in the literature and from internal evaluations. The 2008 Independent Evaluation Group argued:

“It measures selected dimensions of the regulatory environment, some of which are bound to be irrelevant in some countries. It notes the costs of regulation but not the benefits. Seven of DB’s 10 indicators presume that lessening regulation is always desirable, whether a country starts with a little or a lot of regulation…the policy implications are not self-evident, since regulations deliver benefits as well as costs. What is good for a firm (or firms) may not be good for firms at large, or the economy and society as a whole. The right balance for any country is a matter of political choice.”10

Little has changed under the Jim Kim regime. A 2013 Independent panel review was also rather critical of the DB’s particularly in its usage of cardinal country specific measurements to generate ordinal global level rankings:

Inevitably, aggregation relies on strong built-in assumptions, making it an inherently value-laden practice. The act of ranking countries may appear devoid of value judgment, but it is, in reality, an arbitrary method of summarising vast amounts of complex information as a single number. Changing the weight accorded to a particular indicator can easily change an item’s ranking. The composite measures used in the Doing Business report are also misleading because they are only partial measures that ignore the social benefits of regulation.11

Given their weaknesses, the Panel recommended curtailing their usage because they were greatly influencing national policies. Governments were motivated by the potential reward of higher investment and foreign aid. Despite this, the 2014 Doing Business rankings were not altered.

“Doing Business” in Agriculture

Moreover, the Bank has not only maintained the status quo on Doing Business reports under Kim but has now expanded into the domain of agriculture at the request of the G8 which is supporting foreign investment in land aimed in part to further the interests of global agro-processing in Africa (Stein et al, 2013). In 2013, the World Bank launched Benchmarking the Business of Agriculture (BBA). BBA builds on the Doing Business methodology and is expected to become a mainstream evaluation tool. The focus is on “key legal and regulatory issues” covering “land, finance, seed, fertilizer, transport and markets.” In late 2013, BBA pilot studies were underway in 10 countries, to be scaled up to 40 countries in 2014 and eventually to 80 countries.12

Reforms under the rubric of DB have already encouraged large scale investment and arguably “land grabbing” at the expense of local populations in some African countries. For example, Liberia introduced 39 reforms to “ease business” between 2008 and 2011 attracting large scale investors from Europe and Southeast Asia in areas like palm oil and rubber. Investors have acquired roughly 1.5 million acres taking away farms, resources and livelihoods from thousands of local people. The new BBA is likely to further facilitate the investor acquisition of land.13

The BBA document places a heavy emphasis on the need for secure property rights through formal institutions like “land registries or registries of deeds” aimed at “designing property rights that support efficient land use… as a necessary condition for increased investment in agriculture and economic growth”.14 The argument is not new, but has been part of the Bank’s neoliberal agenda for a number of decades.15 Evidence exists that formalisation can further spur the dispossession of land by both increasing the spread of land markets which can disfavor the rural poor as well as supporting efforts by the state to carve land out of existing villages for reallocation to investors.16

 

Conclusions

There is little doubt that compared to the hard-core neoliberalism of 1980s and 1990s, over the past decade and a half, the World Bank has softened its image and expanded its agenda with a greater focus on social spending and poverty reduction. Still, after nearly three decades, neoliberal policies are still a central component of the World Bank agenda despite strong evidence that they exacerbate poverty and contribute to dispossession.

The article was first published on July 28, 2014

About the Author

Howard Stein is a Professor in the Department of Afro-American and African Studies at the University of Michigan, and also teaches in the Department of Epidemiology. His most recent books are Beyond the World Bank Agenda: An Institutional Approach to Development (University of Chicago Press, 2008), Good Growth and Governance in Africa: Rethinking Development Strategies (Oxford University Press, 2012) co-edited with Joseph Stiglitz, Akbar Noman, and Kwesi Botchway and Gendered Insecurities, Health, and Development in Africa (Routledge, 2012) co-edited with Amal Fadlalla. He was also the principal co-author of the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa, Economic Report for Africa 2014, Dynamic Industrialization in Africa: Innovative Institutions, Effective Processes and Flexible Mechanism. Since, 2008, Professor Stein has been actively engaged in a research project on property right formalisation, institutional transformation and poverty alleviation in rural Tanzania.

 

References

1. Kim, J. Y., Millen, J. V., Irwin, A., & Gershman, J. eds. Dying for Growth: Global Inequality and the Health of the Poor. Common Courage Press. Monroe, Maine, 2000.

2. See Bazbauers, Adrian Robert. “The Wolfensohn, Woflowitz, and Zoellick Presidencies: Revitalizing the Neoliberal Agenda of the World Bank.” Forum for Development Studies, Vol. 14, No. 1, 2014 and Stein, Howard. Beyond the World Bank Agenda: An Institutional Approach to Development. University of Chicago Press. Chicago, 2008

3. Stein, 2008. op. cit.

4. K.S. Jomo and Rudiger von Arnim. ”Economic Liberalization and Constraints to Development in Sub-Saharan” in Akbar. Noman, Kwesi. Botchwey, Howard. Stein and Joseph Stiglitz eds. Good Growth and Governance in Africa: Rethinking Development Strategies. Oxford University Press, Oxford, 2012.

5. Chen, Shaohua and Martin Ravaillion.“The Developing World is Poorer than we Thought but no Less Successful in the Fight Against Poverty.” World Bank Policy Research Paper, No. 4703, August, 2008.

6. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development “Online Statistics” http://unctad.org/en/pages/Statistics.aspx.

7. United Nations Economic Commission for Africa. Economic Report for Africa 2014, Dynamic Industrialization in Africa: Innovative Institutions, Effective Processes and Flexible Mechanisms http://www.uneca.org/publications/economic-report-africa-2014

8. Bazbauers.2014 . op. cit.

9. World Bank. Doing Business in 2006.

10. World Bank Independent Evaluation Group “Doing Business: An Independent Evaluation: Taking Measure of the World Bank-IFC Doing Business Indicators.” 2008

11. World Bank. “Independent Panel Review of the Doing Business Report.” June, 2013 http://www.dbrpanel.org/sites/dbrpanel/files/doing-business-review-panel-report.pdf

12. World Bank. “Benchmarking the Business of Agriculture, FAQ.” 2014 http://bba.worldbank.org/faqs

13. Martin-Prével, Alice. “Corporatizing Agriculture: World Bank’s Ranking Facilitates Land Grabs.” Bretton Woods Bulletin. May, 2014

14. World Bank. “Snapshot Background Note on Access to Secure Property Rights on Land.” 2014

http://bba.worldbank.org/~/media/GIAWB/AgriBusiness/Documents/Snapshot_WBBBA_Land.pdf

15. See for example, Feder, Gershon and D. Feeny (1991) “Land Tenure and Property Rights: Theory and Implications for Development Policy” The World Bank Economic Review. Vol. 5, No. 1, 1991 and Feder Gershon et al. Land Policies and Farm Productivity in Thailand.World Bank Publications. Washington, D.C., 1988.

16. See Martin-Prével, op. cit., 2014. Between 2009 and 2013 anthropologists Kelly Askew, Rie Odgaard and geographer Faustin Maganga and myself undertook a NSF sponsored study to investigate the impact of property right formalisation and poverty in 20 villages in Tanzania. We found little evidence that formalisation had a positive impact on poverty (eg. farmers were unable to use their titles for collateral for loans) and considerable evidence of rising conflict, deepening poverty and inequality, exclusion of women and pastoralists and rising landlessness in some villages. See for example Stein, Howard, Faustin Maganga, Rie Odgaard, and Kelly Askew “Land Struggles in Tanzania: Dispossession by Formalization?” Paper Presented at European Conference on African Studies, Lisbon, Portugal, June, 2013.

 

Chinese Stocks Rise Amid Economic Support Skepticism

Chinese Stocks

Chinese stocks closed higher on Wednesday, though gains were trimmed as concerns persist about the effectiveness of recent economic support measures. The CSI 300 Index increased by 1.5% at the close after rising as much as 3.4% earlier in the day. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index saw its advance reduced to 0.5% from a peak of 3.4%.

Investor skepticism about Beijing’s ability to revive the economy remains strong, especially given the lack of details on policy implementation. “The policies don’t really address the root problems facing the real economy,” stated Shen Meng from Chanson & Co. Although the recent stimulus package, which includes liquidity support and a potential stock stabilization fund, has sparked hopes for future improvement, market watchers caution that previous rallies have been fleeting.

JP Morgan strategists noted that short covering may have fueled the recent rally, as short sales dipped below average levels. Despite the uncertainties, some experts believe that coordinated policy efforts could signal an economic upturn in 2025, highlighting value opportunities in Chinese equities.

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How Sentiment Analysis Became a Core Component of Stock Market Success for Retail Investors

Financial marketing graph and profit stock market chart

Using sentiment towards stocks and shares is an essential tool for retail investors to use in gaining a more holistic understanding of Wall Street. But is it possible to keep up with the high-power insights at the disposal of some of the market’s biggest analytical machines? 

There are many ways that market sentiment can be used as a fundamental analysis tool for institutions the size of hedge funds and day traders alike. With a sharp focus on the treasure trove of social media and automation technology, our capabilities in understanding the direction that markets are taking have been given a shot in the arm over recent years. 

As much as 75% of hedge funds frequently use news and social media feeds as part of their investment process, while 80% of investors are keen to access more alternative data sources in general, such as private company data, logistics insights, and evaluated pricing, which are particularly sought after. 

Monitoring different news and analyses, including information freely available on social media, has become imperative for retail investors when learning how to trade stocks. In a landscape that’s been made more dynamic with the emergence of AI and the proliferation of social media, sentiment analysis is more important than ever before. 

The Evolution of Institutional Sentiment Analysis

For Wall Street’s most resourceful institutions, like hedge funds, sentiment analysis has evolved way beyond identifying retail trends and listening in on r/WallStreetBets. 

As early as 2015, hedge funds were using satellite imagery to access real-time data to generate a series of metrics. One leading sentiment-based analysis saw satellite images of parking lots belonging to major retailers to analyze foot traffic and predict sales volumes ahead of official earnings releases. 

Today, sentiment analysis can be fine-tuned using primary data to anticipate stock market performance with great accuracy. Eagle Alpha, an alternative data provider firm, has suggested that parking lot car counts using satellite imagery can forecast same-store sales growth with a correlation that’s as high as 0.9.

Is it Possible to Trade Sentiment?

So, what about retail investors? Is it possible for all traders, even those who lack the resources of hedge funds, to make trades based on sentiment insights? 

Sentiment enjoys a particularly close relationship with trading volume, which can help to offer insights into rising and falling interest. It’s this market volatility linked to sentiment that can cause significant fluctuations in company share prices that retail investors will be capable of taking advantage of. 

The most effective way of trading sentiment is to detect fluctuations before trading volume peaks, as this will help traders make the most of short-term price movements surrounding specific stocks or wider exchange-traded funds (ETFs). 

Sentiment in the Age of Artificial Intelligence

To accurately gauge sentiment, retail investors would have to be adaptable enough to constantly monitor unstructured social media data and react at a rapid pace to changing attitudes towards a stock. While this is virtually impossible to carry out manually, artificial intelligence can help to empower traders to autonomously monitor for key sentiment changes. 

Utilizing the power of natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning (ML), AI services are growing in sophistication to provide real-time insights into social media sentiment. This analysis can interpret the emotions of users and their respective opinions regarding financial news, brand trust, and other factors that could impact stock market performance. 

While these tools can be expensive, ranging into thousands of dollars, they can significantly benefit day traders who could use ML insights to adapt quickly to market conditions and execute trades before wider markets catch up with new trends. 

Navigating Social Media Sentiment

We’ve also seen use cases emerge for manual social media sentiment analysis. Mihai Tanase, a senior professional engineer and data analytics enthusiast, utilized Reddit’s API to extract data from stock market-focused subreddits like r/WallStreetBets, r/Stocks, and r/StockMarket to access valuable sentiment insights. 

Using a process that examined 200 posts and 20 comments before refining it to 50 daily posts to maintain the relevance of the analysis, Tanase focused on titles and selftexts to seek out emerging sentiment trends. 

With the help of WordCloud’s Library and a Sentiment Intensity Analyzer, Tanase was capable of identifying positive sentiment toward certain stocks due to the prevalence of terms like ‘market’ and ‘higher’ and how they can point to stronger buying interest. 

The approach was deemed to be effective when utilized alongside wider analytics tools to quickly identify unusual sentiment trends that could be used to shape a short-term trading strategy. 

Gauging Sentiment

There are also plenty of metrics that can be used to gauge more generalized sentiment towards stocks as it’s taking place. Notably, the Volatility Index (VIX) offers real-time insights that represent the implied volatility of Wall Street stocks over the coming 30 days. Using options prices as a foundation, the index reflects the consensus view of future expected stock market volatility. 

Additionally, the Bullish Percent Index (BPI) measures the percentage of stocks of certain exchanges that appear to be gathering short-term price momentum. 

When compared and contrasted with primary sentiment analysis on social media and other alternative data sources, these tools can be excellent in aligning findings against the wider market consensus to discover fresh trading opportunities. 

The Path to Informed Decisions

For retail investors, understanding sentiment towards stocks is one of the biggest challenges faced in keeping up with their institutional counterparts. However, with the right tools and market knowledge as a foundation, it’s possible to gain powerful insights into the direction that sentiment is taking toward stocks and act accordingly. 

By incorporating sentiment analysis with your wider trading strategy, it’s possible to outpace your competitors and get the most out of your approach to executing trades. This can help form a sustainable platform to grow your Wall Street acumen.

 

Can I Play Online Poker in Australia for Real Money?

Business online poker games with laptop two black dice playing card and casino chips.

The simplest way to answer this is yes, you can play online poker for real money in Australia, and it’s easier than you might think!

Whether you’re a seasoned player or just getting started, the online poker scene has plenty of options to suit your style.

From exciting cash games to amazing tournaments, you’ll find opportunities to test your skills and maybe even win big.

Curious about where to begin or how to choose the best platform? Keep reading to find out!

What Makes the Best Australian Poker Sites

When it comes to finding the best Australian poker sites, several factors come into play to make your experience smooth, fun, and rewarding.

First, look for variety in game options – the best sites will offer everything from Texas Hold’em to Omaha and more, catering to different skill levels and preferences.

Next, consider the user interface and mobile compatibility. A top-tier site should be easy to navigate and work seamlessly on both desktop and mobile, allowing you to play wherever you are.

Security and trustworthiness are also very important to consider. You want to know your money and personal details are safe, so check that the site has solid encryption and a good reputation among players.

Bonuses and promotions can boost your gameplay, so look for sites offering competitive welcome bonuses, loyalty programs, or regular tournaments to keep things exciting.

Lastly, make sure customer support is available and responsive – if you run into any issues, you want them solved quickly and efficiently. These features combined make a great poker site worth your time.

Most Popular Poker Variants in Australia

Not sure which poker games you want to play? Take a look at the most popular poker variants for Australian players below:

Texas Hold’em

Texas Hold’em is by far the most popular poker variant, not just in Australia but worldwide. It’s the game you’ll most likely find when exploring online poker Australia.

Each player is dealt two private cards, and five community cards are revealed in stages. The goal is to make the best five-card hand using a combination of your two cards and the community cards.

What makes Texas Hold’em so exciting is the balance of skill and luck, as well as the strategic betting rounds that can change the outcome of a hand in an instant.

Omaha

Another highly popular poker variant in Australia is Omaha, which shares similarities with Texas Hold’em but offers more cards and more complex decision-making.

In Omaha, each player receives four private cards instead of two, and the game also uses five community cards. However, you must use exactly two of your private cards along with three community cards to make the best hand.

Seven-Card Stud

Before Texas Hold’em became the global standard, Seven-Card Stud was the most popular poker variant. In this game, players are dealt seven cards throughout the hand – three face-down and four face-up.

There are no community cards, and the goal is to make the best five-card hand out of the seven dealt. Seven-Card Stud requires patience and a keen eye for your opponents’ upcards, making it a great choice for more strategic players in the online poker Australia scene.

Razz

Razz is a variation of Seven-Card Stud, but with a twist – the goal is to make the lowest possible hand rather than the highest. In Razz, straights and flushes don’t count against you, so the best possible hand is A-2-3-4-5.

This lowball format adds a unique challenge and is a favorite among seasoned players looking for a change of pace from the usual high-hand games.

If you want a variety while playing at the best Bitcoin casinos Australia, Razz is a refreshing alternative to the more traditional poker variants.

Five-Card Draw

If you’re new to poker, Five-Card Draw is a great place to start. It’s one of the simplest forms of poker and is often how many players first learn the game.

Each player is dealt five private cards, and after a round of betting, you have the chance to exchange any number of your cards for new ones in hopes of improving your hand.

The simplicity of the Five-Card Draw makes it less intense than other variants but still a fun option for players of all skill levels in online poker Australia games.

Whether you’re into Texas Hold’em, Omaha, or looking for a unique game like Razz, the variety of poker options ensures there’s always something exciting for every player.

Plus, with the rise of cryptocurrency, the best Bitcoin casinos Australia now offer these poker variants, allowing for quicker and more secure transactions.

How to Choose the Right Australian Poker Site

Choosing the right poker site can make all the difference in your online gaming experience. With so many options available, here are a few key factors to consider:

  • Game Variety: Look for a site that offers a wide range of poker variants, from Texas Hold’em to Omaha and even lesser-known games like Razz or Seven-Card Stud. A good site will cater to both beginners and experienced players, providing cash games, tournaments, and sit & go options. The best online casinos Australia often have excellent poker sections with plenty of game variety to keep things interesting.
  • Bonuses and Promotions: When signing up for an Australian poker site, take advantage of welcome bonuses, deposit matches, and other promotions. These can give you extra funds to start playing and help extend your gameplay. Many of the best online casinos Australia also offer poker-specific bonuses that can enhance your experience, such as tournament tickets or rakeback deals.
  • User Experience and Mobile Compatibility: A smooth, user-friendly platform is essential. Look for sites with clean interfaces and mobile apps that allow you to play on the go. The best poker sites will have seamless functionality on both desktop and mobile, ensuring you can enjoy the action wherever you are.
  • Security and Trustworthiness: You want to play on a site that protects your personal and financial information. Look for poker platforms that use encryption and have a solid reputation for security. Many of the best online casinos Australia ensure their poker offerings are backed by strong safety measures and have excellent player reviews.
  • Payment Options: Make sure the poker site supports a variety of payment methods that work for you, whether it’s credit cards, e-wallets, or even cryptocurrency. The best online casinos Australia offer multiple payment options, including fast withdrawals and easy deposits, so you can manage your funds with ease.

By considering these factors, you’ll be able to find the perfect Australian poker site to suit your needs and start playing confidently.

Ready to Play Online Poker in Australia?

Now that you know what to look for in a poker site and have an idea of the most popular variants, you’re ready to dive into the exciting world of online poker Australia.

Whether you’re aiming for a casual game or competitive tournaments, there are plenty of options tailored to suit every player’s preferences.

With secure platforms, generous bonuses, and a variety of poker games to choose from, you’re all set to enjoy online poker.

No matter which site you choose or which variant you play, please always remember to gamble responsibly.

DISCLAIMER: 18+ only. The information on this site is for entertainment purposes only. Online gambling comes with many risks. Players are advised to gamble responsibly and only use funds they can afford to lose.

Gambling laws and policies vary from one region to another. Some sites mentioned in this review may not be accessible in your area. Always check your local laws to find out whether it’s legal.

If you believe that you are developing a gambling problem or know someone who does, reach out to www.gamblinghelponline.org.au or call 1800 858 858.

China’s Central Bank Unveils Major Rate Cut to Revive Economy

China’s Central Bank

China’s central bank slashed its one-year policy loan rate by 30 basis points to 2%, marking the largest cut since the introduction of the medium-term lending facility (MLF) in 2016. This move is part of a broader stimulus package aimed at reviving confidence in the world’s second-largest economy and addressing deflationary risks. The yuan surged past the 7-per-dollar mark for the first time in 16 months, and Chinese stocks rallied. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) is also expected to reduce the seven-day reverse repurchase rate and implement reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts to inject long-term liquidity, helping China achieve its 5% annual growth target.

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